Method for diagnosis and prognosis of chronic heart failure

ABSTRACT

Present application relates to methods for determining whether a subject has heart failure or is at risk of having heart failure, specifically that of heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) and a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), comprising determining the level of selected miRNA(s) observed in a sample obtained from the subject and wherein an altered level of the miRNA(s) compared to control indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at risk of developing heart failure. Also encompassed are methods of determining an altered risk of death or disease progression to hospitalization and death based on alteration of selected miRNAs in a sample from the subject and kits thereof.

CROSS-REFERENCE TO RELATED APPLICATIONS

This patent application is a continuation of U.S. patent application Ser. No. 15/572,772, filed 8 Nov. 2017, which is a U.S. National Phase Application under 35 U.S.C. § 371 of International Application No. PCT/SG2016/050217, filed on 9 May 2016, entitled METHOD FOR DIAGNOSIS OF CHRONIC HEART FAILURE, which claims the benefit of priority of Singapore patent application No. 10201503644Q, filed 8 May 2015, the contents of which were incorporated by reference in the entirety for all purposes.

INCORPORATION BY REFERENCE

This patent application incorporates by reference the material (i.e., Sequence Listing) in the ASCII text file named 9869SG818_sequence listing_ST25_3631946_1.txt, created on Nov. 6, 2017, having a file size of 28,672 bytes.

FIELD OF THE INVENTION

The present invention relates generally to the field of molecular biology. In particular, the present invention relates to the use of biomarkers for the detection and diagnosis of heart failure.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

Cardiovascular disease including heart failure is a major health problem accounting for about 30% of human deaths worldwide [1]. Heart failure is also the leading cause of hospitalization in adults over the age of 65 years globally [2]. Adults at middle age have a 20% risk of developing heart failure in their life time. Despite treatment advances, morbidity and mortality (˜50% at 5 years) for heart failure remain high and consume about 2% of health care budgets in many economies [3-6]. The prevalence of heart failure will increase due to the aging of the population, increasing prevalence of major risk factors such as diabetes, obesity and increased initial survival in acute myocardial infarction and severe hypertension.

Heart failure has been traditionally viewed as a failure of contractile function and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) has been widely used to define systolic function, assess prognosis and select patients for therapeutic interventions. However, it is recognised that heart failure can occur in the presence of normal or near-normal EF: so-called “heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFPEF)” which accounts for a substantial proportion of clinical cases of heart failure [7-9]. Heart failure with severe dilation and/or markedly reduced EF: so-called “heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFREF)” is the best understood type of heart failure in terms of pathophysiology and treatment [10]. There are some epidemiological differences between patients with HFREF and those with HFPEF. The latter are generally older and more often women, are less likely to have coronary artery disease (CAD) and more likely to have underlying hypertension [7, 8, 11]. In addition, patients with HFPEF do not obtain similar clinical benefits from angiotensin converting enzyme inhibition or angiotensin receptor blockade as patients with HFREF [12, 13]. The symptoms of heart failure may develop suddenly—‘acute heart failure’ leading to hospital admission, but they can also develop gradually.

Timely diagnosis, categorization of heart failure subtype—HFREF or HFPEF, and improved risk stratification are critical for the management and treatment of heart failure. Accordingly, there is a need to provide for methods of determining the risk of a subject in developing heart failure. There is also a need to provide for methods of categorizing heart failure subtypes.

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

In one aspect, there is provided a method of determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure or is at risk of developing heart failure. In some examples, the method includes the steps of a) measuring the level of at least one miRNA from a list of miRNAs “increased” or at least one from a list of miRNAs “reduced” as listed in Table 5, or Table 2, or Table 3, or Table 4, in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method further includes the step of b) determining whether the level of at least one miRNA from a list of miRNAs is different as compared to a control, wherein altered levels of the miRNA indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.

In another aspect, there is provided a method of determining whether a subject suffers from a heart failure. In some examples, the heart failure is selected from the group consisting of a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) and a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, the method includes the steps of a) detecting the level of at least one miRNA as listed in Table 6 in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method further includes the step of determining whether the levels of the at least one miRNA indicates that the subject has, or is at a risk of, developing heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method for determining the risk of a heart failure patient having an altered risk of death. In some examples, the method includes the steps of a) detecting the levels of at least one miRNA as listed in Table 7 in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method also includes the step of b) measuring the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 7. In some examples, the method also includes the step of c) determining whether the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 7 is different as compared to the levels of the miRNAs of a control population, wherein altered levels of the miRNA indicates that the subject is likely to have an altered risk of death (altered observed (all-cause) survival rate) compared to the control population.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method for determining the risk of a heart failure patient having an altered risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death. In some examples, the method comprises the step of a) detecting the levels of at least one miRNA as listed in Table 8 in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method includes the step of b) measuring the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 8. In some examples, the method further includes the step of c) determining whether the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 8 is different as compared to the levels of the miRNAs of a control population, wherein altered levels of the miRNA indicates that the subject is likely to have an altered risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (altered event free survival rate) compared to the control population.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the risk of developing heart failure in a subject or determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure. In some examples, the method includes the step of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method further includes the step of (b) measuring the levels of at least three miRNAs listed in Table 9 or Table 10 in the sample. In some examples, the method further includes the step of (c) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the risk of developing heart failure in a subject or determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure. In some examples, the method includes the steps of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method also includes the step of (b) measuring the levels of at least three miRNAs listed in Table 11 in the sample. In some examples, the method also includes the step of (c) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the likelihood of a subject to be suffering from a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, the method includes the step of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method includes the step of (b) measuring the levels of at least three miRNA listed in Table 12 in the sample. In some examples, the method includes (c) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to be suffering from, a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the likelihood of a subject having a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, the method includes the step of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method includes the step of (b) measuring the levels of at least three miRNAs listed in Table 13 or Table 14 in the sample. In some examples, the method also includes the step of (c) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to be suffering from, a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

The invention will be better understood with reference to the detailed description when considered in conjunction with the non-limiting examples and the accompanying drawings, in which:

FIG. 1 shows a schematic diagram showing a summary of the number of miRNAs identified from studies described herein.

FIG. 2 shows histogram and skewness diagrams of N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and natural logarithm of the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide level (ln_NT-proBNP). Distribution of NT-proBNP level (see FIG. 2(A), FIG. 2(B), and FIG. 2(C)) and ln_NT-proBNP level (the natural logarithm of NT-proBNP, D-F) for the control subjects (see FIG. 2(A), FIG. 2(D)), heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction subjects (HFREF) (B, E) and heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction subjects (HFPEF) (see FIG. 2(C), FIG. 2(F)). The skewness of each graph was calculated and is displayed. FIG. 2 shows that the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in all groups was positively skewed. In contrast, the natural logarithm of the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (ln_NT-proBNP) level has less skewness. Therefore, the natural logarithm of the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide level was used for all analysis involving NT-proBNP.

FIG. 3 shows the results of the analysis of the performance of natural logarithm of the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (ln_NT-proBNP) as a biomarker for heart failure. In particular, (A) shows a boxplot representation of ln_NT-proBNP (the natural logarithm of NT-proBNP) levels. Each boxplot presents the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles in the distribution. FIG. 3(B), FIG. 3(C), and FIG. 3(D) show the receiver operating characteristic curves of ln_NT-proBNP for the of control vs heart failure (HFREF and HFPEF, FIG. 3(B)), HFREF vs heart HFPEF (FIG. 3(C)), control vs HFREF (FIG. 3(D)) and control vs HFPEF (FIG. 3(E)). AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, C: control (healthy), HF: heart failure, HFREF: heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction subjects, HFPEF: heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction subjects. FIG. 3(A) shows the loss of NT-proBNP test performance is more pronounced in HFPEF. FIG. 3(B), FIG. 3(C), and FIG. 3(D) show the natural logarithm of the N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (ln_NT-proBNP) performed better in detecting HFREF than HFPEF.

FIG. 4 shows an exemplary workflow of a high-throughput miRNA RT-qPCR measurement. The steps shown in FIG. 4 includes isolation, multiplex groups, multiplex RT, augmentation, single-plex PCR and synthetic miRNA standard curve. Details of each steps are as follows: Isolation refers to the step of isolating and purifying the miRNA from plasma samples; Spike-in miRNA refers to the non-natural synthetic miRNAs mimics (small single-stranded RNA with length range from 22-24 bases) that were added into the samples to monitor the efficiencies at each step including isolation, reverse transcription, augmentation and qPCR; Multiplex Design refers to the miRNA assays that were deliberately divided into a number of multiplex groups (45-65 miRNA per group) in silico to minimize non-specific amplifications and primer-primer interaction during the RT and augmentation processes; Multiplex reverse transcription refers to the various pools of reverse transcription primers that were combined and added to different multiplex groups to generate cDNA; Augmentation refers to a pool of PCR primers were combined and added to the each cDNA pool generated from a certain multiplex group and the optimized touch down PCR was carried out to enhance the amount of all cDNAs in the group simultaneously; Single-plex qPCR refers to the augmented cDNA pools that were distributed in to various wells in the 384 well plates and single-plex qPCR reactions were then carried out; and Synthetic miRNA standard curve refers to Synthetic miRNA stand curves that were measured together with the samples for the interpolation of absolute copy numbers in all the measurements.

FIG. 5 shows bar graph results of principal component analysis. Principal component analysis was performed for all 137 reliably detected mature miRNA (Table 19) based on the log 2 scale expression levels (copy/mL). FIG. 5(A): the eigenvalues for the topped 15 principal components. FIG. 5(B), the classification efficiencies (AUC) of the topped 15 principal components on separating control (C) and heart failure (HF). FIG. 5(C), the classification efficiencies (AUC) of the topped 15 principal components on separating HFREF (heart failure with reduced ejection fraction) and HFPEF (heart failure with preserved ejection fraction). AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. FIG. 5 shows a multivariate assay may be required to capture the information in multiple dimensions for the classification of HFREF and HFPEF.

FIG. 6 shows a scatter plot of the top (AUC) principal components in heart failure subjects as compared to control. In particular, the top (AUC) principal components used for discrimination between control (C, black cycle) and heart failure (HF, white triangle) subjects are shown in FIG. 6(A). The top (AUC) two principal components for distinguishing HFREF (heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, black cycle) from HFPEF (heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, white triangle) subjects are shown in FIG. 6(B). AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. PC: principal component number based on FIG. 10. Variation: the percentage of the variations represented by the principal components calculated by eigenvalues. FIG. 6 shows it is possible to separate the control, HFREF and HFPEF subjects based on their miRNA profiles.

FIG. 7 shows Venn diagrams showing the overlap of biomarkers that could be used for the detection of heart failure. The comparisons between control (healthy) and various groups of heart failure patients (HF, HFREF and HFPEF) were carried out by univariate analysis (t-test) and multivariate analysis (logistic regression) incorporating age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes. For the three comparisons: C vs HF (HFREF and HFPEF), C vs HFREF and C vs HFPEF, the numbers and overlaps of miRNAs with p-values (after false discovery rate correction) lower than 0.01 for in univariate analysis (FIG. 7(A)) and multivariate analysis (FIG. 7(B)) are shown. HF: heart failure, HFPEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, C: control (healthy). FIG. 7 shows many of the miRNAs were found to differ between control and only one of the two heart failure subtypes, thus demonstrate genuine differences between the two subtypes in terms of miRNA expression.

FIG. 8 shows boxplot and receiver operative characteristics curves of the top up-regulated and down-regulated miRNAs between healthy control and heart failure patients. The boxplot and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of top (based on AUC) up-regulated (FIG. 8(A): ROC curve, FIG. 8(C): boxplot) and down-regulated (FIG. 8(B): ROC curve, FIG. 8(D): boxplot) miRNAs in all heart failure patients compared to the control (healthy) subjects. The expression levels (copy/ml) of miRNAs were presented in log 2 scale. The boxplot presented the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles in the distribution of the expression levels. C: control (healthy), HF: heart failure. AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. FIG. 8 shows combination of multiple miRNAs may enhance the performance of heart failure diagnosis.

FIG. 9 shows Venn diagrams showing the overlap of biomarkers for the detection of heart failure and the categorization of heart failure subtypes. Comparisons between HFREF and HFPEF were carried out by univariate analysis (t-test) and multivariate analysis (logistic regression) incorporating age, gender, BMI (Body Mass Index) and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension (p-value, ln_BNP). The miRNAs with p-values (after false discovery rate correction) lower than 0.01 in univariate analysis (FIG. 9(A)) and multivariate analysis (FIG. 9(B)) were compared to the miRNAs for the detection of heart failure (either C vs HF or C vs HFREF or C vs HFPEF, FIG. 5). HF: heart failure, HFPEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, C: control (healthy) subject.

FIG. 10 shows boxplots and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of top up-regulated and down-regulated miRNAs in HFPEF patients compared to that of HFREF patients. The boxplot and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of topped (based on AUC) up-regulated (FIG. 10(A): ROC curve, FIG. 10(C): boxplot) and down-regulated (FIG. 10(B): ROC curve, FIG. 10(D): boxplot) miRNAs in HFPEF patients compared to that of HFREF patients. The expression levels (copy/ml) of miRNAs were presented in log 2 scale. The boxplot presented the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles in the distribution of the expression levels. HFPEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. FIG. 10 shows that combining the multiple miRNAs in a multivariate index assay may provide more diagnostic power for subtype categorization.

FIG. 11 shows line graphs of the overlapped miRNAs for the detection of heart failure and for the categorization of heart failure subtypes. The 38 overlapped miRNAs between control, heart failure (HFREF or HFPEF) and HFREF, HFPEF (FIG. 7(A)) were separated into 7 groups based on the changes. The two groups were defined as equal if the p-value (t-test) of the miRNA after false discovery test was higher than 0.01. The expression levels were based on the log 2 scale and were standardized to zero mean for each miRNA. HFPEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, C: control (healthy). FIG. 11 shows that unlike the LVEF and NT-proBNP, HFPEF had more distinct miRNA profiles than the HFREF subtype compared to the healthy control. FIG. 11 demonstrates miRNA could complement NT-proBNP to provide better discrimination of HFPEF.

FIG. 12 shows the scatter plot of the correlation analysis between all reliably detected miRNAs. Based on the log 2 scale expression levels (copy/mL), Pearson's linear correlation coefficients were calculated between all 137 reliable detected miRNA targets (Table 19). Each dot represents a pair of miRNAs where the correlation coefficient is higher than 0.5 (FIG. 12(A), positively correlated) or below −0.5 (FIG. 12(B), negatively correlated). The differentially expressed miRNAs for C vs HF and HFREF vs HFPEF are indicated as black in the horizontal dimension. HF: heart failure, HFPEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, C: control (healthy). FIG. 12 demonstrates that many pairs of miRNAs were regulated similarly among all subjects.

FIG. 13 shows bar graph representing the pharmacotherapy for HFREF and HFPEF. The numbers of cases for various anti-HF drug treatments are summarized for the 327 subjects included in the prognosis analysis, divided into HFREF and HFPEF subtypes. The Chi-square test was applied to compare the two subtypes for each treatment. *: p-value <0.05, **: p-value <0.01, ***: p-value <0.001. FIG. 13 is a summary of treatments according to the current clinical practice and was included among clinical variables for the analysis of prognostic markers.

FIGS. 14A and 14B show the survival analyses of subjects. In particular, FIG. 14A shows the Kaplan-Meier plots of clinical variables significantly predictive of observed survival (Table 7) based on univariate analysis (p-values <0.05). For the categorical variables, the positive group (black) and negative groups (gray) were compared. For normally distributed variables, subjects with supra-median (black) and infra-median (gray) values were compared. The log-rank test was performed to test the between the two groups for each variable and the p-values were shown above each plot. FIG. 14B shows a bar graph representing the percentage of observed survival (OS) at 750 days after treatment.

FIGS. 15A and 15B show the survival analysis for event free survival. In particular, FIG. 15A shows Kaplan-Meier plots of clinical variables significantly predictive of for event free survival (Table 7) based on univariate analysis (p-values <0.05). For the categorical variables, the positive group (black) and negative groups (gray) were compared. For normally distributed variables, subjects with supra-median (black) and infra-median (gray) values were compared. The log-rank test was performed to test the between the two groups for each variable and the p-values were shown above each plot. FIG. 15B shows bar graph representing the percentage of event free survival (EFS) at 750 days after treatment.

FIG. 16 shows Venn diagrams of the comparison between biomarkers for observed survival (OS) and event free survival (EFS). In particular, FIG. 16(A) shows the comparison between the miRNAs significantly prognostic for OS identified by univariate analysis and multivariate analysis with CoxPH model. FIG. 16(B) shows the comparison between the significant miRNAs for the prognosis of OS and for the prognosis of EFS. The miRNAs were either identified by univariate analysis or multivariate analysis with CoxPH model. FIG. 16 demonstrates differing mechanisms for death and recurrent decompensated heart failure.

FIG. 17 shows Venn diagrams of the comparison between biomarkers for observed survival (OS) and event free survival (EFS). In particular, FIG. 17(A) shows the comparison between the miRNAs significantly prognostic by CoxPH model (either for OS or for EFS) and for detection of HF (either subtype). All the miRNAs were either identified by univariate analysis or multivariate analysis. FIG. 17(B) shows the comparison between the significant miRNAs for the prognosis identify by CoxPH model (either for OS or for EPS) and for categorization of two HF subtypes. All the miRNAs were either identified by univariate analysis or multivariate analysis. FIG. 17 shows a large portion of the prognostic markers were not found in the other two lists indicating that a separate set of miRNA may be used or combined to form an assay for the prognosis.

FIGS. 18A and 18B show the analysis of miRNA with maximum and minimum hazard ratio for observed survival (OS). In FIG. 18A, miRNA with the maximum hazard ratio (hsa-miR-503) and minimum hazard ratio (hsa-miR-150-5p) for observed survival (OS) were used to construct the univariate CoxPH model or the multivariate CoxPH model including six additional clinical variables: gender, hypertension, BMI, ln_NT-proBNP, BetaBlockers and Warfarin for observed survival (OS). All the level of normal variables including BMI, ln_NT-proBNP and the miRNA expression level (log 2 scale) were scaled to have one standard deviation. Based on the value of the explanation score according to the on CoxPH model, the top 50% of the subjects (black) and the bottom 50% of the subjects (gray) were compared. The log-rank test was performed to test the between the two groups and the p-values were shown FIG. 18B, the observed survival (OS) at 750 days after treatment.

FIGS. 19A and 19B show the analysis of miRNA with maximum and minimum hazard ratio for EFS. In FIG. 19A, the miRNA with the maximum hazard ratio (hsa-miR-331-5p) and minimum hazard ratio (hsa-miR-191-5p) for EFS were used to construct the univariate CoxPH model or the multivariate CoxPH model including 2 additional clinical variables: diabetes condition and ln_NT-proBNP for EFS. All the level of normal variables including diabetes condition ln_NT-proBNP and the miRNA expression level (log 2 scale) were scaled to have one standard deviation. Based on the value of the explanation score according to the on CoxPH model, the top 50% of the subjects (black) and the bottom 50% of the subjects (gray) were compared. The log-rank test was performed to test the between the two groups and the p-values were shown FIG. 19B, the EFS at 750 days after treatment.

FIGS. 20A and 20B show the representative results that generates multivariate biomarker panels for heart failure detection. In FIG. 20A, the boxplots show the diagnostic power (AUC) of multivariate biomarker panels (number of miRNAs=3-10) in the discovery and validation phases for heart failure detection during the two fold cross validation in silico. The boxplot presents the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles in the AUC for the classification of healthy and heart failure patients. The quantitative representation of the result for the discovery set (black) and validation set (gray) are shown in FIG. 20B. The error bar represents the standard deviation of the AUC. In order to test the significance of the AUC improvement in the validation set when more miRNAs were included in the panel, the right-tailed t-test was carried to compare all the adjacent gray bars. *: p-value <0.05; **: p-value <0.01; ***: p-value <0.001.

FIG. 21 shows the comparison between multivariate miRNA score and NT-proBNP on HF detection using 2 dimensional plot. FIG. 21(A) shows 2 dimensional plot of the NT-proBNP level (y-axis) and one of the six-miRNA panel score (x-axis) for all subjects. The threshold for NT-proBNP (125) is indicated by the dashed line. The false positive and false negative subjects by NT-proBNP were boxed. FIG. 21(B) shows 2 dimensional plot of the NT-proBNP level (y-axis) and the six-miRNA panel score (x-axis) for false positive and false negative subjects as classified by NT-proBNP using the 125 pg/ml threshold. The threshold miRNA score (0) is indicated by the dashed line. Control subjects are indicated by crosses; HFREF subjects by filled circles and HFPEF subjects by empty triangles. FIG. 21 validated the hypothesis that miRNA biomarkers carry different information from that of N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

FIG. 22 shows the analysis of multivariate biomarker panels for heart failure detection combining miRNAs with NT-proBNP. FIG. 22(A) shows a series of boxplots of the diagnostic power (AUC) of multivariate biomarker panels (ln_NT-proBNP plus 2-8 miRNAs) in the discovery and validation phases for HF detection during the two fold cross validation in silico. The boxplot presented the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles in the AUC for the classification of healthy and HF patients. FIG. 22(B) shows the quantitative representation the result for discovery set (black) and validation set (gray) as well as the ln-NT-proBNP itself (the first column). The error bar represented the standard deviation of the AUC. In order to test the significance of the AUC improvement in the validation set when more miRNAs were included in the panel, the right-tailed t-test was carried to compare all the adjacent gray bars. *: p-value <0.05; **: p-value <0.01; ***: p-value <0.001. Thus, FIG. 22 shows significantly improved classification efficiency when miRNA is combined with N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

FIG. 23 shows Venn diagram of the overlap of miRNAs selected for multivariate HF detection panels with or without the addition of N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). Comparison between biomarkers selected for HF detection using miRNA along (Table 9) or using miRNA together with NT-proBNP (Table 11) during the multivariate biomarker search process. The significant miRNAs (FIG. 23(A)) and insignificant miRNAs (FIG. 23(B)) were compared separately. FIG. 23 shows when using NT-proBNP, a different list of miRNAs may be used.

FIG. 24 shows the representative results that generates multi-miRNA panels for heart failure subtype stratification with and without the addition of NT-proBNP. FIG. 24(A) shows multivariate miRNA biomarker panel search (3-10 miRNAs) for heart failure subtype categorization The AUC result for discovery set (black bars) and validation set (gray bars) are shown. FIG. 24(B) shows multivariate miRNA and NT-proBNP biomarker panel search (ln_NT-proBNP plus 2-8 miRNAs) for heart failure subtype categorization. The AUC result for discovery set (black bars) and validation set (gray bars) as well as the ln_NT-proBNP itself (the first column) are shown. The error bar represents the standard deviation of the AUC. The right-tailed t-test was carried to compare all the adjacent gray bars. *: p-value <0.05; **: p-value <0.01; ***: p-value <0.001. FIG. 24 shows even clearer classifications may be achieved when both miRNA and NT-proBNP are used.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF TABLES

The invention will be better understood with reference to the detailed description when considered in conjunction with the non-limiting examples and the accompanying tables, in which:

Table 1 is a summary of reported serum/plasma miRNA biomarkers for heart failure. The studies that measured the cell-free serum/plasma miRNAs or the whole blood were included in the table. Only miRNAs validated with qPCR are shown. Up-regulated: miRNAs that had a higher level in HF patients than in the control (healthy) subject. Down-regulated: miRNAs that had a lower level in HF patients than in the control (healthy) subject. The numbers in “Study design” indicated the number of samples used in the study. PBMC: Peripheral blood mononuclear cells, AMI: acute myocardial infarction, HF: heart failure, HF: heart failure, HFPEF: heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, BNP: brain natriuretic peptide, C: control (healthy subjects).

Table 2 is a table listing miRNAs identified for heart failure (HF) detection. Comparisons between control (healthy) and all heart failure subjects (both HFREF and HFPEF) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension, diabetes (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs to the diagnostic performance of ln_NT-proBNP for heart failure were tested with logistic regression with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP). All the p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs had p-values lower than 0.01 for both the “p-value, t-test” test and “p-value, Logistic regression” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in HF subjects divided by that in the control subjects. Table 2 corresponds to Table 20 with the exception that the miRNAs listed in Table 2 are not part of the miRNAs known in the art (i.e. as listed in Table 1 and Table 23).

Table 3 is a table listing the miRNAs identified for HFREF detection. Comparisons between control (healthy) and HFREF subjects (heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age, AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs of the discrimination of HFREF by ln_NT-proBNP were tested by logistic regression with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP). All p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using the Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs with p-values <0.01 for both the “p-value, t-test” test and “p-value, Logistic regression” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in HFREF subjects divided by that in the control subjects. Table 3 corresponds to Table 21 with the exception that the miRNAs listed in Table 3 are not part of the miRNAs known in the art (i.e. as listed in Table 1 and Table 23).

Table 4 is a table listing the miRNAs identified for HFPEF detection. Comparisons between control (healthy) and HFPEF subjects (heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs of the discrimination by ln_NT-proBNP of HFPEF diagnosis were tested with logistic regression with adjustment for age, AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP). All the p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using the Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs with p-values <0.01 for both the “p-value, t-test” test and “p-value, Logistic regression” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in HFPEF subjects divided by that in the control subjects. Table 4 corresponds to Table 22 with the exception that the miRNAs listed in Table 4 are not part of the miRNAs known in the art (i.e. as listed in Table 1 and Table 23).

Table 5 is a table listing microRNAs that may be used specifically for heart failure detection. To the best of the inventors' knowledge, these miRNAs are only associated with heart failure. miRNAs listed in Table 5 are not part of miRNAs known in the art (i.e. as listed in Table 1 and Table 23).

Table 6 is a table listing miRNAs that are differentially expressed between HFREF and HFPEF subjects. Comparisons between HFREF (heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction) and HFPEF subjects (heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age, gender, BMI (Body Mass Index) and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter) and hypertension (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs to the ability of ln_NT-proBNP to discriminate between HFREF and HFPEF categorization were tested with logistic regression with adjustment for age, gender, BMI (Body Mass Index), AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter) and hypertension (p-value, ln_BNP). All the p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using the Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs with p-values <0.01 for the “p-value, t-test” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in HFPEF subjects divided by that in the HFREF subjects.

Table 7 is a table listing miRNAs that are significantly predictive of observed survival. Each of the miRNAs was analyzed for association with observed survival using Cox proportional hazard model with univariate and multivariate analyses which included additional clinical variables: gender, hypertension, BMI, ln_NT-proBNP, BetaBlockers and Warfarin. All the normally distributed variables including ln_NT-proBNP, BMI and miRNA expression level (log 2 scale) were scaled to have one standard deviation. Those p-values <0.05 are indicated as gray cells. ln(HR): natural logarithm of hazard ratio (a positive value indicated a higher chance of death with the higher value of the variable), SE: standard error.

Table 8 is a table listing miRNAs significantly predictive of event free survival. Each of the miRNA was analyzed for associations with event free survival using Cox proportional hazard model with univariate and multivariate analyses which included additional clinical variables: diabetes and ln_NT-proBNP. All the normally distributed variables including ln_NT-proBNP and miRNA expression level (log 2 scale) were scaled to have one standard deviation. Those p-values <0.05 are indicated as gray cells. ln(HR): natural logarithm of hazard ratio (a positive value indicated a higher chance of death with the higher value of the variable), SE: standard error.

Table 9 is a table listing miRNAs identified in multivariate panel search process for heart failure detection. The miRNAs selected for the assembly of biomarker panels with 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 miRNAs for heart failure detection are listed. Prevalence was defined by the counts of the miRNA in all panels divided by the total number of panels. The panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Only the miRNAs used in more than 2% of the panels were listed. The changes of the miRNAs in various subtypes of heart failure were defined based on Table 10, Table 21, Table 22.

Table 10 is a table listing frequently selected miRNAs for heart failure detection in multivariate panel search process. The miRNAs selected for the assembly of biomarker panels with 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 miRNAs for heart failure detection are listed. Prevalence was defined by the counts of the miRNA in all panels divided by the total number of panels. The panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Only the miRNAs used in more than 2% of the panels were listed. The changes of the miRNAs in various subtypes of heart failure HF were defined based on Table 2-4. Table 10 corresponds to Table 9 with the exception that the miRNAs listed in Table 10 are not part of the miRNAs known in the art (i.e. as listed in Table 1 and Table 23).

Table 11 is a table listing the miRNAs that are identified in multivariate panel search process for heart failure (HF) detection in conjunction with NT-proBNP. The miRNAs selected for the assembly of biomarker panels with ln_NT-proBNP and 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 miRNAs for heart failure detection are listed. Prevalence was defined by the counts of the miRNA in all panels divided by the total number of panels. The panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Only the miRNAs used in more than 2% of the panels were listed. The significances of the miRNAs additional to ln_NT-proBNP in discriminating various subtypes of heart failure were determined based on the logistic regression using the selected miRNA and ln_NT-proBNP as predictive variables where the p-values for the significant miRNAs after FDR correction were <0.01.

Table 12 is a table listing the miRNAs that are identified in multivariate panel search process for HF subtype categorization. The miRNAs selected for the assembly of biomarker panels with 6, 7, 8, 9, and 10 miRNAs for heart failure (HF) subtype categorization are listed. Prevalence was defined by the counts of the miRNA in all panels divided by the total number of panels. The panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Only the miRNAs used in more than 2% of the panels were listed. The changes of the miRNAs in between the HFREF and HFPEF subtypes were defined based on Table 6.

Table 13 is a table listing the miRNAs identified in multivariate panel search process for HF subtype categorization in conjunction with NT-proBNP. The miRNAs selected for the assembly of biomarker panels with ln_NT-proBNP and 5, 6, 7 and 8 miRNAs for HF subtype categorization are listed. Prevalence was defined by the counts of the miRNA in all panels divided by the total number of panels. The panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Only the miRNAs used in more than 2% of the panels were listed. The significances of the miRNAs additional to ln_NT-proBNP were determined based on the logistic regression using the selected miRNA and ln_NT-proBNP as predictive variables where the p-values for the significant miRNAs after FDR correction were <0.01.

Table 14 is a table listing frequently selected miRNAs for HF detection in multivariate panel search process in conjunction with NT-proBNP. The miRNAs selected for the assembly of biomarker panels with ln_NT-proBNP and 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and 8 miRNAs for HF detection are listed. Prevalence was defined by the counts of the miRNA in all panels divided by the total number of panels. The panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Only the miRNAs used in more than 2% of the panels were listed. The significances of the miRNAs additional to ln_NT-proBNP in discriminating various subtypes of HF were determined based on the logistic regression using the selected miRNA and ln_NT-proBNP as predictive variables where the p-values for the significant miRNAs after FDR correction were <0.01. Table 14 corresponds to Table 11 with the exception that the miRNAs listed in Table 14 are not part of the miRNAs known in the art (i.e. as listed in Table 1 and Table 23).

Table 15 is a table listing exemplary biomarker panels for heart failure detection. Based on the biomarkers provided, an example of the formula, cutoffs and performance of the panel are provided in the table.

Table 16 is a table listing exemplary biomarker panels for heart failure subtype detection. Based on the biomarkers provided, an example of the formula, cutoffs and performance of the panel are provided in the table.

Table 17 is a table listing the clinical information of the subjects included in the study. The clinical information of the 546 subjects included in the study. All the plasma samples were stored at −80° C. prior to use. N.A.: not available, C: control (healthy subjects), PEF: heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, REF: heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction

Table 18 is a table listing the characteristics of the healthy subjects and heart failure patients. The Ejection Fraction (left ventricular ejection fraction), ln_NT-proBNP, Age, Body Mass Index are shown as arithmetic mean±standard deviation and the NT-proBNP is shown as geometric mean. The percentage next to the variable name indicates the percentage of subjects with known value for the variable. HF: heart failure, HFPEF: heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, HFREF: heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, C: control (healthy) subject. For the comparisons of the variables between control and heart failure (C vs HF) and between HFPEF and HFREF (HFREF vs HFPEF), t-test was used for normal variables and chi-squared test were used for categorical variables.

Table 19 is a table listing the sequences of 137 reliably detected mature miRNA. The 137 mature miRNA were reliably detected in the plasma samples. The definition of “reliably detected” was that at least 90% of the plasma samples had a concentration higher than 500 copies per ml. The miRNAs were named according to the miRBase V18 release.

Table 20 is a table listing miRNAs that are differentially expressed between control and all heart failure subjects. Comparisons between control (healthy) and all heart failure subjects (both HFREF and HFPEF) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension, diabetes (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs to the diagnostic performance of ln_NT-proBNP for heart failure were tested with logistic regression with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP). All the p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs had p-values lower than 0.01 for both the “p-value, t-test” test and “p-value, Logistic regression” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in heart failure subjects divided by that in the control subjects.

Table 21 is a table listing miRNAs that are differentially expressed between control and HFREF subjects. Comparisons between control (healthy) and HFREF subjects (heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age, AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs of the discrimination of HFREF by ln_NT-proBNP were tested by logistic regression with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP). All p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using the Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs with p-values <0.01 for both the “p-value, t-test” test and “p-value, Logistic regression” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in HFREF subjects divided by that in the control subjects.

Table 22 is a table listing miRNAs that are differentially expressed between control and HFPEF subjects. Comparisons between control (healthy) and HFPEF subjects (heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction) were carried out by univariate analyses (p-value, t-test) and multivariate analyses with adjustment for age and AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, Logistic regression). The enhancements by miRNAs of the discrimination by ln_NT-proBNP of HFPEF diagnosis were tested with logistic regression with adjustment for age, AF (Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter), hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP). All the p-values were adjusted for false discovery rate correction using the Bonferroni method. Only those miRNAs with p-values <0.01 for both the “p-value, t-test” test and “p-value, Logistic regression” test were shown. Fold change: the miRNA expression level in HFPEF subjects divided by that in the control subjects.

Table 23 is a table listing the comparison between the current study and previously published reports. The miRNAs not listed in Table 19 (expression levels ≥500 copies/ml) were indicated as N.A. (not available) which may not be included in the study or were below detection limit. Up: the miRNA had a higher expression level in heart failure patients compared to that of control (healthy) subjects. Down: the miRNA had a lower expression level in heart failure patients compared to that of control (healthy) subjects. Those miRNAs with p-values after false discovery rate correction lower than 0.01 were indicated as No Change. For hsa-miR-210, there were contradictions for the direction of changes in various literature reports (indicated Up & Down).

Table 24 is a table listing the clinical information of the subjects included in the prognosis study. The clinical information of the 327 subjects included in the prognosis study. All subjects were followed-up for two years after recruitment to the SHOP cohort study. 49 patients passed away during follow up.

Table 25 is a table listing the treatments of subjects included in the prognosis study. Drug treatment of the 327 subjects included in the prognosis study; Name of the medicine, Me1: ACE Inhibitors, Me2: Angiotensin 2 Receptor Blockers, Me3: Loop/thiazide Diuretics, Me4: Beta Blockers, Me5: Aspirin or Plavix, Me6: Statins, Me7: Digoxin, Me8: Warfarin, Me9: Nitrates Calcium, Me10: Channel Blockers, Me11: Spironolactone, Me12: Fibrate, Me13: Antidiabetic, Me14: Hydralazine, Me15: Iron supplements.

Table 26 is a table listing the analysis of clinical variables for observed survival. The clinical parameters included in analyses on observed survival using Cox proportional hazard model included drug treatments and other variables. The level of age, BMI, LVEF and ln_NT-proBNP were scaled to have one standard deviation. In the multivariate analysis, all variables were included. The cells for those variables with p-value less than 0.05 are indicated in gray. ln(HR): natural logarithm of hazard ratio (a positive value indicated a higher chance of death with the higher value of the variable), SE: standard error.

Table 27 is a table listing the analysis of clinical variables for Event free survival. The clinical parameters for analysis of Event free survival used Cox proportional hazards models with the level of age, BMI, LVEF and ln_NT-proBNP scaled to have one standard deviation. Drug treatments were also included. In the multivariate analysis, all variables were included. The cells for those variables with p-value <0.05 were indicated gray. ln(HR): natural logarithm of hazard ratio (a positive value indicated a higher chance of death with the higher value of the variable), SE: standard error.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE PRESENT INVENTION

Timely diagnosis, accurate categorization of heart failure subtype, including, but not limited to heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF), heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), and the like, and improved risk stratification are important for the management and treatment of heart failure. An attractive approach is the use of circulating biomarkers [14]. The established circulating biomarkers in heart failure are the cardiac natriuretic peptides, B type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and its co-secreted congener, N-terminal prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). Both have proven diagnostic utility in acute heart failure and are independently related to prognosis at all stages of heart failure leading to their inclusion in all major international guidelines for the diagnosis and management of heart failure [14, 15]. However, confounders including age, renal function, obesity and atrial fibrillation do impair their diagnostic performance [16, 17]. In asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction, early symptomatic heart failure and treated heart failure, the discriminating power of B peptides is markedly diminished with half of all stable HFREF cases exhibiting BNP below 100 pg/ml and 20% with NT-proBNP below values employed to rule out heart failure in the acutely symptomatic state [18]. This loss of test performance is even more pronounced in the cases of HFPEF [19]. B peptides reflect cardiac ventricular transmural distending pressures and myocyte stretch which (being dependent on chamber diameter as well as intra-ventricular pressures and wall thickness) is far less elevated in HFPEF with normal or reduced ventricular lumen volume and thickened ventricular walls, compared with HFREF with typically dilated ventricles and eccentric remodeling [20]. Therefore there is an unmet need for biomarkers that complement or replace B type peptides in screening for heart failure in its early or partly treated state and in monitoring status in the chronic phase of heart failure. This is particularly true for HFPEF with B peptides level lower than HFREF and often normal [21]. Currently, the categorization of heart failure subtype is dependent on imaging and imaging interpretation by a cardiologist. There is no biomarker based test available for this purpose. Therefore, a minimally invasive method to improve the diagnosis of heart failure as well as categorization into HF subtype is desirable.

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are small non-coding RNAs that play central roles in the regulation of gene expression dysregulation of microRNAs is implicated in the pathogenesis of various diseases [22-26]. Since their discovery in 1993 [27], miRNAs have been estimated to regulate more than 60% of all human genes [28], with many miRNAs identified as key players in critical cellular functions such as proliferation [29] and apoptosis [30]. The discovery of miRNAs in human serum and plasma has raised the possibility of using circulating miRNA as biomarkers for diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment decisions for many diseases [31-35]. An integrated multidimensional method for the diagnosis of HF using miRNA or miRNA in conjunction with BNP/NT-proBNP may improve the diagnosis. Combining genomic marker(s), such as miRNAs, and protein marker(s), such as BNP/NT-proBNP may strengthen diagnostic power in HF compared to sole use of BNP/NT-proBNP. Recently, various attempts had been made to identify circulating cell-free miRNA biomarkers in serum or plasma to distinguish HF patients from healthy subjects [36-47] (Table 1).

TABLE 1 Summary of reported serum/plasma miRNA biomarkers for heart failure Study Up- Down- Discovery Validation Publication design regulated regulated Study design Study design Vogel et al [1] Predict miR-200b*, — whole blood, serum, 14 HFREF miR-622, 53 HFREF/39 REF/8 C, miR-1228* C, microarray qPCR Endo et al [2] Outcome as — miR-210 Start with Plasma, 39 change of miR-210 only NYHA II BNP in 3 heart failure, weeks qPCR Zhang et al [3] Predict the — miR-1 Start with Plasma, 49 development miR-1 only AMI patients of HF after with various AMI EF, qPCR Fukushima et Predicts HF — miR-126 Start with Plasma, 10 al [4] three miRNAs HF/17 C Corsten et al Predicts miR-499 — Start with six Plasma, 33 [5] acute HF miRNAs HF/34 C Matsumoto et Predict the miR-192, — Serum, 7 HF/ Serum, 21 al [6] development miR-194, 7 C, Taqman, HF/65 C, of HF after miR-34a, qPCR array qPCR of 14 AMI miRNAs (additional 2 not based on discovery) Goren et al [7] Predict miR-423-5p, miR-199b- Serum, pooled Serum 30 HFREF miR-320a, 5p, miR-33a, samples, 2 HF/30 C, miR-22, miR- miR-27b, HF/2 C, qPCR 186 92b, miR- miR-331-3p, qPCR 370 miRNAs 17*, miR- miR-744, miRNAs 532-3p, miR- miR-28-5p, 92a, miR- miR-574-3p, 30a, miR-21, miR-223, miR-29c, miR-142-3p, miR-101 miR-27a, miR-191, miR-335, miR-24, miR- 151-5p Xiao et al [8] Predict miR-142-3p miR-107, PBMC 15 PBMC 34 chronic HF miR-29b miR-139, HC/9 C, HC/19 C, miR-142-5p, qPCR 159 qPCR 12 miR-107, miRNAs miRNAs miR-125b, miR-497, Tijsen et al [9] Predict acute miR-423-5p, — Plasma, HF Plasma, HF HF miR-18b*, 12/C 12, 30/C 39, miR-129-5p, microarray qPCR 16 miR-1254, miRNAs miR-675, miR-622 Zhao et al [10] Predict miR-210, — Serum, pooled Serum, HF chronic HF miR-30a samples HF 22/C 18, 1/C 1, qPCR qPCR 9 27 miRNAs miRNAs Goren et al Predict — — — Serum, HF [11] chronic HF - 41/C 35, PEF qPCR: miR- 150 Ellis et al [12] Predict miR-185, miR-103, Plasma, HF Plasma, HF chronic HF - miR-142-3p, 32/C 29, 44/C 106, HFPEF/REF miR-30b, qPCR array qPCR, 17 miR-342-3p, miRNAs miR-150, miR-199a-3p, miR-23a, miR-27b, miR-324-5p

These studies reported a set of miRNAs differentially regulated in heart failure subjects. However, there is a lack of concordance between these published works. Among 67 reported miRNAs, only three were found up-regulated in more than one report. In particular, hsa-miR-210 was reported as up-regulated in HF in one report and down-regulated in another (Table 1). The lack of agreement between studies could be due to a number of reasons including the use of small sample sizes or the variability in the sample selection such as stage of disease and, importantly, the controls used [32, 48]. Pre-analytical process including experimental design and workflow are critical in biomarkers identification and validation. Most studies to date have used a high-throughput array platform to screen a limited number of samples. This approach lacks sensitivity and reproducibility. It has yielded a small set of targets (less than 10 miRNAs) identified for further validation. Most of the studies have yet to be corroborated in larger patient groups. Another approach which has been adopted widely is based on screening of reported candidate miRNAs using quantitative real time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Evaluation of different technologies based on array versus qPCR platforms showed there are substantial differences in the performance of these platforms for miRNAs measurement. This could contribute to the observed inconsistency between studies [49]. Thus far, there is no consensus on the specific circulating serum/plasma miRNAs that might be used as heart failure biomarkers. None of the miRNA profiles previously reported was useful for categorization into heart failure subtypes. Hence, there is a need to build a robust pre-designated technology platform for heart failure biomarkers discovery and validation, and to ensure the reproducibility of the results.

In this disclosure, panels of circulating miRNAs were identified as potential heart failure biomarkers. These multivariate index assays are defined by Food and Drug Agency (FDA) guidelines, quoted as below: “combines the values of multiple variables using an interpretation function to yield a single, patient-specific result (e.g., a “classification,” “score,” “index,” etc.), that is intended for use in the diagnosis of disease or other conditions, or in the cure, mitigation, treatment or prevention of disease, and provides a result whose derivation is non-transparent and cannot be independently derived or verified by the end user.” Thus, highly reliable qPCR-based quantitative data following the MIQE (Minimum Information for publication of Quantitative Real-Time PCR Experiments) guidelines is a pre-requisite and the use of the state-of-the art mathematical and biostatistics tools are essential to determine the inter-relationship of these multiple variables simultaneously.

There are a variety of miRNA measurement methods including hybridization-based (microarray, northern blotting, bioluminescent), sequencing-based and qPCR-based [50]. Due to the small size of miRNA's (about 22 nucleotides), the most robust technology that provides precise, reproducible and accurate quantitative result with the greatest dynamic range is the qPCR-based platform [51]; currently, it is a gold standard commonly used to validate the results from other technologies, such as sequencing and microarray data. A variation of this method is digital PCR [52], an emerging technology based on similar principles but yet to gain widespread acceptance and use.

In this study, 203 miRNAs were profiled by qPCR in the plasma of 338 chronic heart failure patients (180 HFREF and 158 HFPEF) and 208 non-heart failure subjects (control group). This is a larger cohort of miRNA screening in heart failure than any reported in the literature to date. A summary of the number of miRNAs identified for various proposed approaches used in this study is depicted in FIG. 1.

The inventors of the present disclosure have established a well-designed workflow with multi-layered technical and sample controls. This is to ensure the reliability of the assay and minimize the possible cross-over of contaminants and technical noise. For heart failure diagnosis biomarkers discovery, 203 miRNAs were screened and the inventors detected 137 miRNAs expressed across all the plasma samples. Of which, 75 miRNAs were identified to be significantly altered between heart failure (HFREF and/or HFPEF) and controls. A list of 52 miRNAs was able to distinguish HFREF from controls and 68 were found to be significantly differentially expressed between HFPEF and controls. Accordingly, the present inventors found a group of miRNAs that were able to distinguish HFREF from HFPEF. The present inventors have also found a group of miRNAs that are dysregulated in heart failure compared to controls.

Thus, in one aspect, there is provided a method of determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure or is at risk of developing heart failure. In some examples, the method comprises the steps of a) measuring the level of at least one miRNA from a list of miRNAs “increased” (above control) or at least one from a list of miRNAs “reduced” (below control) as listed in Table 5, or Table 2, or Table 3, or Table 4, in a sample obtained from the subject. In some examples, the method further comprises b) determining whether the level of miRNA is different as compared to a control, wherein altered levels of the miRNA indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.

TABLE 2 miRNAs for heart failure detection Increased (n = 33) p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC hsa-let-7d-3p 8.9E−23 4.1E−09 3.8E−05 1.32 0.78 hsa-miR-197-3p 8.9E−23 2.7E−08 7.9E−05 1.27 0.77 hsa-miR-24-3p 2.8E−22 5.5E−10 6.7E−05 1.30 0.76 hsa-miR-221-3p 5.4E−19 4.9E−09 6.2E−05 1.35 0.73 hsa-miR-503 1.1E−17 1.2E−07 9.7E−04 1.69 0.73 hsa-miR-130b-3p 1.2E−14 3.9E−07 1.3E−03 1.27 0.72 hsa-miR-23b-3p 1.1E−13 2.6E−06 8.9E−04 1.31 0.71 hsa-miR-21-3p 2.4E−14 8.0E−06 >0.01 1.25 0.70 hsa-miR-223-5p 4.4E−13 1.6E−06 9.2E−04 1.23 0.70 hsa-miR-34b-3p 9.5E−14 4.6E−04 >0.01 1.84 0.69 hsa-miR-148a-3p 2.0E−12 2.3E−06 1.8E−03 1.28 0.68 hsa-miR-23a-5p 6.2E−11 4.3E−04 >0.01 1.25 0.67 hsa-miR-335-5p 1.3E−10 2.5E−06 2.3E−04 1.33 0.67 hsa-miR-124-5p 3.8E−09 9.8E−04 >0.01 1.54 0.66 hsa-miR-382-5p 6.0E−10 1.7E−05 7.6E−03 1.56 0.66 hsa-miR-134 6.4E−10 2.9E−05 6.7E−03 1.57 0.66 hsa-let-7e-3p 7.6E−07 1.1E−03 >0.01 1.33 0.65 hsa-miR-598 4.9E−08 4.8E−05 >0.01 1.20 0.65 hsa-miR-627 2.8E−08 5.5E−04 >0.01 1.31 0.65 hsa-miR-199a-3p 1.3E−05 4.1E−03 >0.01 1.27 0.64 hsa-miR-27b-3p 1.6E−06 8.7E−04 3.8E−04 1.20 0.64 hsa-miR-146b-5p 6.3E−07 8.7E−04 3.4E−04 1.25 0.64 hsa-miR-146a-5p 3.1E−06 4.3E−03 9.7E−04 1.25 0.64 hsa-miR-331-5p 2.7E−07 2.7E−03 >0.01 1.13 0.64 hsa-miR-654-3p 7.4E−08 2.0E−03 >0.01 1.44 0.63 hsa-miR-375 1.1E−05 7.9E−03 >0.01 1.43 0.63 hsa-miR-132-3p 9.8E−07 7.4E−04 >0.01 1.12 0.63 hsa-miR-27a-3p 2.0E−05 2.4E−03 4.9E−03 1.16 0.63 hsa-miR-128 5.9E−06 8.6E−04 >0.01 1.11 0.63 hsa-miR-299-3p 2.9E−06 3.3E−03 >0.01 1.43 0.62 hsa-miR-424-5p 4.0E−07 1.3E−03 >0.01 1.25 0.62 hsa-miR-154-5p 5.9E−06 1.0E−03 >0.01 1.41 0.62 hsa-miR-377-3p 1.3E−05 3.9E−03 >0.01 1.37 0.60 Reduced n = (34) p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression BNP change AUC hsa-miR-454-3p 3.3E−43 3.0E−14 5.6E−06 0.47 0.85 hsa-miR-30c-5p 8.9E−23 1.9E−10 3.2E−04 0.65 0.75 hsa-miR-17-5p 2.4E−19 1.4E−06 3.4E−04 0.73 0.74 hsa-miR-196b-5p 2.2E−15 7.8E−06 2.0E−04 0.79 0.73 hsa-miR-500a-5p 5.4E−19 1.1E−07 3.8E−04 0.68 0.73 hsa-miR-106a-5p 1.1E−16 1.3E−06 4.7E−05 0.76 0.72 hsa-miR-20a-5p 2.6E−17 1.4E−06 7.9E−05 0.74 0.72 hsa-miR-451a 5.4E−19 9.8E−08 7.9E−05 0.54 0.72 hsa-miR-29b-3p 1.5E−16 4.6E−08 6.7E−05 0.76 0.71 hsa-miR-374b-5p 2.4E−16 1.1E−07 1.8E−03 0.69 0.71 hsa-miR-20b-5p 1.5E−16 2.3E−06 8.1E−05 0.60 0.71 hsa-miR-501-5p 2.2E−14 3.3E−06 1.2E−04 0.71 0.70 hsa-miR-18b-5p 4.4E−13 3.9E−05 4.7E−05 0.78 0.69 hsa-miR-23c 3.1E−12 1.2E−06 >0.01 0.68 0.69 hsa-miR-551b-3p 3.0E−12 3.2E−05 >0.01 0.65 0.69 hsa-miR-26a-5p 4.7E−13 3.9E−05 >0.01 0.74 0.69 hsa-miR-183-5p 1.8E−12 2.8E−05 3.8E−04 0.59 0.68 hsa-miR-16-5p 4.2E−12 1.9E−05 8.4E−04 0.71 0.68 hsa-miR-532-5p 1.2E−11 8.0E−06 4.9E−04 0.77 0.67 hsa-miR-363-3p 3.9E−11 1.7E−04 2.7E−03 0.70 0.67 hsa-miR-374c-5p 4.5E−10 3.7E−04 >0.01 0.71 0.67 hsa-let-7b-5p 3.5E−11 3.8E−04 >0.01 0.80 0.66 hsa-miR-15a-5p 3.8E−09 9.8E−04 4.7E−03 0.82 0.66 hsa-miR-144-3p 3.9E−11 9.4E−05 3.8E−04 0.63 0.66 hsa-miR-93-5p 1.3E−09 3.8E−04 1.3E−03 0.82 0.66 hsa-miR-181b-5p 3.1E−09 1.2E−07 >0.01 0.80 0.66 hsa-miR-19b-3p 2.3E−09 3.4E−05 8.3E−05 0.80 0.65 hsa-miR-4732-3p 2.4E−08 4.7E−04 3.5E−03 0.70 0.64 hsa-miR-484 5.9E−07 9.9E−03 >0.01 0.89 0.64 hsa-miR-25-3p 3.3E−07 4.4E−03 8.8E−03 0.79 0.63 hsa-miR-192-5p 8.9E−06 9.9E−04 >0.01 0.76 0.63 hsa-miR-205-5p 3.2E−05 2.0E−03 >0.01 0.75 0.62 hsa-miR-19a-3p 2.2E−06 1.1E−03 6.9E−04 0.84 0.61 hsa-miR-32-5p 7.5E−06 8.3E−03 >0.01 0.88 0.61

TABLE 3 miRNAs identified for HFREF detection p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC Increased (n = 21) hsa-let-7d-3p 5.0E−15 1.2E−06 >0.01 1.26 0.75 hsa-miR-24-3p 5.9E−15 5.1E−07 >0.01 1.27 0.74 hsa-miR-503 5.0E−15 1.9E−06 >0.01 1.74 0.74 hsa-miR-197-3p 6.6E−14 6.7E−05 >0.01 1.22 0.73 hsa-miR-130b-3p 1.6E−10 1.1E−05 >0.01 1.23 0.71 hsa-miR-221-3p 4.4E−12 1.2E−06 >0.01 1.31 0.71 hsa-miR-34b-3p 2.4E−12 7.2E−04 >0.01 1.90 0.70 hsa-miR-21-3p 1.1E−09 3.6E−04 >0.01 1.22 0.69 hsa-miR-132-3p 7.4E−09 6.8E−04 >0.01 1.16 0.68 hsa-miR-331-5p 2.7E−09 2.2E−03 >0.01 1.18 0.68 hsa-miR-124-5p 3.3E−09 5.6E−04 >0.01 1.62 0.67 hsa-miR-148a-3p 1.2E−08 2.6E−04 >0.01 1.26 0.66 hsa-miR-23b-3p 3.2E−07 2.0E−04 >0.01 1.22 0.66 hsa-miR-375 1.0E−06 3.8E−03 >0.01 1.55 0.65 hsa-miR-134 2.4E−06 4.2E−04 >0.01 1.48 0.64 hsa-miR-627 1.4E−05 2.2E−03 >0.01 1.28 0.64 hsa-miR-382-5p 6.2E−06 6.4E−04 >0.01 1.45 0.63 hsa-miR-598 6.1E−05 2.6E−04 >0.01 1.16 0.63 hsa-miR-23a-5p 1.4E−05 3.3E−03 >0.01 1.17 0.63 hsa-miR-223-5p 3.7E−04 9.3E−03 >0.01 1.12 0.62 hsa-miR-335-5p 1.6E−04 2.6E−04 >0.01 1.19 0.61 Reduced (n = 23) hsa-miR-454-3p 2.9E−30 2.0E−11 >0.01 0.48 0.83 hsa-miR-30c-5p 3.7E−19 1.1E−08 >0.01 0.64 0.76 hsa-miR-374b-5p 1.1E−15 5.7E−07 >0.01 0.66 0.73 hsa-miR-23c 1.3E−13 2.7E−07 >0.01 0.63 0.72 hsa-miR-551b-3p 6.9E−11 1.5E−04 >0.01 0.63 0.70 hsa-miR-17-5p 1.5E−11 2.6E−04 >0.01 0.80 0.70 hsa-miR-26a-5p 6.9E−11 6.7E−05 >0.01 0.73 0.70 hsa-miR-181b-5p 1.9E−11 1.4E−06 >0.01 0.73 0.70 hsa-miR-500a-5p 2.1E−10 6.7E−05 >0.01 0.73 0.69 hsa-miR-196b-5p 1.0E−07 1.7E−03 >0.01 0.84 0.68 hsa-miR-374c-5p 1.4E−08 6.3E−04 >0.01 0.70 0.68 hsa-miR-451a 2.1E−10 1.1E−04 >0.01 0.62 0.68 hsa-miR-29b-3p 2.8E−09 8.8E−05 >0.01 0.80 0.67 hsa-miR-20a-5p 1.7E−08 7.8E−04 >0.01 0.81 0.67 hsa-miR-106a-5p 3.0E−07 4.7E−03 >0.01 0.85 0.65 hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 1.1E−04 5.9E−03 >0.01 0.84 0.65 hsa-miR-501-5p 4.3E−06 4.3E−03 >0.01 0.80 0.64 hsa-miR-20b-5p 2.0E−06 4.0E−03 >0.01 0.75 0.63 hsa-miR-183-5p 5.8E−06 1.4E−03 >0.01 0.69 0.63 hsa-miR-16-5p 1.6E−05 3.8E−03 >0.01 0.79 0.63 hsa-miR-125a-5p 7.9E−05 6.4E−04 >0.01 0.81 0.62 hsa-miR-205-5p 3.3E−04 5.9E−03 >0.01 0.76 0.61 hsa-miR-532-5p 2.3E−04 9.3E−03 >0.01 0.85 0.61

TABLE 4 miRNAs identified for HFPEF detection p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC Increased (n = 30) hsa-let-7d-3p 4.40E−22 5.90E−07 4.10E−05 1.39 0.81 hsa-miR-197-3p 4.10E−24 2.10E−07 6.40E−05 1.34 0.81 hsa-miR-223-5p 6.80E−21 2.10E−07 7.80E−05 1.37 0.79 hsa-miR-24-3p 5.80E−19 2.10E−07 4.10E−05 1.33 0.78 hsa-miR-221-3p 5.90E−17 5.90E−07 4.10E−05 1.4 0.76 hsa-miR-23b-3p 1.60E−16 1.40E−05 2.60E−04 1.41 0.76 hsa-miR-130b-3p 2.20E−14 9.00E−05 9.10E−04 1.32 0.74 hsa-miR-335-5p 2.40E−14 5.30E−06 4.10E−05 1.5 0.73 hsa-miR-21-3p 8.50E−13 8.20E−05 3.60E−03 1.29 0.72 hsa-miR-23a-5p 1.90E−12 1.40E−03 3.60E−03 1.34 0.72 hsa-miR-503 1.40E−11 3.80E−05 5.80E−04 1.64 0.72 hsa-miR-148a-3p 4.40E−11 1.10E−04 2.20E−03 1.3 0.7 hsa-miR-146a-5p 3.10E−08 2.50E−04 1.50E−04 1.37 0.69 hsa-miR-199a-3p 2.70E−07 8.40E−04 2.20E−03 1.38 0.69 hsa-let-7e-3p 4.00E−08 1.30E−03 8.50E−03 1.43 0.68 hsa-miR-134 3.90E−09 2.90E−04 1.60E−03 1.67 0.68 hsa-miR-382-5p 1.00E−09 1.00E−04 1.10E−03 1.69 0.68 hsa-miR-128 2.60E−07 2.90E−04 2.50E−03 1.15 0.67 hsa-miR-146b-5p 9.90E−08 1.60E−04 6.40E−05 1.33 0.67 hsa-miR-27a-3p 1.60E−06 3.40E−04 5.80E−04 1.21 0.67 hsa-miR-27b-3p 5.10E−07 6.70E−04 1.50E−04 1.26 0.67 hsa-miR-598 3.10E−08 1.20E−03 >0.01 1.25 0.67 hsa-miR-101-3p 2.70E−08 5.10E−04 6.70E−03 0.74 0.67 hsa-miR-551b-3p 3.30E−08 8.90E−03 >0.01 0.67 0.67 hsa-miR-627 4.20E−07 8.70E−03 >0.01 1.36 0.66 hsa-miR-185-5p 1.70E−09 1.80E−03 4.60E−03 0.8 0.66 hsa-miR-299-3p 2.30E−07 2.30E−03 >0.01 1.59 0.65 hsa-miR-425-3p 1.30E−04 9.30E−04 1.60E−03 1.15 0.65 hsa-miR-154-5p 1.10E−06 9.10E−04 3.60E−03 1.55 0.64 hsa-miR-377-3p 2.40E−06 8.30E−03 >0.01 1.52 0.64 Reduced (n = 33) hsa-miR-454-3p 8.9E−36 5.9E−07 4.1E−05 0.45 0.87 hsa-miR-106a-5p 3.4E−22 5.9E−07 4.1E−05 0.68 0.80 hsa-miR-17-5p 4.0E−21 2.5E−05 2.9E−04 0.67 0.80 hsa-miR-20b-5p 4.1E−24 5.0E−07 4.1E−05 0.47 0.79 hsa-miR-20a-5p 7.0E−21 2.1E−06 6.4E−05 0.66 0.79 hsa-miR-196b-5p 5.6E−18 2.8E−05 1.8E−04 0.75 0.78 hsa-miR-451a 3.3E−21 5.9E−07 7.0E−05 0.46 0.78 hsa-miR-18b-5p 3.0E−17 8.2E−05 9.2E−05 0.69 0.77 hsa-miR-500a-5p 2.1E−19 7.0E−06 1.6E−04 0.62 0.77 hsa-miR-29b-3p 1.0E−18 1.3E−06 6.2E−05 0.72 0.76 hsa-miR-501-5p 5.2E−19 2.4E−06 4.5E−05 0.62 0.76 hsa-miR-532-5p 1.3E−16 1.2E−06 7.0E−05 0.69 0.75 hsa-let-7b-5p 1.1E−16 3.8E−05 9.0E−04 0.71 0.74 hsa-miR-30c-5p 1.3E−15 1.0E−04 2.1E−03 0.67 0.74 hsa-miR-183-5p 2.9E−15 3.8E−05 3.8E−04 0.50 0.74 hsa-miR-144-3p 1.9E−16 3.6E−06 1.5E−04 0.51 0.73 hsa-miR-93-5p 4.6E−15 2.5E−05 5.0E−04 0.74 0.73 hsa-miR-16-5p 6.5E−15 4.1E−06 2.6E−04 0.62 0.73 hsa-miR-363-3p 1.5E−13 4.5E−05 1.3E−03 0.62 0.73 hsa-miR-25-3p 3.3E−12 8.2E−05 2.5E−03 0.68 0.71 hsa-miR-4732-3p 1.1E−13 1.1E−05 9.1E−04 0.57 0.71 hsa-miR-192-5p 2.2E−09 4.1E−04 >0.01 0.65 0.70 hsa-miR-19b-3p 1.5E−11 1.6E−05 1.0E−04 0.74 0.70 hsa-miR-15a-5p 3.3E−08 3.0E−03 3.6E−03 0.80 0.69 hsa-miR-486-5p 2.2E−10 3.4E−04 >0.01 0.64 0.69 hsa-miR-374b-5p 3.4E−10 5.1E−03 >0.01 0.72 0.68 hsa-miR-484 4.0E−08 9.9E−03 >0.01 0.86 0.67 hsa-miR-194-5p 1.0E−06 4.6E−03 >0.01 0.71 0.67 hsa-miR-101-3p 2.7E−08 5.1E−04 6.7E−03 0.74 0.67 hsa-miR-551b-3p 3.3E−08 8.9E−03 >0.01 0.67 0.67 hsa-miR-185-5p 1.7E−09 1.8E−03 4.6E−03 0.80 0.66 hsa-miR-19a-3p 3.3E−08 1.9E−04 9.1E−04 0.79 0.66 hsa-miR-550a-5p 3.5E−05 3.0E−03 5.7E−03 0.81 0.62

TABLE 5 Specific novel microRNAs for Heart failure detection p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC Increased (n = 6), AUC > 0.7 hsa-let-7d-3p 8.90E−23 4.10E−09 3.80E−05 1.32 0.78 hsa-miR-197-3p 8.90E−23 2.70E−08 7.90E−05 1.27 0.77 hsa-miR-221-3p 5.40E−19 4.90E−09 6.20E−05 1.35 0.73 hsa-miR-503 1.10E−17 1.20E−07 9.70E−04 1.69 0.73 hsa-miR-130b-3p 1.20E−14 3.90E−07 1.30E−03 1.27 0.72 hsa-miR-23b-3p 1.10E−13 2.60E−06 8.90E−04 1.31 0.71 Reduced n = (6), AUC > 0.7 hsa-miR-30c-5p 8.90E−23 1.90E−10 3.20E−04 0.65 0.75 hsa-miR-17-5p 2.40E−19 1.40E−06 3.40E−04 0.73 0.74 hsa-miR-196b-5p 2.20E−15 7.80E−06 2.00E−04 0.79 0.73 hsa-miR-106a-5p 1.10E−16 1.30E−06 4.70E−05 0.76 0.72 hsa-miR-20a-5p 2.60E−17 1.40E−06 7.90E−05 0.74 0.72 hsa-miR-451a 5.40E−19 9.80E−08 7.90E−05 0.54 0.72

As used herein throughout the disclosure, the term “miRNA” refers to microRNA, small non-coding RNA molecules, and are found in plants, animals and some viruses. miRNA are known to have functions in RNA silencing and post-transcriptional regulation of gene expression. These highly conserved RNAs regulate the expression of genes by binding to the 3′-untranslated regions (3′-UTR) of specific mRNAs. For example, each miRNA is thought to regulate multiple genes, and since hundreds of miRNA genes are predicted to be present in higher eukaryotes. miRNA may be at least 10 nucleotides and of not more than 35 nucleotides covalently linked together. In some examples, the miRNA may be molecules of 10 to 33 nucleotides, or of 15 to 30 nucleotides in length, or 17 to 27 nucleotides, or 18 to 26 nucleotides in length. In some examples, the miRNA may be molecules of 10, or 11, or 12, or 13, or 14, or 15, or 16, or 17, or 18, or 19, or 20, or 21, or 22, or 23, or 24, or 25, or 26, or 27, or 28, or 29, or 30, or 31, or 32, or 33, or 34, or 35 nucleotides in length, not including optionally labels and/or elongated sequences (e.g. biotin stretches). The miRNAs regulate gene expression and are encoded by genes from whose DNA they are transcribed but miRNAs are not translated into protein (i.e. miRNAs are non-coding RNAs). As used herein throughout the disclosure, the miRNA measured may be at least 90%, 95%, 97.5%, 98%, or 99% sequence identity to the miRNAs as listed in any one of the tables provided in the present disclosure. Thus, in some examples, the measure miRNA has at least 90%, 95%, 97.5%, 98%, or 99% sequence identity to the miRNAs as listed in any one of, Table 6, Table 7, Table 8, Table 9, Table 11, Table 12, Table 13, Table 2, Table 3, Table 4, Table 10, Table 14 or Table 5. As used herein, the term “sequence identity” “sequence identity” refers to a relationship between two or more polypeptide sequences or two or more polynucleotide sequences, namely a reference sequence and a given sequence to be compared with the reference sequence. Sequence identity is determined by comparing the given sequence to the reference sequence after the sequences have been optimally aligned to produce the highest degree of sequence similarity, as determined by the match between strings of such sequences. Upon such alignment, sequence identity is ascertained on a position-by-position basis, e.g., the sequences are “identical” at a particular position if at that position, the nucleotides or amino acid residues are identical. The total number of such position identities is then divided by the total number of nucleotides or residues in the reference sequence to give % sequence identity. Sequence identity can be readily calculated by methods known to the person skilled in the art.

As used herein throughout the disclosure, the term “heart failure”, or “HF”, refers to a complex clinical syndrome in which the pumping function of the heart becomes insufficient (ventricular dysfunction) to meet the needs of the vital system and tissues of the body. The severity of heart failure may range from non-severe (mild), which manifest in the subject having no limitation of physical activity, to increasing severity, which manifest in the subject unable to carry on any physical activity without discomfort. Heart failure is a progressive and chronic disease, worsening over time. In extreme cases, heart failure may lead to the need for a heart transplant. In some examples, the subject may be determined to be at risk of developing heart failure if the subject may have further heart failure, such as deterioration into recurrent acute decompensated heart failure or death among those with known chronic heart failure.

As used herein throughout the disclosure, the terms “subject” and “patient” are to be used interchangeably to refer to individual or mammal suspected to be affected by heart failure. The patient may be predicted (or determined, or diagnosed) to be affected by heart failure, i.e. diseased, or may be predicted to be not affected by heart failure, i.e. healthy. The subject may also be determined to be affected by a specific form of heart failure. In some examples, the heart failure patient may be a subject who has had primary diagnosis of heart failure and/or being treated 3-5 days when symptomatically improved, with resolution of bedside physical signs of heart failure and considered fit to discharge. Thus, the subject may further be determined to develop heart failure or a specific form of heart failure. It should be noted that a subject that is determined as being healthy, i.e. not suffering from heart failure or from a specific form of heart failure, may possibly suffer from another disease not tested/known. As used herein, the subject of the present disclosure may be any mammal, including both a human and another mammal, e.g. an animal such as a dog, cat, rabbit, mouse, rat, or monkey. In some examples, the subject may be human. Therefore, the miRNA from a subject may be a human miRNA or a miRNA from another mammal, e.g. an animal miRNA such as a mouse, monkey or rat miRNA, or the miRNAs comprised in a set may be human miRNAs or miRNAs from another mammal, e.g. animal miRNAs such as mouse, monkey or rat miRNAs. As illustrated by Table 17 in the Experimental Section, the subject of the present disclosure may be of Asian descent or ethnicity. In some examples, the subject may include, but is not limited to any Asian ethnicity, including, Chinese, Indian, Malay, and the like.

On the other hand, the term “control” or “control subject”, as used in the context of the present invention, may refer to (a sample obtained from) subject known to be affected with heart failure (positive control, e.g. good prognosis, poor prognosis), i.e. diseased, and/or a subject with heart failure subtype HFPEF, and/or heart failure subtype HFREF, and/or a subject known to be not affected with heart failure (negative control), i.e. healthy. It may also refer to (a sample obtained from) a subject known to be effected by another disease/condition. It should be noted that a control subject that is known to be healthy, i.e. not suffering from heart failure, may possibly suffer from another disease not tested/known. Thus, in some examples, the control may be a non-heart failure subject (or sometimes referred to as a normal subject). The control subject may be any mammal, including both a human and another mammal, e.g. an animal such as a rabbit, mouse, rat, or monkey. In some examples, the control is human. In some examples, the control may be (samples obtained from) an individual subject or a cohort of subjects.

It would be appreciated by the person skilled in the art that the methods as described herein are not to be used to replace the physician's role in diagnosing the condition in a subject. As would be appreciated, clinical diagnosis of heart failure in a subject would require the physician's analysis of other symptoms and/or other information that may be available to the physicians. The methods as described herein are meant to provide support or additional information for the physicians to make the final diagnosis of the patient/subject.

As used herein throughout the disclosure, the term “sample” refers to a bodily fluid or extracellular fluid. In some examples, the bodily fluid may include, but is not limited to, cellular and non-cellular components of amniotic fluid, breast milk, bronchial lavage, cerebrospinal fluid, colostrum, interstitial fluid, peritoneal fluids, pleural fluid, saliva, seminal fluid, urine, tears, whole blood, including plasma, red blood cells, white blood cells, serum, and the like. In some examples, the bodily fluid may be blood, serum plasma, and/or plasma.

In some examples, an increase in the level of miRNAs as listed as “increased” in Table 2 or Table 5, as compared to the control, indicates the subject to have heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.

In some examples, a reduction in the level of miRNAs as listed as “reduced” in Table 2 or Table 5 as compared to the control, indicates the subject to have heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.

As used herein the term “miRNA level” or “level of miRNA” as used in the context of the present disclosure, represents the determination of the miRNA expression level (or miRNA expression profile) or a measure that correlates with the miRNA expression level in a sample. The miRNA expression level may be generated by any convenient means known in the art, such as, but are not limited to, nucleic acid hybridization (e.g. to a microarray), nucleic acid amplification (PCR, RT-PCR, qRT-PCR, high-throughput RT-PCR), ELISA for quantitation, next generation sequencing (e.g. ABI SOLID, Illumina Genome Analyzer, Roche/454 GS FLX), flow cytometry (e.g. LUMINEX) and the like, that allow the analysis of miRNA expression levels and comparison between samples of a subject (e.g. potentially diseased) and a control subject (e.g. reference sample(s)). The sample material measured by the aforementioned means may be a raw or treated sample or total RNA, labeled total RNA, amplified total RNA, cDNA, labeled cDNA, amplified cDNA, miRNA, labeled miRNA, amplified miRNA or any derivatives that may be generated from the aforementioned RNA/DNA species. By determining the miRNA expression level, each miRNA is represented by a numerical value. The higher the value of an individual miRNA, the higher is the (expression) level of said miRNA, or the lower the value of an individual miRNA, the lower is the (expression) level of said miRNA. When a higher value of an individual miRNA is detected over and beyond the control, the miRNA expression is referred to as “increased” or “upregulated”. On the other hand, when a lower value of an individual miRNA is detected that is below the control, the miRNA expression is then referred to as “decreased” or “downregulated”.

The “miRNA (expression) level”, as used herein, represents the expression level/expression profile/expression data of a single miRNA or a collection of expression levels of at least two miRNAs, or least 3, or least 4, or least 5, or least 6, or least 7, or least 8, or least 9, or least 10, or least 11, or least 12, or least 13, or least 14, or least 15, or least 16, or least 17, or least 18, or least 19, or least 20, or least 21, or least 22, or least 23, or least 24, or least 25, or least 26, or least 27, or least 28, or least 29, or least 30, or least 31, or least 32, or least 33, or least 34, or least 35, or more, or up to all known miRNAs.

In some examples, the method of determining whether a subject suffers or is at risk of suffering heart failure may include measuring the change in levels of at least two, at least three, at least four, at least five, at least six, at least seven, at least eight, at least nine, at least 10, at least 11, at least two to at least 20, at least 10 to at least 50, at least 40 to at least 66, or all miRNA as listed in Table 2. In some examples, the method of determining whether a subject suffers or is at risk of suffering heart failure may include measuring the change in levels of at least two, at least three, at least four, at least five, at least six, at least seven, at least eight, at least nine, at least 10, at least 11, or all miRNA as listed in Table 5.

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNAs as listed as “increased” in Table 3, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject to have heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or may be at a risk of developing heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNAs as listed as “reduced” in Table 3 as compared to the control, may indicate the subject to have heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or may be at a risk of developing heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF). In some examples, the method of determining whether a subject suffers or is at risk of suffering HFREF may include measuring the change in levels of at least two, or at least three, or at least four, or at least five, or at least six, or at least seven, or at least eight, or at least nine, or at least 10, or at least 11, or at least two to at least 20, or at least 10 to at least 43, or at least 15 to at least 43, or at least 30 to at least 43, or at least 40, or all miRNA as listed in Table 3.

As used herein, the term “heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF)” or “heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF)” refers to the same term as commonly used in the art. For example, the term HFREF may also be referred to as systolic heart failure. In HFREF, the heart muscle does not contract effectively and less oxygen-rich blood is pumped out to the body. In contrast, the term “heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF)” refers to a diastolic heart failure. In HFPEF, the heart muscle contracts normally but the ventricles do not relax as they should during ventricular filling or when the ventricles relax).

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNAs as listed as “increased” in Table 4, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject to have heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF) or may be at a risk of developing heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNAs as listed as “reduced” in Table 4 as compared to the control, may indicate the subject to have heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF) or may be at a risk of developing heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, the method of determining whether a subject may suffer or may be at risk of suffering HFPEF may include measuring the change in levels of at least two, or at least three, or at least four, or at least five, or at least six, or at least seven, or at least eight, or at least nine, or at least 10, or at least 11, or at least two to at least 20, or at least 10 to at least 50, or at least 20 to at least 55, or at least 30 to at least 60, or at least 35 to at least 60, or at least 40 to at least 60, or at least 40 to at least 62, or all miRNA as listed in Table 4.

In another aspect, there is provided a method of determining whether a subject suffers from a heart failure selected from the group consisting of a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) and a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), the method comprising the steps of a) detecting (or measuring) the levels of at least one miRNA as listed in Table 6 in a sample obtained from the subject and b) determining whether it is different as compared to a control, wherein altered levels of the miRNA may indicate that the subject has, or may be at a risk of, developing heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

TABLE 6 miRNAs differentially expressed between HFREF and HFPEF subjects p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC Up-regulated (n = 10) hsa-miR-223-5p 3.5E−07 2.4E−04 7.3E−05 1.22 0.68 hsa-miR-335-5p 3.4E−04 2.9E−03 1.9E−03 1.26 0.63 hsa-miR-452-5p 2.4E−03 >0.17 >0.04 1.26 0.62 hsa-miR-23b-3p 7.1E−03 >0.12 5.3E−03 1.16 0.62 hsa-miR-181b-5p 1.2E−03 >0.01 >0.01 1.20 0.62 hsa-miR-146a-5p 8.5E−03 >0.16 >0.03 1.20 0.62 hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 3.8E−04 2.9E−03 9.2E−03 1.20 0.61 hsa-miR-199b-5p 1.3E−03 3.3E−03 1.9E−03 1.24 0.61 hsa-miR-126-5p 5.7E−03 >0.02 >0.01 1.14 0.61 hsa-miR-23a-5p 6.4E−03 >0.15 >0.02 1.14 0.60 Down-regulated (n = 30) hsa-miR-185-5p 1.9E−08 5.2E−05 4.2E−05 0.79 0.69 hsa-miR-20b-5p 3.2E−07 1.0E−03 1.5E−04 0.63 0.68 hsa-miR-550a-5p 3.5E−07 2.7E−04 1.1E−03 0.73 0.68 hsa-miR-106a-5p 9.6E−07 2.9E−03 4.5E−04 0.80 0.67 hsa-miR-486-5p 2.7E−06 9.5E−04 3.3E−04 0.67 0.66 hsa-let-7b-5p 6.3E−06 2.9E−03 3.3E−04 0.81 0.66 hsa-miR-93-5p 2.0E−06 1.0E−03 3.3E−04 0.81 0.65 hsa-miR-20a-5p 2.3E−05 9.3E−03 7.8E−04 0.81 0.65 hsa-miR-25-3p 2.4E−05 2.9E−03 8.7E−04 0.76 0.65 hsa-miR-18b-5p 9.9E−06 9.4E−03 1.9E−03 0.80 0.65 hsa-miR-532-5p 3.7E−05 4.0E−03 1.5E−03 0.80 0.65 hsa-miR-501-5p 4.7E−05 2.1E−03 7.5E−04 0.77 0.64 hsa-miR-4732-3p 8.4E−05 2.9E−03 1.5E−03 0.69 0.64 hsa-miR-144-3p 1.1E−04 2.9E−03 7.5E−04 0.68 0.63 hsa-miR-192-5p 2.3E−03 >0.08 >0.04 0.75 0.63 hsa-miR-17-5p 2.7E−04 >0.21 5.7E−03 0.83 0.62 hsa-miR-363-3p 1.2E−03 >0.06 >0.02 0.79 0.62 hsa-miR-103a-3p 1.2E−03 >0.07 >0.03 0.87 0.62 hsa-miR-16-5p 9.8E−04 >0.22 3.2E−03 0.79 0.62 hsa-miR-194-5p 5.3E−03 >0.18 >0.05 0.78 0.62 hsa-miR-183-5p 1.4E−03 >0.14 >0.01 0.71 0.62 hsa-miR-451a 1.7E−03 >0.13 3.2E−03 0.73 0.61 hsa-miR-19b-3p 1.7E−03 >0.04 7.0E−03 0.85 0.61 hsa-miR-30a-5p 1.8E−03 >0.20 >0.07 0.81 0.60 hsa-miR-106b-3p 6.4E−03 >0.03 >0.01 0.90 0.60 hsa-miR-19a-3p 7.3E−03 >0.09 >0.05 0.87 0.60 hsa-let-7i-5p 1.2E−03 >0.11 >0.07 0.90 0.59 hsa-miR-196b-5p 7.7E−03 >0.19 >0.06 0.90 0.59 hsa-miR-500a-5p 8.5E−03 >0.10 >0.06 0.86 0.58 hsa-miR-122-5p 8.7E−03 >0.05 >0.01 0.68 0.58

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNAs as listed as “increased” in Table 6, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNAs as listed as “reduced” in Table 6 as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has developing heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

In some examples of the method for determining whether a subject suffers from a heart failure selected from the group consisting of a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) and a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), the method may comprise measuring the change in levels of at least two, or at least three, or at least four, or at least five, or at least six, or at least seven, or at least eight, or at least nine, or at least 10, or at least 11, or at least two to at least 20, or at least 10 to at least 39, or all miRNA as listed in Table 6.

In the examples of the method for determining whether a subject suffers from a heart failure selected from the group consisting of a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) and a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), the control may be a subject that has either a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, the control may be a patient with a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF), differential expression of miRNAs as listed in Table 6 indicates the subject to have a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, when the control is a patient with a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), differential expression of miRNAs as listed in Table 6 indicates the subject to have a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF).

In addition, the inventors of the present disclosure also examined the use of these miRNAs as prognostic markers. That is, the methods of the present disclosure may be used to predict possible risk of events of death or hospitalization in the future or prospects of progress determined by diagnosing a disease. Prognosis in patients with heart failure means predicting the possibility of observed survival (survival free of death) or event free survival (survival free of hospitalization or death). As used herein, the term “observed survival”, or “all-cause survival”, or “all-cause mortalilty”, or “all-cause of death”, refers to observed survival rate of subjects in view of any causes of death. This term is in contrast to the term “event free survival (EFS)”, which refers to the absence of the recurrent hospital admission for heart failure (i.e. the length of time after heart failure treatment during which recurrent admission for decompensated heart failure is avoided) and any causes of death.

The inventors of the present disclosure found that there were a number of miRNAs that were found to be good predictors for either the observed (all-cause) survival (OS) (i.e. observed survival rate due to all causes of death) or event free survival (EFS) combination of recurrent admission for heart failure (i.e. the length of time after heart failure treatment during which recurrent admission for decompensated heart failure is avoided) and all causes of death in chronic heart failure patients. Thus, the present disclosure may also be used in a method of predicting the prognosis of a subject. Thus, in another aspect of the present disclosure, there is provided a method for determining the risk of a heart failure patient having an altered risk of death (or decreased observed (all-cause) survival rate). In some examples, the method may comprise the steps of a) detecting the levels of at least one miRNA as listed in Table 7 in a sample obtained from the subject; and/or measuring the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 7; and b) determining whether the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 7 is different as compared to the levels of the miRNAs of a control population, wherein altered levels of the miRNA indicates that the subject is likely to have an altered risk of death (altered observed (all-cause) survival rate) compared to the control population.

TABLE 7 miRNAs that may be used in predicting observed survival Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis SE of SE of HR ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value HR ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value HR > 1 OR ln(HR) > 0 (n = 26) hsa-miR-503 1.90 0.64 0.17 1.40E−04 1.79 0.58 0.19 2.80E−03 hsa-miR-186-5p 1.72 0.54 0.17 1.70E−03 1.54 0.43 0.17 9.50E−03 hsa-miR-21-3p 1.65 0.5 0.15 1.00E−03 1.48 0.39 0.17 2.70E−02 hsa-miR-337-3p 1.60 0.47 0.15 1.80E−03 1.60 0.47 0.16 3.10E−03 hsa-miR-424-5p 1.57 0.45 0.14 1.50E−03 1.38 0.32 0.16 4.20E−02 hsa-miR-127-3p 1.57 0.45 0.16 5.10E−03 1.51 0.41 0.17 1.40E−02 hsa-miR-369-3p 1.57 0.45 0.16 6.50E−03 1.52 0.42 0.17 1.60E−02 hsa-miR-487b 1.52 0.42 0.15 5.80E−03 1.72 0.54 0.17 1.80E−03 hsa-miR-485-3p 1.52 0.42 0.16 6.90E−03 1.57 0.45 0.17 6.90E−03 hsa-miR-379-5p 1.52 0.42 0.16 9.00E−03 1.62 0.48 0.17 4.40E−03 hsa-miR-299-3p 1.51 0.41 0.15 6.90E−03 1.39 0.33 0.16 3.30E−02 hsa-miR-377-3p 1.49 0.4 0.15 7.80E−03 1.51 0.41 0.15 6.90E−03 hsa-miR-495 1.48 0.39 0.16 1.30E−02 1.62 0.48 0.17 5.10E−03 hsa-miR-654-3p 1.48 0.39 0.15 8.10E−03 1.46 0.38 0.15 1.00E−02 hsa-miR-493-5p 1.46 0.38 0.16 1.50E−02 1.46 0.38 0.16 1.70E−02 hsa-miR-382-5p 1.45 0.37 0.14 9.30E−03 1.35 0.3 0.14 3.60E−02 hsa-miR-23a-3p 1.45 0.37 0.17 3.40E−02 1.48 0.39 0.18 3.00E−02 hsa-miR-154-5p 1.43 0.36 0.14 1.10E−02 1.34 0.29 0.15 4.40E−02 hsa-miR-134 1.43 0.36 0.14 1.00E−02 1.30 0.26 0.14 6.70E−02 hsa-miR-136-5p 1.40 0.34 0.15 1.80E−02 1.48 0.39 0.16 1.40E−02 hsa-miR-128 1.39 0.33 0.15 2.70E−02 1.39 0.33 0.16 3.50E−02 hsa-miR-200c-3p 1.38 0.32 0.15 3.00E−02 1.38 0.32 0.16 4.40E−02 hsa-miR-1226-3p 1.38 0.32 0.16 5.50E−02 1.55 0.44 0.18 1.70E−02 hsa-miR-24-3p 1.35 0.3 0.15 4.50E−02 1.23 0.21 0.15 1.60E−01 hsa-miR-29c-5p 1.30 0.26 0.15 7.90E−02 1.39 0.33 0.17 4.80E−02 hsa-miR-374b-5p 1.19 0.17 0.15 2.60E−01 1.42 0.35 0.17 4.00E−02 HR < 1 OR ln(HR) < 0 (n = 14) hsa-miR-150-5p 0.52 −0.66 0.13 1.30E−07 0.59 −0.52 0.14 3.20E−04 hsa-miR-192-5p 0.64 −0.44 0.15 3.80E−03 0.76 −0.28 0.18 1.10E−01 hsa-miR-122-5p 0.68 −0.39 0.15 9.90E−03 0.76 −0.28 0.17 9.60E−02 hsa-miR-500a-5p 0.70 −0.36 0.15 1.70E−02 0.79 −0.23 0.16 1.50E−01 hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 0.70 −0.35 0.11 9.70E−04 0.67 −0.4 0.14 3.50E−03 hsa-miR-194-5p 0.70 −0.35 0.15 2.10E−02 0.79 −0.24 0.17 1.50E−01 hsa-miR-92a-3p 0.70 −0.35 0.16 2.60E−02 0.70 −0.36 0.16 2.20E−02 hsa-miR-660-5p 0.71 −0.34 0.15 2.50E−02 0.73 −0.32 0.16 3.80E−02 hsa-miR-486-5p 0.72 −0.33 0.14 2.20E−02 0.74 −0.3 0.15 4.30E−02 hsa-miR-375 0.72 −0.33 0.14 1.80E−02 0.77 −0.26 0.14 6.40E−02 hsa-miR-101-3p 0.73 −0.32 0.15 3.30E−02 0.81 −0.21 0.16 1.90E−01 hsa-miR-30c-5p 0.73 −0.31 0.15 3.50E−02 0.84 −0.18 0.16 2.40E−01 hsa-miR-20b-5p 0.74 −0.3 0.13 2.00E−02 0.84 −0.17 0.15 2.50E−01 hsa-miR-10b-5p 0.74 −0.3 0.14 3.30E−02 0.80 −0.22 0.15 1.30E−01

As used herein, the term “hazard ratio” refers to a term commonly known in the art to relate to a rate, or an estimate of the potential for “death” or “hospital admission” per unit time at a particular instant, given that the subject has “survived” until that instant (of “death” or “hospital admission”. It is used to measure the magnitude of difference between two survival curves. Hazard ratio (HR) >1 indicates the higher risk of having short survival time and Hazard ratio (HR) 21 1 indicates the higher risk of having longer survival time. As known in the art, the hazard ratio may be calculated by Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) model.

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio >1” in Table 7, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has an increased risk of death (decreased observed (all-cause) survival rate). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio >1” in Table 7, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has a decreased risk of death (increased observed (all-cause) survival rate).

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio <1” in Table 7, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has a decreased risk of death (increased observed (all-cause) survival rate). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio <1” in Table 7, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has an increased risk of death (decreased observed (all-cause) survival rate).

In another aspect, there is provided a method for determining the risk of a heart failure patient having an altered risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (decreased event free survival rate). In some examples, the method comprises the steps of a) detecting the levels of at least one miRNA as listed in Table 8 in a sample obtained from the subject; and/or measuring the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 8; and b) determining whether the levels of at least one miRNAs listed in Table 8 is different as compared to the levels of the miRNAs of a control population, wherein altered levels of the miRNA indicates that the subject is likely to have an altered risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (altered event free survival rate) compared to the control population.

TABLE 8 miRNAs predictive of event free survival Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis SE of SE of HR ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value HR ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value HR > 1 OR ln(HR) > 0 (n = 4) hsa-miR-331-5p 1.27 0.24 0.08 0.0025 1.12 0.11 0.08 0.15 hsa-miR-21-3p 1.25 0.22 0.08 0.01 1.11 0.1 0.09 0.27 hsa-miR-497-5p 1.20 0.18 0.08 0.033 1.07 0.07 0.08 0.39 hsa-miR-22-3p 1.25 0.22 0.06 0.00048 1.06 0.06 0.07 0.34 HR < 1 OR ln(HR) < 0 (n = 9) hsa-miR-30e-3p 0.80 −0.22 0.08 0.007 0.88 −0.13 0.09 0.14 hsa-miR-191-5p 0.81 −0.21 0.08 0.013 0.90 −0.1 0.09 0.27 hsa-miR-306-5p 0.82 −0.2 0.08 0.018 0.97 −0.03 0.09 0.7 hsa-miR-454-3p 0.83 −0.19 0.08 0.018 0.94 −0.06 0.09 0.47 hsa-miR-150-5p 0.83 −0.19 0.08 0.017 0.89 −0.12 0.09 0.17 hsa-miR-17-5p 0.83 −0.19 0.07 0.0054 0.88 −0.13 0.08 0.09 hsa-miR-103a-3p 0.83 −0.19 0.08 0.017 0.91 −0.09 0.08 0.29 hsa-miR-374b-5p 0.84 −0.17 0.08 0.048 0.98 −0.02 0.09 0.8 hsa-miR-551b-3p 0.85 −0.16 0.08 0.036 0.96 −0.04 0.08 0.62

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio >1” in Table 8, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has an increased risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (decreased event free survival rate). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio >1” in Table 8, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has a decreased risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (increased event free survival rate).

In some examples, in the method as described herein, an increase in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio <1” in Table 8, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has a decreased risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (increased event free survival rate). In some examples, in the method as described herein, a reduction in the level of miRNA as listed as “hazard ratio <1” in Table 8, as compared to the control, may indicate the subject has an increased risk of disease progression to hospitalization or death (decreased event free survival rate).

In some examples, in the method as described herein, the control may be control population or cohort of heart failure subjects. In some examples, the control population may be a population or cohort of heart failure patients where the microRNA expression levels and risk of death or disease progression for the population can be determined. In some examples, the expression level of microRNAs for the control population may be the mean or median expression level for all subjects (including the patient in question) in the population. In some examples, if 10% of the patients in the control population died within 5 years, the risk of death within 5 years is 10% for the control population. In some examples, the control population include the heart failure patient whose risk of death or disease progression is to be determined with the microRNA expression levels.

In some examples, in the method as described herein, the heart failure patient may be a subject who has had primary diagnosis of heart failure and/or being treated 3-5 days when symptomatically improved, with resolution of bedside physical signs of heart failure and considered fit to discharge. In some examples, the patient may be a stable compensated heart failure patient, which have yet to have further deterioration into recurrent acute decompensated heart failure that require re-hospitalization or death.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the risk of developing heart failure in a subject or determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, comprising the steps of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject; and/or measuring the levels of at least three miRNAs listed in Table 9 or Table 10 in the sample; and (b) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure. In some examples, the method may further comprise measuring the levels of at least one miRNA as listed in “insignificant group” in Table 9, or Table 10 and wherein the at least one miRNA is hsa-miR-Ob-5p.

As used herein throughout the disclosure and with reference to all methods as described herein, the term “score” refers to an integer or number, that can be determined mathematically, for example by using computational models a known in the art, which can include but are not limited to, SMV, as an example, and that is calculated using any one of a multitude of mathematical equations and/or algorithms known in the art for the purpose of statistical classification. Such a score is used to enumerate one outcome on a spectrum of possible outcomes. The relevance and statistical significance of such a score depends on the size and the quality of the underlying data set used to establish the results spectrum. For example, a blind sample may be input into an algorithm, which in turn calculates a score based on the information provided by the analysis of the blind sample. This results in the generation of a score for said blind sample. Based on this score, a decision can be made, for example, how likely the patient, from which the blind sample was obtained, has heart failure or not. The ends of the spectrum may be defined logically based on the data provided, or arbitrarily according to the requirement of the experimenter. In both cases the spectrum needs to be defined before a blind sample is tested. As a result, the score generated by such a blind sample, for example the number “45” may indicate that the corresponding patient has heart failure, based on a spectrum defined as a scale from 1 to 50, with “1” being defined as being heart failure-free and “50” being defined as having heart failure. Therefore, the term “score”, refers to a mathematical score, which can be calculated using any one of a multitude of mathematical equations and/or algorithms known in the art for the purpose of statistical classification. Examples of such mathematical equations and/or algorithms can be, but are not limited to, a (statistical) classification algorithm selected from the group consisting of support vector machine algorithm, logistic regression algorithm, multinomial logistic regression algorithm, Fisher's linear discriminant algorithm, quadratic classifier algorithm, perceptron algorithm, k-nearest neighbours algorithm, artificial neural network algorithm, random forests algorithm, decision tree algorithm, naive Bayes algorithm, adaptive Bayes network algorithm, and ensemble learning method combining multiple learning algorithms. In another example, the classification algorithm is pre-trained using the expression level of the control. In some examples, the classification algorithm compares the expression level of the subject with that of the control and returns a mathematical score that identifies the likelihood of the subject to belong to either one of the control groups. In some examples, the classification algorithm may compare the expression level of the subject with that of the control and returns a mathematical score that identifies the likelihood of the subject to belong to either one of the control groups. Examples of algorithms that may be used in the present disclosure are provided below.

TABLE 9 miRNAs for multivariate detection of heart failure prevalence Significant Significant Significant in biomarker for for for Name panels all HF HFREF HFPEF Significant miRNAs hsa-miR-551b-3p 59.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-24-3p 57.3% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-576-5p 39.7% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-375 39.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-451a 37.5% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-503 37.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-374b-5p 25.5% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-423-5p 24.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-181b-5p 24.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-454-3p 24.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-484 23.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-191-5p 20.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-1280 14.8% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-205-5p 12.3% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-424-5p 11.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-106a-5p 11.8% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-532-5p 11.1% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-197-3p 10.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-598 10.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-34b-3p 10.6% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-103a-3p 9.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-30b-5p 9.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-199a-3p 9.7% Yes No Yes hsa-let-7b-3p 9.6% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-374c-5p 6.1% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-148a-3p 5.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-23c 5.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-132-3p 5.0% Yes Yes No hsa-miR-200b-3p 4.5% No Yes No hsa-miR-21-5p 4.5% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-130b-3p 4.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-221-3p 4.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-223-5p 3.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-627 3.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-550a-5p 3.4% No No Yes hsa-miR-382-5p 3.4% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-19b-3p 3.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-20a-5p 3.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-23b-3p 3.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-30a-5p 2.7% Yes Yes No hsa-miR-363-3p 2.4% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-30c-5p 2.4% Yes Yes Yes Insignificant miRNAs hsa-miR-10b-5p 35.0% No No No hsa-miR-29c-3p 13.9% No No No hsa-miR-660-5p 12.1% No No No hsa-miR-133a 7.9% No No No hsa-miR-379-5p 5.2% No No No hsa-miR-10a-5p 4.7% No No No hsa-miR-92a-3p 4.0% No No No hsa-miR-222-3p 3.7% No No No hsa-miR-200c-3p 3.5% No No No

TABLE 10 miRNAs for heart failure detection prevalence Significant Significant Significant in biomarker for for for Name panels all HF HFREF HFPEF Significant miRNAs (n = 35) hsa-miR-551b-3p 59.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-24-3p 57.3% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-576-5p 39.7% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-375 39.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-451a 37.5% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-503 37.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-374b-5p 25.5% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-181b-5p 24.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-454-3p 24.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-484 23.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-205-5p 12.3% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-424-5p 11.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-106a-5p 11.8% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-532-5p 11.1% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-197-3p 10.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-598 10.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-34b-3p 10.6% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-199a-3p 9.7% Yes No Yes hsa-let-7b-3p 9.6% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-374c-5p 6.1% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-148a-3p 5.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-23c 5.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-132-3p 5.0% Yes Yes No hsa-miR-200b-3p 4.5% No Yes No hsa-miR-130b-3p 4.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-221-3p 4.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-223-5p 3.9% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-627 3.7% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-550a-5p 3.4% No No Yes hsa-miR-382-5p 3.4% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-19b-3p 3.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-20a-5p 3.2% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-23b-3p 3.0% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-363-3p 2.4% Yes Yes Yes hsa-miR-30c-5p 2.4% Yes Yes Yes Insignificant miRNAs (n = 7) hsa-miR-10b-5p 35.0% No No No hsa-miR-660-5p 12.1% No No No hsa-miR-133a 7.9% No No No hsa-miR-379-5p 5.2% No No No hsa-miR-10a-5p 4.7% No No No hsa-miR-222-3p 3.7% No No No hsa-miR-200c-3p 3.5% No No No

In some examples, the method as disclosed herein measures the change in levels of: at least four, or at least five, or at least six, or at least seven, or at least eight, or at least nine, or at least 10, or at least 11, or at least two to at least 20, or at least 10 to at least 45, or at least 40 to at least 50, or all miRNA as listed in Table 9. In some examples, the method as disclosed herein measures at least four, or at least five, or at least six, or at least seven, or at least eight, or at least nine, or at least 10, or at least 11, or at least two to at least 20, or at least 10 to at least 41, or all miRNA as listed in Table 10.

In some examples, the method as disclosed herein measures the level of at least one (or multiple) miRNAs (in a subject's plasma sample). The measurement of at least one miRNAs may be combined to generate a score for the prediction of heart failure or the classification of HFREF and HFPEF subtypes. In some examples, the formula to generate the score may be Formula 1, which formula is as follows:

prediction score=B+Σ _(i=1) ^(n) K _(i)×log₂ copy_miRNA_(i),  Formula 1

where log₂ copy_miRNA_(i) is log transformed copy numbers (copy/ml of plasma) of individual miRNAs'; K_(i) is the coefficients used to weight multiple miRNA targets; and B is a constant value to adjust the scale of the prediction score.

Formula 1 here demonstrated the use of a linear model for the prediction of heart failure or classification of HFREF and HFPEF subtypes. The prediction score (unique for each subject) is the number to make the predictive or diagnostic decisions.

In the Experimental Section of the present disclosure, the diagnostic utility of the identified miRNAs underwent further statistical evaluation. Multivariate miRNA biomarker panels (HF panel, HFREF and HFPEF panels) were then formulated by sequence forward floating search (SFFS) [53] and support vector machine (SVM) [54] with repeated cross-validation in silico. The inventors of the present disclosure found some of the miRNAs in the biomarker panels consistently produced AUC values (Areas Under the Curve) of ≥0.92 for HF detection (FIG. 20(B)) and AUC ≥0.75 for subtype categorization (FIG. 24(A)) in the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) plot. The miRNA panels, when used in combination with NT-proBNP, exhibited marked improved discriminative power and better classification accuracies for both purposes (FIG. 22(B) and FIG. 24(B)).

Thus, in another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the risk of developing heart failure in a subject or determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, comprising the steps of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject; and/or measuring the levels of at least two miRNAs listed in Table 11 in the sample; and (b) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure.

TABLE 11 miRNAs to be used in conjunction with NP-proBNP in detection of heart failure prevalence Significant Significant Significant in biomarker for for for Name panels all HF HFREF HFPEF Significant miRNAs (additional to ln_NT-proBNP) hsa-miR-454-3p 42.0% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-451a 38.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-503 36.7% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-1280 30.9% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-103a-3p 22.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-106a-5p 19.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-375 16.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-148a-3p 13.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-24-3p 12.9% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-17-5p 11.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-25-3p 11.0% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-30b-5p 10.9% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-196b-5p 9.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-34b-3p 7.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-363-3p 6.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-374b-5p 6.7% Yes No No hsa-miR-193a-5p 6.6% Yes No No hsa-miR-197-3p 5.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-101-3p 4.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-532-5p 4.7% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-30c-5p 4.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-16-5p 4.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-144-3p 4.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-183-5p 4.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-20b-5p 4.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-501-5p 4.0% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-423-5p 3.9% Yes No No hsa-miR-130b-3p 3.9% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-20a-5p 3.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-29b-3p 3.2% Yes No Yes hsa-let-7b-5p 3.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-500a-5p 2.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-19b-3p 2.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-4732-3p 2.2% Yes No Yes hsa-let-7d-3p 2.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-15a-5p 2.0% Yes No Yes Insignificant miRNAs (additional to ln_NT-proBNP) hsa-miR-576-5p 25.4% No No No hsa-miR-124-5p 15.9% No No No hsa-miR-192-5p 9.6% No No No hsa-miR-551b-3p 8.1% No No No hsa-miR-150-5p 7.6% No No No hsa-miR-191-5p 6.6% No No No hsa-miR-10b-5p 6.5% No No No hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 4.2% No No No hsa-miR-181b-5p 2.8% No No No hsa-miR-26a-5p 2.8% No No No hsa-miR-205-5p 2.6% No No No hsa-miR-92a-3p 2.4% No No No hsa-miR-424-5p 2.3% No No No

In some examples, the methods as described herein may further comprise the step of determining the level of Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and/or N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). In some examples, both NT-proBNP and BNP are good markers of prognosis and diagnosis of heart failure, such as chronic heart failure.

In some examples, the method as described herein may measure the altered levels of at least three, or at least four, or at least five, or at least six, or at least seven, or at least eight, or at least nine, or at least 10, or at least 11, or at least two to at least 20, or at least 10 to at least 45, or at least 40 to at least 48, or all miRNA as listed in Table 11.

In some examples, in the methods as disclosed herein, where BNP and/or NT-proBNP are used together with miRNA, Formula 2 can be used instead. In Formula 2, the level of BNP/NT-proBNP in the plasma sample is included into the linear model. In one example, Formula 2 is as follows:

prediction score=B+BNP+Σ _(i=1) ^(n) K _(i)×log₂ copy_miRNA_(i),  Formula 2

wherein, log₂ copy_miRNA_(i) is log transformed copy numbers (copy/ml of plasma) of individual miRNAs'; K_(i) is the coefficients used to weight multiple miRNA targets; B is a constant value to adjust the scale of the prediction score; BNP is a measure positively or negatively correlated with the level of BNP and/or NT-proBNP in the sample.

Additionally, for the prediction of heart failure, the prediction score (which would be unique for each subject) is the number that indicates the likelihood of a subject having heart failure. In some examples, the outcome of the methods as described herein (i.e. prediction of likelihood or diagnosis) may be found in Formula 3. If the value is higher than a pre-set cutoff value, the subject will be diagnosed or predicted to have heart failure. If the value is lower than a pre-set cutoff value, the subject will be diagnosed or predicted to be without heart failure. Formula 3 is as follows:

$\begin{matrix} {{outcome} = \left\{ \begin{matrix} {{{have}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},{{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} > {cutoff}}} \\ {{{no}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},{{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} < {cutoff}}} \end{matrix} \right.} & {{Formula}\mspace{14mu} 3} \end{matrix}$

In some examples, for the classification of HFREF and HFPEF subtypes, the prediction score (which is unique for each subject) may be the number that indicates the likelihood of a heart failure subject having HFPEF subtype of heart failure. In some examples, the outcome of the diagnosis may be found in Formula 4. If the value is higher than a pre-set cutoff value, the heart failure subject will be diagnosed as (or predicted to) having HFPEF subtype of heart failure. If the value is lower than a pre-set cutoff value, the heart failure subject will be diagnosed as (or predicted to) have HFREF subtype of heart failure by this test.

$\begin{matrix} {{outcome} = \left\{ \begin{matrix} {{{have}\mspace{14mu}{HFPEF}\mspace{14mu}{subtype}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},{{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} > {cutoff}}} \\ {{{have}\mspace{14mu}{HFREF}\mspace{14mu}{subtype}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},{{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} < {cutoff}}} \end{matrix} \right.} & {{Formula}\mspace{14mu} 4} \end{matrix}$

In another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the likelihood of a subject to be suffering from a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In some examples, the method comprises the steps of: (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject; and/or measuring the levels of at least three miRNA listed in Table 12 in the sample; and (b) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to be suffering from, a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

TABLE 12 miRNA for determining heart failure subtype categorization Name prevalence in biomarker panels Significant miRNAs hsa-miR-30a-5p 94.6% hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 83.7% hsa-miR-486-5p 64.6% hsa-miR-199b-5p 55.6% hsa-miR-451a 39.3% hsa-miR-144-3p 37.7% hsa-miR-20b-5p 24.2% hsa-miR-223-5p 21.6% hsa-miR-20a-5p 16.3% hsa-miR-106a-5p 10.1% hsa-miR-93-5p 4.9% hsa-miR-18b-5p 4.4% hsa-miR-103a-3p 4.1% hsa-miR-500a-5p 4.1% hsa-let-7i-5p 3.5% hsa-miR-196b-5p 3.5% hsa-miR-335-5p 3.4% hsa-miR-183-5p 3.3% hsa-miR-146a-5p 2.6% hsa-miR-25-3p 2.4% hsa-miR-17-5p 2.4% hsa-miR-185-5p 2.3% Insignificant miRNAs hsa-miR-191-5p 42.3% hsa-miR-1275 32.8% hsa-miR-124-5p 31.7% hsa-miR-532-3p 28.0% hsa-miR-23a-3p 22.0% hsa-miR-484 15.1% hsa-miR-125a-5p 11.3% hsa-miR-10b-5p 11.0% hsa-miR-101-3p 8.4% hsa-miR-423-5p 7.6% hsa-miR-660-5p 7.3% hsa-miR-374b-5p 7.1% hsa-miR-193a-5p 6.4% hsa-miR-92a-3p 5.2% hsa-miR-15a-5p 4.9% hsa-miR-200c-3p 4.1% hsa-miR-497-5p 3.8% hsa-miR-425-3p 2.9% hsa-miR-32-5p 2.7% hsa-miR-139-5p 2.7% hsa-miR-503 2.6% hsa-miR-221-3p 2.3% hsa-miR-345-5p 1.9% hsa-miR-551b-3p 1.8%

In some examples, the method as described herein may measure the altered levels of at least four, at least five, at least six, at least seven, at least eight, at least nine, at least 10, at least 11, at least two to at least 20, at least 10 to at least 30, at least 40 to at least 45 or all miRNA as listed in Table 12.

In some examples, the score in the method as disclosed herein may be calculated by the formulas provided herein. In some examples, the formula may be at least one of the formula, including, but is not limited to, Formula 1, and/or Formula 2. The outcome of the methods as disclosed herein may be determined by the formula, such as, but not limited to, Formula 3, Formula 4, and the like.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the likelihood of a subject having a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), comprising the steps of (a) detecting the presence of miRNA in a sample obtained from the subject; and/or measuring the levels of at least two miRNAs listed in Table 13 or Table 14 in the sample; and (b) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to be suffering from, a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF).

TABLE 13 miRNAs for use in conjunction of NT-proBNP when categorizing heart failure subtype Name prevalence in biomarker panels Significant miRNAs (additional to ln_NT-proBNP) hsa-miR-199b-5p 91.5% hsa-miR-30a-5p 66.7% hsa-miR-486-5p 49.3% hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 35.5% hsa-miR-20b-5p 31.4% hsa-miR-122-5p 10.8% hsa-miR-223-5p 10.0% hsa-miR-144-3p 9.8% hsa-miR-106a-5p 8.9% hsa-miR-20a-5p 6.5% hsa-miR-451a 5.3% hsa-miR-25-3p 3.9% hsa-miR-103a-3p 3.6% hsa-miR-335-5p 2.3% Insignificant miRNAs (additional to ln_NT-proBNP) hsa-miR-191-5p 74.9% hsa-miR-186-5p 29.1% hsa-miR-1275 18.1% hsa-miR-484 16.6% hsa-miR-532-3p 13.9% hsa-miR-132-3p 11.0% hsa-miR-124-5p 10.6% hsa-miR-15a-5p 8.8% hsa-miR-425-3p 8.7% hsa-miR-374b-5p 7.4% hsa-miR-23a-3p 6.4% hsa-miR-92a-3p 5.8% hsa-miR-150-5p 4.5% hsa-miR-26a-5p 2.7% hsa-miR-598 2.4% hsa-miR-660-5p 2.3% hsa-miR-454-3p 2.0%

TABLE 14 miRNAs for use in conjunction of NT-proBNP when categorizing heart failure subtype prevalence Significant Significant Significant in biomarker for for for Name panels all HF HFREF HFPEF Significant miRNAs (additional to ln_NT-proBNP) (n = 32) hsa-miR-454-3p 42.0% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-451a 38.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-503 36.7% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-106a-5p 19.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-375 16.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-148a-3p 13.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-24-3p 12.9% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-17-5p 11.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-25-3p 11.0% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-196b-5p 9.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-34b-3p 7.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-363-3p 6.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-374b-5p 6.7% Yes No No hsa-miR-193a-5p 6.6% Yes No No hsa-miR-197-3p 5.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-101-3p 4.8% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-532-5p 4.7% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-30c-5p 4.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-16-5p 4.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-144-3p 4.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-183-5p 4.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-20b-5p 4.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-501-5p 4.0% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-130b-3p 3.9% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-20a-5p 3.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-29b-3p 3.2% Yes No Yes hsa-let-7b-5p 3.1% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-500a-5p 2.6% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-19b-3p 2.3% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-4732-3p 2.2% Yes No Yes hsa-let-7d-3p 2.2% Yes No Yes hsa-miR-15a-5p 2.0% Yes No Yes Insignificant miRNAs (additional to ln_NT-proBNP) (n = 10) hsa-miR-576-5p 25.4% No No No hsa-miR-124-5p 15.9% No No No hsa-miR-192-5p 9.6% No No No hsa-miR-551b-3p 8.1% No No No hsa-miR-10b-5p 6.5% No No No hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 4.2% No No No hsa-miR-181b-5p 2.8% No No No hsa-miR-26a-5p 2.8% No No No hsa-miR-205-5p 2.6% No No No hsa-miR-424-5p 2.3% No No No

As illustrated in the Experimental Section and Figure, for example FIG. 22 and FIG. 24, when a method present disclosure is used with an additional step of determining NT-proBNP, the method provides a surprisingly accurate prediction. Thus, in some examples, the method may further comprise the step of determining the level of Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and/or N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

In some examples, the method as described herein may measure the altered levels of at least three, or at least four, at least five, at least six, at least seven, at least eight, at least nine, at least 10, at least 11, at least two to at least 20, at least 10 to at least 30, or all miRNA as listed in Table 13 or at least four, at least five, at least six, at least seven, at least eight, at least nine, at least 10, at least 11, at least two to at least 20, at least 10 to at least 41, or all miRNA as listed in Table 14.

In some examples, the levels of at least one of the miRNAs measured in step (b), when compared to a control, is not altered in the subject. In such examples, the miRNA which levels when compared to a control is not altered in the subject is the miRNAs listed as “insignificant” in the respective tables.

In some examples, the score in the method as disclosed herein may be calculated by Formula 2.

As would be understood by the person skilled in the art, the classification algorithm, as used herein in any of the methods described in the disclosure, may be pre-trained using the expression level of the control. In examples where the classification algorithm is to be pre-trained using pre-existing clinical data, the control may be at least one selected from the group consisting of a heart failure free control (normal) and a heart failure patient. The control may include a cohort of subject(s) having heart failure and/or not having heart failure (i.e. heart failure free). Thus, in some examples of the method as disclosed herein, the control may include, but not limited to, a heart failure free control, and a heart failure patient, a HFPEF subtype heart failure patient, a HFREF subtype heart failure patient, and the like.

The present disclosure discusses the differential comparison of expression levels of miRNA in the establishment of a panel of miRNAs, based on which a determination of whether a subject is at risk of developing heart failure, or a determination whether a subject suffers from heart failure can be made. As disclosed therein, the methods as disclosed herein require the differential comparison of miRNA expression levels, usually from different groups. In one example, the comparison is made between two groups. These comparison groups can be defined as being, but are not limited to, heart failure, heart failure-free (normal). Within the heart failure groups, further subgroups, for example but not limited to, HFREF and HFPEF, can be found. Differential comparisons can also be made between these groups described herein. Thus, in some examples, the expression level of the miRNAs can be expressed as, but not limited to, concentration, log(concentration), threshold cycle/quantification cycle (Ct/Cq) number, two to the power of threshold cycle/quantification cycle (Ct/Cq) number and the like.

In any of the methods as described herein, the methods may further include, but is not limited to, the steps of obtaining a sample from the subject at different time points, monitoring the course of the heart failure, staging the heart failure, measuring the miRNA level and/or NT-proBNP level in the (sample obtained from) subject, and the like.

In some examples, based on the current cohort as described in the Experimental Section below, biomarker panels including multiple miRNAs or biomarker panels including multiple miRNAs and BNP/NT-proBNP may be developed. The prediction score calculation may be optimized by methods known in the art, for example with a linear SVM model. In some examples, the biomarker panels consisting various number of miRNAs targets may be optimized by SFFS and SVM, where the AUC was optimized for the prediction of heart failure (Table 15) or classifications of heart failure subtypes (Table 16). Exemplary formulas, cutoffs and the performance of the panel are provided in Tables.

TABLE 15 Exemplary biomarker panels for HF detection. Combination of cutoff AUC Sensitivity Specificity Accuracy Biomarker biomarker panel value (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) 3 miRNAs −0.58*miR-454-3p 0 0.93 85.2% 87.0% 85.9% Panel −0.57*miR-551b-3p (0.91-0.95) (81.9%-88.0%) (83.8%-89.7%) (82.6%-88.7%) +1.31*miR-24-3p −11.47 4 miRNAs −0.54*miR-454-3p 0 0.94 87.3% 88.0% 87.5% Panel −0.62*miR-551b-3p (0.93-0.96) (84.1%-89.9%) (84.9%-90.5%) (84.4%-90.2%) +1.39*miR-24-3p −0.54*miR-10b-5p −7.13 5 miRNAs −0.95*miR-451a 0 0.95 87.3% 90.4% 88.5% Panel +0.38*miR-503 (0.93-0.97) (84.1%-89.9%) (87.5%-92.7%) (85.4%-91.0%) +1.12*miR-576-5p −1.17*miR-30b-5p +0.73*let-7b-3p +21.47 6 miRNAs −0.84*miR-451a 0 0.96 87.6% 92.3% 89.4% Panel −0.46*miR-551b-3p (0.94-0.98) (84.4%-90.2%) (89.7%-94.4%) (86.4%-91.8%) +0.34*miR-503 +1.11*miR-576-5p +1.02*miR-24-3p −1.02*miR-374b-5p +6.61 7 miRNAs −0.73*miR-451a 0 0.97 87.3% 93.8% 89.7% Panel −0.54*miR-551b-3p (0.95-0.98) (84.1%-89.9%) (91.3%-95.6%) (86.8%-92.1%) +0.30*miR-503 +1.06*miR-576-5p −1.16*miR-374b-5p +0.85*miR-24-3p +0.37*miR-199a-3p +4.60 8 miRNAs −0.84*miR-451a 0 0.97 91.4% 94.2% 92.5% Panel −0.45*miR-551b-3p (0.96-0.98) (88.7%-93.6%) (91.8%-96.0%) (89.9%-94.5%) +0.35*miR-503 +1.13*miR-576-5p +0.30*miR-375 +0.94*miR-24-3p −0.28*miR-205-5p −0.98*miR-374b-5p +6.52 2 miRNAs −0.88*miR-103a-3p 0 0.98 92.9% 95.2% 93.8% panel + +0.88*miR-24-3p (0.98-0.99) (90.3%-94.9%) (93.0%-96.8%) (91.3%-95.6%) NTproBNP +0.43*log2(BNP) −3.48 3 miRNAs −1.09*miR-103a-3p 0 0.99 94.4% 95.2% 94.7% panel + +0.73*miR-24-3p (0.98-0.99) (92.0%-96.1%) (93.0%-96.8%) (92.4%-96.4%) NTproBNP +0.44*miR-148a-3p +0.45*log2(BNP) −2.87 4 miRNAs +0.93*miR-24-3p 0 0.99 93.8% 96.2% 94.7% panel + −0.98*miR-103a-3p (0.98-1.00) (91.3%-95.6%) (94.1%-97.6%) (92.4%-96.4%) NTproBNP +0.50*miR-148a-3p −0.42*miR-181b-5p +0.42*log2(BNP) −5.06 5 miRNAs +0.27*miR-503 0 0.99 95.0% 97.6% 96.0% panel + +0.84*miR-576-5p (0.99-1.00) (92.7%-96.6%) (95.8%-98.7%) (93.9%-97.4%) NTproBNP −0.92*miR-451a −0.99*miR-30b-5p +0.69*miR-148a-3p +0.46*log2(BNP) +14.70 6 miRNAs −0.87*miR-451a 0 0.99 96.2% 96.6% 96.3% panel + +1.30*miR-576-5p (0.99-1.00) (94.1%-97.6%) (94.7%-98.0%) (94.3%-97.7%) NTproBNP −1.13*miR-30b-5p +0.81*miR-148a-3p −0.57*miR-15a-5p +0.47*miR-99b-5p +0.48*log2(BNP) +16.75 7 miRNAs −0.99*miR-451a 0 1.00 95.9% 96.6% 96.2% panel + +0.28*miR-503 (0.99-1.00) (93.7%-97.3%) (94.7%-98.0%) (94.1%-97.6%) NTproBNP +1.16*miR-576-5p +0.83*miR-148a-3p +0.35*miR-181a-2-3p −1.20*miR-30b-5p −0.60*miR-15a-5p +0.53*log2(BNP) +22.38

As used herein in Table 15, the symbol “*” refers to “×” or multiplication symbol; “−” refers to negative value; “+” refers to addition; and “log 2(BNP)” refers to the log 2 value of BNP expression. The second column of Table 15 also illustrates exemplary formulas for calculating the score as used in the method used herein. In the formula, the measuring unit for microRNA is copy/ml plasma and for NT-proBNP is pg/ml plasma. As would be apparent to the person skilled in the art, the coefficients and cutoffs in the formulas would have to be adjusted in accordance with different detection system used for the measurement and/or different units used to represent the microRNA expression level and BNP level/type. The adjustment of the formula would not be beyond the skill of the average person skilled in the art.

Thus, in another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the risk of developing heart failure in a subject or determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, comprising the steps of (a) detecting the presence of miRNAs of a selected panel as listed in Table 15 in a sample obtained from the subject; or measuring the levels of miRNAs as listed in the selected panel of Table 15 in the sample; and (b) assigning a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure. In one example, the score is calculated based on the formula as listed in Table 15. In one example, when a two miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “2 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a three miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “3 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a four miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “4 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a five miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “5 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a six miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “6 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a seven miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “7 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a eight miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 15 as “8 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, the methods may be performed with an additional step of detecting and measuring the level of NTproBNP in the sample thereof.

In some examples, for the prediction of heart failure, the prediction score (which would be unique for each subject) is the number that indicates the likelihood of a subject having heart failure. In some examples, the outcome of the methods as described herein (i.e. prediction of likelihood or diagnosis) may be found in Formula 3. If the value is higher than a pre-set cutoff value, the subject will be diagnosed or predicted to have heart failure. If the value is lower than a pre-set cutoff value, the subject will be diagnosed or predicted to be without heart failure. Formula 3 is as follows:

$\begin{matrix} {{outcome} = \left\{ \begin{matrix} {{{have}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} > {cutoff}} \\ {{{no}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} < {cutoff}} \end{matrix} \right.} & {{Formula}\mspace{14mu} 3} \end{matrix}$

TABLE 16 Exemplary biomarker panels for heart failure subtype classification. Combination of cutoff AUC Sensitivity Specificity Accuracy Biomarker biomarker panel value (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) (95% CI) 3 miRNAs −0.31*miR-486-5p 0 0.77 69.6% 70.6% 70.1% Panel −0.35*miR-30a-5p (0.72-0.82) (64.4%-74.4%) (65.3%-75.3%) (64.9%-74.9%) +0.37*miR-181a-2-3p +8.14 4 miRNAs −0.29*miR-30a-5p 0 0.79 78.5% 71.7% 74.9% Panel +0.43*miR-181a-2-3p (0.74-0.84) (73.6%-82.7%) (66.5%-76.4%) (69.8%-79.3%) −0.24*miR-1275 −0.27*miR-20b-5p +8.80 5 miRNAs −0.51*miR-20b-5p 0 0.80 78.5% 72.2% 75.1% Panel −0.23*miR-1275 (0.75-0.85) (73.6%-82.7%) (67.1%-76.9%) (70.1%-79.6%) +0.24*miR-451a +0.43*miR-181a-2-3p −0.27*miR-30a-5p +6.51 6 miRNAs −0.50*miR-486-5p 0 0.82 74.1% 73.3% 73.7% Panel −0.35*miR-30a-5p (0.77-0.86) (69.0%-78.6%) (68.2%-77.9%) (68.6%-78.2%) +0.34*miR-199b-5p +0.42*miR-181a-2-3p −0.46*miR-191-5p +0.39*miR-484 +9.98 2 miRNAs −0.39*miR-20b-5p 0 0.83 74.1% 76.1% 75.1% panel + +0.34*miR-199b-5p (0.78-0.87) (69.0%-78.6%) (71.1%-80.5%) (70.1%-79.6%) NTproBNP −0.19*log2(BNP) +5.47 3 miRNAs −0.34*miR-20b-5p 0 0.84 71.5% 78.9% 75.4% panel + +0.41*miR-199b-5p (0.80-0.89) (66.3%-76.2%) (74.1%-83.1%) (70.4%-79.9%) NTproBNP −0.27*miR-30a-5p −0.19*log2(BNP) +8.02 4 miRNAs −0.47*miR-20b-5p 0 0.87 77.2% 78.9% 78.1% panel + +0.47*miR-199b-5p (0.83-0.91) (72.3%-81.5%) (74.1%-83.1%) (73.2%-82.3%) NTproBNP −0.52*miR-191-5p +0.50*miR-186-5p −0.24*log2(BNP) +7.35 5 miRNAs −0.44*miR-20b-5p 0 0.88 79.7% 77.2% 78.4% panel + +0.49*miR-199b-5p (0.85-0.92) (75.0%-83.8%) (72.3%-81.5%) (73.6%-82.6%) NTproBNP −0.50*miR-191-5p +0.56*miR-186-5p −0.29*miR-30a-5p −0.24*log2(BNP) +9.79 6 miRNAs −0.43*miR-20b-5p 0 0.89 80.4% 76.7% 78.4% panel + −0.18*miR-1275 (0.85-0.92) (75.7%-84.4%) (71.7%-81.0%) (73.6%-82.6%) NTproBNP +0.47*miR-199b-5p −0.49*miR-191-5p +0.54*miR-186-5p −0.27*miR-30a-5p −0.24*log2(BNP) +11.85

As used herein in Table 16, the symbol “*” refers to “×” or multiplication symbol; “−” refers to negative value; “+” refers to addition; and “log 2(BNP)” refers to the log 2 value of BNP expression. The second column of Table 16 also illustrates exemplary formulas for calculating the score as used in the method used herein. In the formula, the measuring unit for microRNA is copy/ml plasma and for NT-proBNP is pg/ml plasma. As would be apparent to the person skilled in the art, the coefficients and cutoffs in the formulas would have to be adjusted in accordance with different detection system used for the measurement and/or different units used to represent the microRNA expression level and BNP level/type. The adjustment of the formula would not be beyond the skill of the average person skilled in the art.

In yet another aspect, there is provided a method of determining the likelihood of a subject to be suffering from a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF), comprising the steps of (a) detecting the presence of miRNAs of a selected panel as listed in Table 16 in a sample obtained from the subject; or measuring the levels of miRNAs as listed in the selected panel of Table 16 in the sample; and (b) assigning a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to be suffering from, a heart failure with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (HFREF) or a heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFPEF). In one example, the score is calculated based on the formula as listed in Table 16. In one example, when a two miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 16 as “2 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a three miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 16 as “3 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a four miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 16 as “4 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a five miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 16 as “5 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, when a six miRNAs biomarker panel is required, the method may detect and measure the level of miRNAs listed in Table 16 as “6 miRNAs Panel”. In some examples, the methods may be performed with an additional step of detecting and measuring the level of NTproBNP in the sample thereof.

In some examples, for the classification of HFREF and HFPEF subtypes, the prediction score (which is unique for each subject) may be the number that indicates the likelihood of a heart failure subject having HFPEF subtype of heart failure. In some examples, the outcome of the diagnosis may be found in Formula 4. If the value is higher than a pre-set cutoff value, the heart failure subject will be diagnosed as (or predicted to) having HFPEF subtype of heart failure. If the value is lower than a pre-set cutoff value, the heart failure subject will be diagnosed as (or predicted to) have HFREF subtype of heart failure by this test.

$\begin{matrix} {{outcome} = \left\{ \begin{matrix} {{{have}\mspace{14mu}{HFPEF}\mspace{14mu}{subtype}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} > {cutoff}} \\ {{{have}\mspace{14mu}{HFREF}\mspace{14mu}{subtype}\mspace{14mu}{of}\mspace{14mu}{heart}\mspace{14mu}{failure}},} & {{{if}\mspace{14mu}{prediction}\mspace{14mu}{score}} < {cutoff}} \end{matrix} \right.} & {{Formula}\mspace{14mu} 4} \end{matrix}$

In one example, the methods as described herein may be implemented into a device capable to (or adapted to) perform all of (or part of) the steps described in the present disclosure. Thus, in one example, the present disclosure provides for a device adapted to (or capable of) adapting to perform the methods as described herein.

In another aspect, there is provided a kit for use (or adapted to be used, or when used) in any of the methods as described herein. In one example, the kit may comprise reagents for determining the expression of the at least one gene listed in Table 6, or at least one gene listed in Table 7, or at least one gene listed in Table 8, or at least two genes listed in Table 9, or at least two genes listed in Table 11, or at least two genes listed in Table 12, or at least two genes listed in Table 13, or at least one genes listed in Table 2; or at least one gene listed in Table 3; or at least one gene listed in Table 4; or at least one gene listed in Table 10; or at least one gene listed in Table 14; or at least one gene listed in Table 5.

In some examples, the reagents may comprise a probe, primer or primer set adapted to or capable of ascertaining the expression of at least one gene listed in Table 6, or are last one gene listed in Table 7, or at least one gene listed in Table 8, or at least two genes listed in Table 9, or at least two genes listed in Table 11, or at least two genes listed in Table 12, or at least two genes listed in Table 13, or at least one genes listed in Table 2; or at least one gene listed in Table 3; or at least one gene listed in Table 4; or at least one gene listed in Table 10; or at least one gene listed in Table 14; or at least one gene listed in Table 5.

In some examples, the kit may further comprise a reagent for determining the level of Brain Natriuretic Peptide (BNP) and/or N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP).

In some examples, the methods as described herein may further comprise a step of treating the subject predicted to (or diagnosed as) having heart failure or heart failure subtype to at least one therapeutic agent for treating heart failure (or heart failure subtype). In some examples, the method may further comprise therapies known for alleviating and/or reducing the symptoms of heart failure. In some examples, the method as described herein may further comprise the administration of agents including, but not limited to, classes of drugs that are proven to improve prognosis in heart failure (for example, ACEI's/ARB's, angiotensin receptor blockers, Loop/thiazide diuretics, beta blockers, mineralocorticoid antagonists, aspirin or Plavix, statins, digoxin, warfarin, nitrates, calcium channel blockers, spironolactone, fibrate, antidiabetic, hydralazine, iron supplements, anticoagulant, antiplatelet and the likes).

The invention illustratively described herein may suitably be practiced in the absence of any element or elements, limitation or limitations, not specifically disclosed herein. Thus, for example, the terms “comprising”, “including”, “containing”, etc. shall be read expansively and without limitation. Additionally, the terms and expressions employed herein have been used as terms of description and not of limitation, and there is no intention in the use of such terms and expressions of excluding any equivalents of the features shown and described or portions thereof, but it is recognized that various modifications are possible within the scope of the invention claimed. Thus, it should be understood that although the present invention has been specifically disclosed by preferred embodiments and optional features, modification and variation of the inventions embodied therein herein disclosed may be resorted to by those skilled in the art, and that such modifications and variations are considered to be within the scope of this invention.

The invention has been described broadly and generically herein. Each of the narrower species and subgeneric groupings falling within the generic disclosure also form part of the invention. This includes the generic description of the invention with a proviso or negative limitation removing any subject matter from the genus, regardless of whether or not the excised material is specifically recited herein.

Other embodiments are within the following claims and non-limiting examples. In addition, where features or aspects of the invention are described in terms of Markush groups, those skilled in the art will recognize that the invention is also thereby described in terms of any individual member or subgroup of members of the Markush group.

Experimental Section

Method

Pre-analytics (sample collection and miRNA extraction): Plasma samples were stored frozen at −80° C. prior to use. Total RNA from 200 μl of each plasma sample was isolated using the well-established TRI Reagent (Sigma-Aldrich®) following the manufacturer's protocol. Plasma contains minute amounts of RNA. To reduce the loss of RNA and monitor extraction efficiency, rationally designed isolation enhancers (MS2) and spike-in control RNAs (MiRXES™) were added to the specimen prior to isolation.

RT-qPCR: The isolated total RNAs and synthetic RNA standards were converted to cDNA in optimized multiplex reverse transcription reactions with a second set of spike-in control RNAs to detect the presence of inhibitors and monitor the RT-qPCR efficiency. The Improm II (Promega®) reverse transcriptase was used to perform the reverse transcription following manufacturer's instruction. The synthesized cDNA is then subjected to a multiplex augmentation step and quantified using a Sybr Green based single-plex qPCR assays (MIQE compliant) (MiRXES™). Applied Biosystems® ViiA 7384 Real-Time PCR System or Bio-rad® CFX384 Touch Real-Time PCR Detection System was used for qPCR reactions. The overview and details of miRNA RT-qPCR measurement workflow was summarized in FIG. 2.

Data processing: The raw Cycles to Threshold (Ct) values were processed and the absolute copy numbers of the target miRNAs in each sample were determined by intrapolation of the synthetic miRNA standard curves. The technical variations introduced during RNA isolation and the processes of RT-qPCR were normalized by the spike-in control RNAs. For the analysis of single miRNA, the biological variations were further normalized by a set of validated endogenous reference miRNAs stably expressed across all control and disease samples.

Results

I. Characteristics of Study Participants

A well-designed clinical study (case-control study) was carried out to ensure the accurate identification of biomarkers for chronic heart failure (HF). A total number of 338 chronic heart failure patients (180 HFREF and 158 HFPEF) from the Singapore population were used in this study and comparisons were made with 208 non-heart failure subjects matched for race, gender and age, serving as the control group. Patients with heart failure were recruited from the Singapore Heart Failure Outcomes and Phenotypes (SHOP) study [55]. Patients were included if they presented with a primary diagnosis of acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) or attended clinics for management of heart failure within 6 months of a known episode of ADHF. Controls without overt coronary artery disease or history of heart failure were recruited through the ongoing epidemiological Singapore Longitudinal Ageing Study (SLAS) [56]. All patients and controls underwent detailed clinical examination including comprehensive Doppler echocardiography for confirmation of the presence (or absence) of clinical heart failure. LVEF was assessed using the biplane method of disks as recommended by the American Society of Echocardiography (ASE) guidelines. Patients with validated heart failure and LVEF ≥50% were categorized as HFPEF, whereas those with LVEF ≤40% were classified as HFREF. Patients with EF between 40% and 50% were excluded. Assessments including blood plasma samples were deliberately undertaken when patients had received treatment (typically for 3-5 days), were symptomatically improved with resolution of bedside physical signs of heart failure and were considered fit for discharge. This ensured assessment of marker performance in the treated or “chronic” phase of heart failure. Clinical characteristics and demographic information are given in Table 17. All plasma samples were stored at −80° C. prior to use.

TABLE 17 Clinical information of the subjects included in the study Atrial Body Sample Fibrillation Mass Type Gender Race or Flutter Hypertension Diabetes Age Index C Female Indian No Yes No 70 26.67 C Male Chinese No Yes No 66 30.86 C Male Indian No No No 61 25.36 C Female Indian No Yes Yes 64 26.58 C Male Chinese No Yes No 69 24.45 C Male Chinese No No No 68 16.73 C Female Chinese No No No 61 28.69 C Male Chinese No No No 70 25.43 C Female Chinese No No No 56 25.63 C Male Chinese No No No 60 22.15 C Male Chinese No Yes No 64 24.13 C Male Chinese No Yes No 78 25.76 C Male Chinese No No No 51 22.16 C Male Chinese No No No 62 72.8 C Female Chinese No Yes No 66 22.39 C Female Chinese No No No 63 22.97 C Female Chinese No No No 71 24.85 C Female Chinese No Yes No 64 24.78 C Female Chinese No Yes Yes 52 32.7 C Female Chinese No Yes No 71 17.5 C Female Chinese No No No 70 21.62 C Male Chinese No Yes No 62 30.4 C Female Indian No No Yes 65 27.82 C Female Malay No No No 56 22.54 C Male Malay No No No 74 26.26 C Female Malay No Yes No 56 33.25 C Female Malay No Yes No 79 25.22 C Female Chinese No No No 71 31.6 C Female Malay No Yes No 71 32.37 C Male Indian No No No 68 25.51 C Male Indian No No No 54 29.12 C Female Malay No No No 64 28.22 C Female Malay No Yes Yes 66 25.26 C Male Malay No Yes No 58 32.44 C Male Chinese No No No 74 27.02 C Female Chinese No Yes No 71 28.68 C Male Malay No Yes No 53 30.91 C Male Malay No No No 60 22.38 C Female Indian No No No 58 35.81 C Male Malay No No No 69 20.96 C Male Chinese No No No 75 19.69 C Female Chinese No Yes Yes 75 31.03 C Male Malay No Yes No 66 25.15 C Male Indian No No No 40 23.44 C Male Malay No Yes No 63 26.61 C Female Chinese No Yes No 65 25.51 C Male Chinese No Yes No 68 22.61 C Female Chinese No No No 46 19.35 C Female Chinese No Yes No 53 23.19 C Male Chinese No Yes Yes 69 20.83 C Male Chinese No No No 50 26.53 C Female Chinese No No No 64 22.38 C Female Chinese No Yes No 47 23.65 C Male Chinese No No No 54 26.33 C Male Chinese No Yes No 65 25.38 C Male Chinese No Yes No 67 23.95 C Female Chinese No No No 48 20.49 C Female Chinese No No Yes 62 19.08 C Male Chinese No Yes No 65 21.6 C Female Malay No Yes No 73 25.7 C Female Chinese No No No 67 25.8 C Male Malay No No No 57 30.42 C Male Chinese No Yes No 79 24.87 C Male Chinese No Yes No 64 23.73 C Female Chinese No No No 62 21.7 C Female Chinese No No No 51 26.31 C Male Indian No Yes Yes 70 27.07 C Female Malay No No No 71 23.28 C Male Chinese Yes Yes No 81 19.47 C Female Chinese No No No 58 23.26 C Female Chinese No No No 48 21.16 C Male Malay No No Yes 55 28.77 C Female Chinese No No No 51 28.06 C Male Chinese No Yes No 70 32.32 C Male Malay No No No 46 21.22 C Female Chinese No Yes No 61 24.99 C Male Indian No Yes No 56 30.2 C Female Indian No No Yes 62 25.85 C Male Chinese No Yes No 59 26.43 C Male Indian No No Yes 68 32.01 C Female Chinese No No No 55 26.85 C Female Chinese No No Yes 63 18.72 C Male Chinese No No No 59 27.49 C Female Chinese No No No 45 21.1 C Female Chinese No Yes No 73 24.24 C Male Indian No No Yes 51 28.86 C Female Chinese No Yes No 72 23.77 C Female Chinese No No No 73 17.63 C Male Chinese No No No 64 23.02 C Female Chinese No No No 59 21.63 C Male Chinese No Yes No 67 31.2 C Female Chinese No No No 49 21.87 C Male Malay No Yes No 48 28.36 C Male Chinese No No No 39 26.23 C Female Chinese No No No 61 27.82 C Male Malay No No No 51 21.63 C Male Chinese No Yes No 61 23.73 C Male Malay No No No 50 29.07 C Male Chinese No No No 59 26.45 C Male Chinese No No No 36 23.53 C Female Chinese No No No 57 24.8 C Male Indian No Yes No 49 22.86 C Female Malay No Yes No 61 25.48 C Male Chinese No Yes No 54 23.47 C Male Chinese No Yes No 57 25.96 C Female Indian No No No 62 26.56 C Female Chinese No No No 59 22.65 C Female Chinese Yes No No 68 21.59 C Male Chinese No Yes Yes 59 31.04 C Male Chinese No Yes No 73 18.89 C Female Chinese No No No 38 17.47 C Male Chinese No Yes No 77 26.26 C Female Malay No No Yes 59 30.18 C Male Chinese No No No 80 24.38 C Female Chinese No Yes No 74 23.46 C Female Chinese No No No 70 23.82 C Male Chinese No Yes No 38 31.88 C Male Malay No No No 52 32.23 C Male Malay No No No 53 24.81 C Male Chinese No Yes No 48 33.51 C Female Chinese No No No 55 25.13 C Female Chinese No No No 47 22.89 C Female Chinese No No No 75 26.08 C Female Chinese No No No 52 25.94 C Male Chinese No No No 59 23.95 C Male Chinese No No No 48 26.83 C Female Chinese No No No 67 22.02 C Female Chinese No No No 59 21.3 C Female Chinese No No No 63 21.64 C Male Malay No No No 39 19.96 C Female Chinese No No No 54 21.36 C Female Malay No No No 50 29.9 C Male Malay No No No 48 30.93 C Female Indian No No No 42 24.12 C Female Chinese No No No 47 25 C Male Chinese No No No 63 26.4 C Male Chinese No No No 61 28.3 C Male Chinese No Yes Yes 77 22.32 C Female Indian No Yes No 63 35.96 C Female Indian No Yes Yes 49 25.89 C Female Malay No No No 63 22.15 C Male Chinese No No No 49 21.42 C Male Chinese No No No 62 21.38 C Female Chinese No Yes No 49 26.05 C Female Malay No No No 41 21.18 C Male Indian No Yes No 53 28.8 C Male Chinese No No No 52 18.28 C Female Chinese No No Yes 69 20.04 C Female Chinese No No No 43 26.29 C Male Indian No No No 54 24.73 C Male Malay No Yes No 77 23.26 C Male Malay No No No 51 20.76 C Female Chinese No No No 52 25.82 C Female Chinese No No No 72 20.58 C Male Chinese No No No 39 24.64 C Female Indian No No No 61 27.6 C Female Chinese No No No 59 27.38 C Male Chinese No No No 71 23.41 C Female Indian No No No 59 27.41 C Female Chinese No No No 60 16.65 C Female Chinese No Yes No 72 31.23 C Male Malay No Yes No 66 27.22 C Male Chinese No No No 41 26.42 C Male Malay No No No 52 22.77 C Female Indian No No No 54 25.19 C Female Chinese No No No 36 20.28 C Male Chinese No No No 59 28.64 C Female Chinese No Yes Yes 83 18.37 C Male Malay No No No 51 18.38 C Male Chinese No No No 37 28.57 C Female Chinese No No No 71 19.05 C Male Chinese No No No 63 21.93 C Female Chinese No No No 63 19.84 C Male Malay No No No 59 30.93 C Male Chinese No No No 64 24.61 C Male Chinese No Yes No 72 23.58 C Female Indian No No No 48 27.67 C Male Chinese No No No 73 18.17 C Female Chinese No No No 64 17.89 C Male Chinese No No No 72 26.52 C Female Chinese No No No 57 18.94 C Female Chinese No No No 62 25.63 C Female Malay No Yes Yes 48 27.1 C Female Malay No No No 39 35.91 C Female Malay No Yes No 56 26.86 C Female Malay No No No 60 32.97 C Male Chinese No Yes No 76 27.94 C Male Chinese No No No 43 26.68 C Female Malay No No No 53 30.99 C Male Chinese No No No 55 24.5 C Male Malay No No No 40 22.91 C Female Chinese No Yes No 74 25.78 C Male Chinese No Yes No 77 18.68 C Male Chinese No No No 63 30.15 C Female Chinese No No No 55 22.18 C Male Chinese No No No 75 20.37 C Male Indian No Yes No 51 32.14 C Female Chinese No No No 59 29.05 C Female Chinese No Yes No 59 19.96 C Male Chinese No No No 55 21.74 C Male Chinese No No No 54 23.02 C Female Chinese No No No 73 24.09 C Male Indian No No No 48 25.28 C Male Chinese No No No 67 27.1 C Male Malay No No No 44 28.9 C Male Chinese No No No 59 22.05 C Female Chinese No No No 49 35.67 C Male Chinese No No No 56 23.51 PEF Female Malay No Yes No 80 26.44 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 72 23.33 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 71 26.67 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 62 30.22 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 67 24.5 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 69 27.35 PEF Male Malay No Yes No 75 26.1 PEF Female Malay Yes No No 76 27.61 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 72 23.52 PEF Male Malay No No Yes 64 32.31 PEF Female Malay No Yes No 56 34.37 PEF Female Indian No Yes Yes 61 26 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 52 32.89 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 56 40.22 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 70 24 PEF Male Indian No No No 40 24.77 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 71 24 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 72 25.77 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 64 25.33 PEF Female Chinese Yes No No 71 31.25 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 56 29.89 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 70 26.56 PEF Male Indian Yes Yes Yes 55 28.41 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 60 33.2 PEF Female Indian No Yes Yes 56 39.17 PEF Male Malay Yes No Yes 52 32.23 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 67 29.76 PEF Female Indian No Yes Yes 65 18.29 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 53 30.75 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 60 21.16 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 78 23.23 PEF Female Indian No Yes Yes 73 28.05 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 55 24.88 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 52 27.24 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 74 20.81 PEF Female Chinese Yes No No 48 33.22 PEF Male Indian No Yes Yes 53 43.12 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 60 27.79 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 67 22.37 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 60 37.04 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 66 47.3 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 78 29.9 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 76 23.59 PEF Female Malay Yes Yes Yes 62 N.A. PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 91 21.52 PEF Female Chinese No No No 83 23.5 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 91 20.98 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 59 24.57 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 63 27.37 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 77 25 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 68 29.41 PEF Male Chinese Yes No No 60 23.14 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 51 27.4 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 68 25.87 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 73 27.89 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 89 20.45 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 87 28.31 PEF Female Indian No Yes No 69 30 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 74 25.54 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 65 39.26 PEF Female Malay Yes Yes Yes 86 32.09 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 86 26.37 PEF Female Malay Yes Yes Yes 64 39.58 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 84 22.59 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 83 24.14 PEF Female Indian Yes Yes No 64 38.75 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 83 19.31 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 66 23.66 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 73 20.03 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 81 24.03 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 52 27.64 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 82 N.A. PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 52 40.27 PEF Male Indian No N.A. Yes 54 30.59 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 50 31.89 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 62 25.15 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 74 28.48 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 78 26.67 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 82 24.97 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 63 42.8 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 71 23.59 PEF Female Malay No Yes No 48 25.27 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 79 29.22 PEF Female Chinese Yes No No 59 27.55 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 57 25.8 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 83 N.A. PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 68 38.93 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 57 23.48 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 62 20.69 PEF Male Indian Yes Yes Yes 71 28.21 PEF Male Chinese Yes No No 36 21.6 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 70 26.61 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 76 24.59 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 52 28.94 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 55 26.41 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 77 N.A. PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 61 25.31 PEF Female Chinese No No No 78 26.9 PEF Male Malay No No No 74 27.48 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 77 27.62 PEF Female Malay No Yes No 83 17.86 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 63 28.12 PEF Male Chinese No No No 81 26.12 PEF Female Indian No Yes Yes 69 30.25 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 84 21.91 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 82 19.56 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 77 32.58 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes N.A. 79 22.37 PEF Male Indian No Yes Yes 85 20.55 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 74 34.27 PEF Female Malay No Yes No 62 20.82 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 66 26.93 PEF Female Indian No Yes Yes 68 26.56 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 77 24.87 PEF Male Malay Yes Yes No 72 24.52 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 72 20.4 PEF Female Chinese N.A. Yes Yes 84 27.78 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 65 31.63 PEF Male Chinese Yes No No 66 31.51 PEF Female Malay No Yes Yes 58 30.5 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 62 35.25 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 88 23.71 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 80 24.26 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 75 26.64 PEF Male Chinese Yes No Yes 68 0.01 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 65 29.38 PEF Female Chinese No No Yes 63 21.76 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 69 31.61 PEF Female Indian No Yes No 79 28.8 PEF Female Chinese No No No 75 23.83 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 73 22.22 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes No 83 N.A. PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 76 25.22 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 68 23.5 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 61 25.38 PEF Male Malay No Yes Yes 64 25.7 PEF Female Chinese No Yes No 77 26.43 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes No 81 21.08 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 78 25.63 PEF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 67 38.67 PEF Female Chinese No No No 87 38.27 PEF Female Malay No Yes No 81 32.19 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 75 22.22 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes No 52 28.7 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 75 28.98 PEF Male Chinese No Yes No 78 22.09 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 72 32.57 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 47 34.01 PEF Female Malay Yes Yes No 72 35.25 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes No 81 22.41 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 68 25.08 PEF Female Chinese Yes No No 76 30.5 PEF Male Chinese Yes No Yes 64 25.09 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 53 28.72 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 78 35.18 PEF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 65 32.42 PEF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 57 23.15 PEF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 78 20.27 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 71 21.38 REF Male Indian No No No 38 22.65 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 65 23.07 REF Male Indian Yes Yes Yes 62 20.72 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 77 22.63 REF Female Indian No No Yes 68 28.74 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 68 26.17 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 62 23.26 REF Male Chinese Yes No No 59 20.24 REF Female Chinese No Yes No 72 31.3 REF Male Malay Yes No Yes 60 23.58 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 63 20.02 REF Male Chinese No No No 64 19.81 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 63 22 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 63 25.03 REF Female Chinese No Yes No 72 22.21 REF Male Malay No Yes No 51 21.84 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 71 21.91 REF Male Malay No Yes No 71 18.2 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 76 30.16 REF Male Malay No No No 62 21.15 REF Male Indian No No Yes 55 20.76 REF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 66 20.08 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes No 69 18.47 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 67 23.47 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 56 25.45 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 55 19.53 REF Female Chinese No No No 76 22.52 REF Male Malay No No Yes 64 24.22 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 67 24.52 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 57 29.96 REF Male Malay Yes Yes No 60 26.76 REF Female Chinese Yes No No 56 23.29 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 72 24.89 REF Female Chinese No No Yes 65 22.72 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 70 16.8 REF Female Indian No Yes No 63 19.07 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 75 23.25 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 73 26.29 REF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 72 17.1 REF Female Indian No Yes Yes 74 33.19 REF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 69 27.44 REF Female Indian No No Yes 60 17.78 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 78 18.3 REF Male Malay No Yes No 68 21.5 REF Female Malay No Yes No 47 19.33 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 53 36.57 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 62 24.24 REF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 70 21.33 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 50 22.56 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 60 23.57 REF Male Chinese Yes No No 59 35.67 REF Female Chinese No Yes No 59 23.78 REF Male Chinese No No No 40 22.46 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 70 15.66 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 58 20.17 REF Female Indian No No Yes 41 29.87 REF Female Chinese Yes Yes Yes 62 22.27 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 79 24.7 REF Female Chinese No No Yes 57 23.11 REF Male Malay No No Yes 67 23.05 REF Male Chinese Yes No Yes 62 22.99 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 61 31.96 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 56 25.89 REF Male Malay Yes Yes Yes 81 17.26 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 64 22.06 REF Male Indian No No No 54 27.02 REF Female Chinese No No No 57 16.14 REF Female Indian No Yes Yes 68 29.85 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 74 25.88 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 77 21.03 REF Female Malay Yes Yes Yes 46 23.98 REF Male Chinese No No No 53 22.56 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 49 32.32 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 63 25.73 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 71 25.25 REF Female Indian No No Yes 45 20.13 REF Female Chinese No No No 59 24.67 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 50 25.69 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 46 24.22 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 54 28.21 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 64 25.61 REF Female Chinese No No No 81 18.63 REF Male Chinese No No No 31 26.54 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 48 28.67 REF Female Chinese Yes Yes No 61 28.71 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 69 22.27 REF Female Chinese No No No 64 20.88 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 57 17.44 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 66 23.15 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 62 24.22 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 84 18.81 REF Female Chinese No No No 34 19.83 REF Male Malay No No Yes 38 28.86 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 61 34.7 REF Female Chinese Yes No No 76 17.5 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 84 24.61 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 39 33.91 REF Female Chinese No No Yes 45 24.17 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 63 24.5 REF Female Indian No No Yes 72 24.85 REF Male Chinese Yes No No 60 30.27 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 73 29.06 REF Female Malay No No No 37 35.84 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 69 23.25 REF Female Indian No Yes Yes 45 29.91 REF Male Indian No Yes No 71 20.65 REF Male Malay No No Yes 52 25.21 REF Male Chinese No No No 55 31.6 REF Female Malay No Yes No 50 29.77 REF Female Malay Yes Yes No 81 N.A. REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 73 26.01 REF Male Malay No No Yes 64 28.91 REF Male Chinese No No No 66 17.49 REF Female Chinese No No No 49 20.48 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 54 20.61 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 73 27.34 REF Female Chinese No Yes No 80 24.13 REF Female Indian No Yes No 46 43.28 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 61 22.14 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 43 30.1 REF Male Malay No No No 50 20.76 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 54 24.13 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 74 17.12 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 55 23.07 REF Female Chinese No No No 49 33.45 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 63 21.23 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 64 28.35 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 58 24.43 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 53 17.07 REF Female Indian No Yes No 79 N.A. REF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 56 24.68 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 78 24.44 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 60 28.34 REF Male Indian Yes No No 83 16.81 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 71 N.A. REF Female Chinese No No Yes 56 30.04 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 54 26.3 REF Female Chinese Yes No Yes 57 30.49 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 40 25.82 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 59 25.1 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 63 23.11 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 50 26.33 REF Female Indian No No No 50 29.24 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 47 26.62 REF Male Chinese No No No 38 26.2 REF Male Chinese No No No 42 28.74 REF Male Malay No Yes No 47 23.94 REF Male Indian No N.A. Yes 57 27.28 REF Female Malay No N.A. No 35 28.86 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 43 28.26 REF Male Malay No Yes No 47 27.66 REF Female Indian No No Yes 45 27.77 REF Female Malay No Yes Yes 40 27.47 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 81 32.38 REF Male Chinese No N.A. Yes 81 18.09 REF Male Chinese No No No 61 21.11 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 82 23.92 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 62 18.55 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 53 23.87 REF Male Chinese No No No 61 24.62 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 58 20.76 REF Male Malay No Yes Yes 57 23.44 REF Male Chinese No No No 45 45.74 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 56 23.44 REF Male Chinese No Yes Yes 63 24.53 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 53 30.33 REF Female Chinese No Yes No 61 29.83 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 64 29.07 REF Male Chinese No N.A. No 76 22.49 REF Female Chinese No Yes Yes 71 25.44 REF Male Chinese No No Yes 50 26 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes Yes 73 N.A. REF Male Chinese No No Yes 55 28.63 REF Male Malay Yes No Yes 65 22.68 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 65 25.15 REF Male Chinese Yes N.A. No 57 19.36 REF Male Chinese Yes Yes No 76 31.09 REF Male Indian No Yes Yes 62 20.65 REF Male Chinese No Yes No 60 19.23

Plasma NT-proBNP was measured in all samples by electro-chemiluminescence immunoassay (Elecsys proBNP II assay) on an automated Cobas e411 analyzer according to the manufacturer's instructions (Roche Diagnostics GmbH, Mannheim, Germany). A preliminary examination of the distributions in Control, HFREF and HFPEF groups (FIG. 2(A), FIG. 2(B), FIG. 2(C)) showed that the NT-proBNP levels in all groups were positively skewed (skewness/skewing >2). Since the statistical methods to be applied require an un-skewed distribution (Student's t distribution or logistic distribution), the natural logarithm was calculated for NT-proBNP to generate a new variable: ln_NT-proBNP for which skewness was close to zero (FIG. 2(D), FIG. 2(E), FIG. 2(F)). The ln_NT-proBNP was used for all analyses involving NT-proBNP.

The characteristics of subject groups are summarized in Table 18.

TABLE 18 characteristics of the healthy subjects and heart failure subjects p-value p-value (HFREF C HF (C v.s. HFREF HFPEF v.s. Variables: (n = 208) (n = 338) HF) (n = 180) (n = 158) HFPEF) Left ventricular 64.0 ± 3.7  42.2 ± 18.7 — 25.9 ± 7.7  60.7 ± 5.9  — ejection fraction (100%) ln_NT-proBNP 4.02 ± 0.92 7.44 ± 1.5  — 7.95 ± 1.32 6.86 ± 1.49 <0.0001 (100%) NT-proBNP 55.8   1704.6    2834.2    955.1   Gender (male) 51.0% 51.8% 0.85 60.0% 42.4% 0.0012 (100%) Age (100%) 59.7 ± 10.5 64.6 ± 12.0 <0.0001 60.8 ± 11.6 68.9 ± 11.0 <0.0001 Race (100%) 0.66 0.27 Chinese 66.8% 63.6% 60.6% 67.1% Malay 20.7% 24.0% 24.4% 23.4% Indian 12.5% 12.4% 15.0%  9.5% Body Mass Index 25.4 ± 5.2  26.0 ± 5.5  0.22 24.7 ± 4.9  27.4 ± 5.9  <0.0001 (98.4%) Arial Fibrillation  0.96% 24.9% <0.0001 16.7% 34.4% 0.00017 or Flutter (99.8%) Hypertension 33.7% 75.9% <0.0001 65.7% 87.3% <0.0001 (99.0%) Diabetes (99.8%)  9.6% 58.8% <0.0001 58.9% 58.6% 0.96

Besides demographic variables including age, race and gender, clinical variables critical for HF were recorded including LVEF, ln_NT-proBNP, Body Mass Index (BMI), Atrial Fibrillation or Flutter (AF), hypertension and diabetes. HFPEF patients had similar mean LVEF (60.7±5.9) as healthy control subjects (64.0±3.7) whilst, as expected and as per patient selection and allocation, HFREF patients clearly had lower LVEF (25.9±7.7). Student's t-test was used for the comparisons of numerical variables and the chi-square test was used for the comparisons of categorical variables between control and HF (C vs HF, Table 18) and between HFPEF and HFREF (HFREF vs HFPEF, Table 18). In general, HF patients were older, with higher prevalence of hypertension, AF and diabetes compared to controls. HFREF and HFPEF patients differed with respect to distributions of gender, age, BMI, hypertension and AF. All these differently distributed variables were taken into account in the discovery of miRNA biomarkers for HF detection or for HF subtype categorization by multivariate logistic regression.

Ln_NT-proBNP was lower in HFPEF than HFREF with some results falling below the ESC-promoted NT-proBNP cut-off (<125 pg/ml) for diagnosis of HF in the non-acute setting [57]. The loss of NT-proBNP test performance is pronounced in HFPEF (FIG. 3(A)). The performance of ln_NT-proBNP as a biomarker for the diagnosis of HF was examined by the ROC analysis. In this study, ln_NT-proBNP had 0.962 AUC (area under the ROC curve) for the diagnosis of HF overall. It performed better for detecting HFREF (AUC=0.985) than HFPEF (AUC=0.935) (FIG. 3(B), FIG. 3(C), FIG. 3(D)). ln_NT-proBNP exhibited an AUC of only 0.706 for categorizing HFREF and HFPEF subtypes (FIG. 3(C)).

II. MiRNA Measurement

Circulating cell-free miRNAs in the blood originate from various organs and blood cells [58]. Therefore the change in the levels of a miRNA caused by heart failure may be partly obscured by the presence of the same miRNA possibly secreted from other sources due to other stimuli. Thus, determining the differences in expression levels of miRNAs found in heart failure and the control group may be challenging. In addition, most of the cell-free miRNAs are of exceptionally low abundance in blood [59]. Therefore, accurate measurement of multiple miRNA targets from limited volume of serum/plasma is critical and highly challenging. To best facilitate the discovery of significantly altered expressions of miRNAs and the identification of multivariate miRNA biomarker panels for the diagnosis of heart failure, instead of using low sensitivity or semi-quantitative screening methods (microarray, sequencing), the inventors of the present study chose to perform qPCR-based assays with an exceptionally well designed workflow (FIG. 4).

All qPCR assays (designed by MiRXES™, Singapore) were performed at least twice in a single-plex for miRNA targets and at least four repeats for synthetic RNA ‘spike-in’ controls. To ensure the accuracy of the results in a high-throughput qPCR studies, the study designed and established, after much iteration, a robust workflow for the discovery of circulating biomarkers (Refer to the “METHOD” and FIG. 4). In this novel workflow, various designed ‘spike-in’ controls were used to monitor and correct for technical variations in isolation, reverse transcription, augmentation and the qPCR processes. All spike-in controls were non-natural synthetic miRNAs mimics (small single-stranded RNA with length range from 22-24 bases) which were designed in silico to have exceptionally low similarity in the sequence to all known human miRNAs, thus minimizing cross-hybridization to the primers used in the assays. In addition, the miRNA assays were deliberately divided into a number of multiplex groups in silico to minimize non-specific amplifications and primer-primer interactions. Synthetic miRNAs were used to construct standard curves for the interpolation of absolute copy numbers in all the measurements, thus further correcting for technical variations. Predictably, with this highly robust workflow and multiple levels of controls, the study were able to identify low levels of expression of miRNAs in circulation and the approach of the present study is highly reliable and reproducibility of data is ensured.

Two hundred and three (203) miRNA targets were selected for this study based on the prior-knowledge of highly expressed plasma miRNAs (data not shown) and the expression levels of those miRNAs in all 546 plasma samples (HF and control) were quantitatively measured using highly sensitive qPCR assays (designed by MiRXES™, Singapore).

In the current experimental design, total RNA including miRNAs was extracted from 200 μl plasma. Extracted RNA was reversed transcribed and augmented by touch-down amplification to increase the amount of cDNA without changing the total miRNA expression levels (FIG. 4). The augmented cDNA was then diluted for qPCR measurement. A simple calculation based on the effect of dilution revealed that a miRNA which is expressed at levels ≤500 copies/ml in serum will be quantified at levels close to the detection limit of the single-plex qPCR assay (≤10 copies/well). At such a concentration, measurements will be a significant challenge due to the technical limitations (errors in pipetting and qPCR reactions). Thus, miRNAs expressed at concentration of ≤500 copies/ml were excluded from analyses and considered undetectable.

About 70% (n=137) of the total miRNA assayed were found to be highly expressed across all the samples. These 137 miRNAs were detected in more than 90% of the samples (expression levels ≥500 copies/ml; Table 19). As compare to published data (Table 1), the inventors of the present study detected many more miRNAs not previously reported in heart failure, highlighting the importance of the use of the careful and well-controlled experimental design.

TABLE 19 Sequence of 137 reliably detected mature miRNA SEQ ID Name Sequence NO: hsa-miR-125a-5p UCCCUGAGACCCUUUAACCUGUGA 1 hsa-miR-134 UGUGACUGGUUGACCAGAGGGG 2 hsa-let-7b-3p CUAUACAACCUACUGCCUUCCC 3 hsa-miR-34b-3p CAAUCACUAACUCCACUGCCAU 4 hsa-miR-101-5p CAGUUAUCACAGUGCUGAUGCU 5 hsa-miR-550a-5p AGUGCCUGAGGGAGUAAGAGCCC 6 hsa-miR-576-5p AUUCUAAUUUCUCCACGUCUUU 7 hsa-miR-181b-5p AACAUUCAUUGCUGUCGGUGGGU 8 hsa-miR-197-3p UUCACCACCUUCUCCACCCAGC 9 hsa-miR-369-3p AAUAAUACAUGGUUGAUCUUU 10 hsa-miR-126-5p CAUUAUUACUUUUGGUACGCG 11 hsa-miR-375 UUUGUUCGUUCGGCUCGCGUGA 12 hsa-miR-379-5p UGGUAGACUAUGGAACGUAGG 13 hsa-miR-579 UUCAUUUGGUAUAAACCGCGAUU 14 hsa-miR-106b-3p CCGCACUGUGGGUACUUGCUGC 15 hsa-miR-497-5p CAGCAGCACACUGUGGUUUGU 16 hsa-miR-199a-5p CCCAGUGUUCAGACUACCUGUUC 17 hsa-miR-19b-3p UGUGCAAAUCCAUGCAAAACUGA 18 hsa-miR-20a-5p UAAAGUGCUUAUAGUGCAGGUAG 19 hsa-miR-424-5p CAGCAGCAAUUCAUGUUUUGAA 20 hsa-miR-144-3p UACAGUAUAGAUGAUGUACU 21 hsa-miR-154-5p UAGGUUAUCCGUGUUGCCUUCG 22 hsa-miR-191-5p CAACGGAAUCCCAAAAGCAGCUG 23 hsa-miR-30d-5p UGUAAACAUCCCCGACUGGAAG 24 hsa-miR-30e-3p CUUUCAGUCGGAUGUUUACAGC 25 hsa-miR-10a-5p UACCCUGUAGAUCCGAAUUUGUG 26 hsa-miR-374c-5p AUAAUACAACCUGCUAAGUGCU 27 hsa-miR-495 AAACAAACAUGGUGCACUUCUU 28 hsa-miR-1275 GUGGGGGAGAGGCUGUC 29 hsa-miR-1 UGGAAUGUAAAGAAGUAUGUAU 30 hsa-miR-23a-3p AUCACAUUGCCAGGGAUUUCC 31 hsa-miR-27a-3p UUCACAGUGGCUAAGUUCCGC 32 hsa-miR-122-5p UGGAGUGUGACAAUGGUGUUUG 33 hsa-miR-133a UUUGGUCCCCUUCAACCAGCUG 34 hsa-miR-146b-5p UGAGAACUGAAUUCCAUAGGCU 35 hsa-miR-20b-5p CAAAGUGCUCAUAGUGCAGGUAG 36 hsa-miR-27b-3p UUCACAGUGGCUAAGUUCUGC 37 hsa-miR-30b-5p UGUAAACAUCCUACACUCAGCU 38 hsa-let-7e-3p CUAUACGGCCUCCUAGCUUUCC 39 hsa-miR-337-3p CUCCUAUAUGAUGCCUUUCUUC 40 hsa-miR-363-3p AAUUGCACGGUAUCCAUCUGUA 41 hsa-miR-421 AUCAACAGACAUUAAUUGGGCGC 42 hsa-miR-335-5p UCAAGAGCAAUAACGAAAAAUGU 43 hsa-miR-518b CAAAGCGCUCCCCUUUAGAGGU 44 hsa-miR-103a-3p AGCAGCAUUGUACAGGGCUAUGA 45 hsa-miR-660-5p UACCCAUUGCAUAUCGGAGUUG 46 hsa-miR-192-5p CUGACCUAUGAAUUGACAGCC 47 hsa-miR-199b-5p CCCAGUGUUUAGACUAUCUGUUC 48 hsa-miR-19a-3p UGUGCAAAUCUAUGCAAAACUGA 49 hsa-miR-493-5p UUGUACAUGGUAGGCUUUCAUU 50 hsa-miR-377-3p AUCACACAAAGGCAACUUUUGU 51 hsa-miR-500a-5p UAAUCCUUGCUACCUGGGUGAGA 52 hsa-miR-125b-5p UCCCUGAGACCCUAACUUGUGA 53 hsa-let-7i-5p UGAGGUAGUAGUUUGUGCUGUU 54 hsa-miR-299-3p UAUGUGGGAUGGUAAACCGCUU 55 hsa-miR-15b-5p UAGCAGCACAUCAUGGUUUACA 56 hsa-miR-21-3p CAACACCAGUCGAUGGGCUGU 57 hsa-miR-106a-5p AAAAGUGCUUACAGUGCAGGUAG 58 hsa-miR-221-3p AGCUACAUUGUCUGCUGGGUUUC 59 hsa-miR-22-3p AAGCUGCCAGUUGAAGAACUGU 60 hsa-miR-23b-3p AUCACAUUGCCAGGGAUUACC 61 hsa-miR-25-3p CAUUGCACUUGUCUCGGUCUGA 62 hsa-miR-29b-3p UAGCACCAUUUGAAAUCAGUGUU 63 hsa-miR-33a-5p GUGCAUUGUAGUUGCAUUGCA 64 hsa-miR-423-5p UGAGGGGCAGAGAGCGAGACUUU 65 hsa-miR-124-5p CGUGUUCACAGCGGACCUUGAU 66 hsa-miR-532-5p CAUGCCUUGAGUGUAGGACCGU 67 hsa-miR-200b-3p UAAUACUGCCUGGUAAUGAUGA 68 hsa-miR-222-3p AGCUACAUCUGGCUACUGGGU 69 hsa-miR-199a-3p ACAGUAGUCUGCACAUUGGUUA 70 hsa-miR-451a AAACCGUUACCAUUACUGAGUU 71 hsa-miR-1226-3p UCACCAGCCCUGUGUUCCCUAG 72 hsa-miR-127-3p UCGGAUCCGUCUGAGCUUGGCU 73 hsa-miR-374b-5p AUAUAAUACAACCUGCUAAGUG 74 hsa-miR-4732-3p GCCCUGACCUGUCCUGUUCUG 75 hsa-miR-487b AAUCGUACAGGGUCAUCCACUU 76 hsa-miR-551b-3p GCGACCCAUACUUGGUUUCAG 77 hsa-miR-23c AUCACAUUGCCAGUGAUUACCC 78 hsa-miR-183-5p UAUGGCACUGGUAGAAUUCACU 79 hsa-miR-29c-3p UAGCACCAUUUGAAAUCGGUUA 80 hsa-miR-425-3p AUCGGGAAUGUCGUGUCCGCCC 81 hsa-miR-484 UCAGGCUCAGUCCCCUCCCGAU 82 hsa-miR-485-3p GUCAUACACGGCUCUCCUCUCU 83 hsa-miR-93-5p CAAAGUGCUGUUCGUGCAGGUAG 84 hsa-miR-92a-3p UAUUGCACUUGUCCCGGCCUGU 85 hsa-miR-140-5p CAGUGGUUUUACCCUAUGGUAG 86 hsa-miR-15a-5p UAGCAGCACAUAAUGGUUUGUG 87 hsa-miR-10b-5p UACCCUGUAGAACCGAAUUUGUG 88 hsa-miR-130b-3p CAGUGCAAUGAUGAAAGGGCAU 89 hsa-miR-24-3p UGGCUCAGUUCAGCAGGAACAG 90 hsa-miR-133b UUUGGUCCCCUUCAACCAGCUA 91 hsa-miR-186-5p CAAAGAAUUCUCCUUUUGGGCU 92 hsa-miR-193a-5p UGGGUCUUUGCGGGCGAGAUGA 93 hsa-miR-23a-5p GGGGUUCCUGGGGAUGGGAUUU 94 hsa-miR-454-3p UAGUGCAAUAUUGCUUAUAGGGU 95 hsa-miR-501-5p AAUCCUUUGUCCCUGGGUGAGA 96 hsa-miR-18b-5p UAAGGUGCAUCUAGUGCAGUUAG 97 hsa-miR-223-5p CGUGUAUUUGACAAGCUGAGUU 98 hsa-miR-30c-5p UGUAAACAUCCUACACUCUCAGC 99 hsa-miR-26a-5p UUCAAGUAAUCCAGGAUAGGCU 100 hsa-miR-146a-5p UGAGAACUGAAUUCCAUGGGUU 101 hsa-miR-452-5p AACUGUUUGCAGAGGAAACUGA 102 hsa-miR-148a-3p UCAGUGCACUACAGAACUUUGU 103 hsa-miR-194-5p UGUAACAGCAACUCCAUGUGGA 104 hsa-miR-29c-5p UGACCGAUUUCUCCUGGUGUUC 105 hsa-miR-196b-5p UAGGUAGUUUCCUGUUGUUGGG 106 hsa-miR-345-5p GCUGACUCCUAGUCCAGGGCUC 107 hsa-miR-503 UAGCAGCGGGAACAGUUCUGCAG 108 hsa-miR-627 GUGAGUCUCUAAGAAAAGAGGA 109 hsa-let-7d-3p CUAUACGACCUGCUGCCUUUCU 110 hsa-miR-30a-5p UGUAAACAUCCUCGACUGGAAG 111 hsa-miR-654-3p UAUGUCUGCUGACCAUCACCUU 112 hsa-miR-598 UACGUCAUCGUUGUCAUCGUCA 113 hsa-miR-671-3p UCCGGUUCUCAGGGCUCCACC 114 hsa-miR-132-3p UAACAGUCUACAGCCAUGGUCG 115 hsa-miR-142-5p CAUAAAGUAGAAAGCACUACU 116 hsa-let-7b-5p UGAGGUAGUAGGUUGUGUGGUU 117 hsa-miR-17-5p CAAAGUGCUUACAGUGCAGGUAG 118 hsa-miR-185-5p UGGAGAGAAAGGCAGUUCCUGA 119 hsa-miR-486-5p UCCUGUACUGAGCUGCCCCGAG 120 hsa-miR-99b-5p CACCCGUAGAACCGACCUUGCG 121 hsa-miR-128 UCACAGUGAACCGGUCUCUUU 122 hsa-miR-16-5p UAGCAGCACGUAAAUAUUGGCG 123 hsa-miR-32-5p UAUUGCACAUUACUAAGUUGCA 124 hsa-miR-382-5p GAAGUUGUUCGUGGUGGAUUCG 125 hsa-miR-532-3p CCUCCCACACCCAAGGCUUGCA 126 hsa-miR-181a-2-3p ACCACUGACCGUUGACUGUACC 127 hsa-miR-139-5p UCUACAGUGCACGUGUCUCCAG 128 hsa-miR-21-5p UAGCUUAUCAGACUGAUGUUGA 129 hsa-miR-1280 UCCCACCGCUGCCACCC 130 hsa-miR-331-5p CUAGGUAUGGUCCCAGGGAUCC 131 hsa-miR-150-5p UCUCCCAACCCUUGUACCAGUG 132 hsa-miR-101-3p UACAGUACUGUGAUAACUGAA 133 hsa-miR-200c-3p UAAUACUGCCGGGUAAUGAUGGA 134 hsa-miR-205 -5p UCCUUCAUUCCACCGGAGUCUG 135 hsa-miR-505-3p CGUCAACACUUGCUGGUUUCCU 136 hsa-miR-136-5p ACUCCAUUUGUUUUGAUGAUGGA 137

III. MiRNA Biomarkers

Firstly, all measured miRNAs were examined for targets that were only detectable in heart failure samples but not in control samples. Those miRNAs specifically secreted by heart muscles in heart failure patients would be the ideal biomarker for the detection of the disease. As the miRNAs in the blood circulating system are known to be contributed by various organs and/or type of cells (including heart muscles), it was not surprising that these miRNAs may already been represented in the plasma of normal and heart failure patients. However, the differential expression of these miRNAs in the plasma may still serve as useful biomarker during the development of heart failure.

The global unsupervised analysis (principal component analysis, PCA) was initially performed on the expression levels of all detected plasma miRNAs (137, Table 19) in all 546 samples. The first 15 principal components (PCs) with eigenvalues higher than 0.7 were selected for further analysis, which in total accounted for 85% of the variance (FIG. 5(A)). To examine the difference between the control and heart failure, the AUCs were calculated for the classification of those two groups at each of the selected PCs (FIG. 5(B)). Multiple PCs were found to have AUCs significantly higher than 0.5 and the 2^(nd) a PC even had an AUC of 0.79 indicating that the differences between those two groups largely contributed to the overall variance of the miRNA expression profile. As the variations between the control and heart failure subjects were found in multiple dimensions (PCs), it was not possible to represent all the information based on single miRNA. Thus a multivariate assay including multiple miRNAs was necessary for optimal classification. Similarly, multiple PCs had AUCs significantly higher than 0.5 for the categorization to either of two heart failure subtypes: HFREF or HFPEF (FIG. 5(C)) including the 1^(st) PC (AUC=0.6) although the AUCs were less than those for heart failure detection. Hence, a multivariate assay was necessary to capture the information in multiple dimensions for the classification HFREF and HFPEF as well.

Plotting the two groups of subjects (C and heart failure (HF)) on a space defined by the two major discriminative PCs for HF detection, showed they were separately located (FIG. 6(A)). Separation of HFREF and HFPEF groups (FIG. 6(B)) was less distinct. The global analysis revealed that it was possible to separate control, HFREF and HFPEF subjects based their miRNA profiles. However, using only one or two dimensions was not statistically robust for classification.

A pivotal step towards identifying biomarkers is to directly compare the expression levels of each miRNA in normal and disease state as well as between disease subtypes. Student's t-test was used for univariate comparisons to assess the significance of between group differences in individual miRNA and multivariate logistic regression was used to adjust for confounding factors including age, gender, BMI, AF, hypertension and diabetes. All p-values were corrected for false discovery rate (FDR) estimation using Bonferroni-type multiple comparison procedures [60]. MiRNAs with p-values lower than 0.01 were considered significant in this study.

The expressions of the 137 plasma miRNAs were then compared A] Between control (healthy) and heart failure (individual subtypes or both subtypes grouped together), B] Between the two subtypes of heart failure (i.e. HFREF and HFPEF).

A] Identification of miRNAs Differentially Expressed Between Non-HF Control Subjects and HF Patients

Plasma from patients clinically confirmed to have either subtype of heart failure (HFREF or HFPEF) were grouped together and compared to plasma from healthy non-heart failure donors.

The comparisons were initially carried out using univariate analysis (Student's t-test) where 94 miRNAs were found to be significantly altered in heart failure patients compared to Control (p-value after FDR <0.01) (FIG. 7 (A)). Further examining the two subtypes separately, 82 and 94 miRNAs were found to be significant altered in HFREF and HFPEF subjects compared to control respectively (FIG. 7(A)). In total, 101 unique miRNAs were identified by univariate analysis with 75% (n=76) of them significant for both subtypes (FIG. 7(A)).

Since the control subjects were recruited from the community, clinical parameters may not be well matched with the heart failure patients including three risk factors for heart failure: AF, hypertension and diabetes where fewer of the control subjects had such conditions. Also, age differed slightly between the analyzed populations. In order to adjust for those possible confounding factors, multivariate analysis (logistic regression) was performed to test the significance of the miRNAs selected by univariate analysis. In total, 86 out of the 101 miRNAs still differed significantly between test populations after multivariate analysis (FIG. 7(B)). For the detection of all heart failure compared to control, 75 out of the 94 miRNAs (Table 20) were found to be significant (p-value after FDR <0.01) in the multivariate analysis; while 52 out of 82 (Table 21) were significant for the detection of HFREF comparing to control and 68 out of 94 (Table 22) were significant for the detection of HFPEF comparing to control (FIG. 7(B)). After multivariate analysis, 36 miRNAs were found to remain significantly different between controls and both heart failure subtypes while 16 differed significantly only between Control and HFREF subtype and 32 differed significantly only between Control and HFPEF subtype (FIG. 7(B)). In the multivariate analysis, many miRNAs were found to differ between Control and only one of the two heart failure subtypes suggesting genuine differences between the two subtypes in terms of miRNA expression.

TABLE 20 miRNAs differentially expressed between control and all heart failure subjects Up-regulated (n = 37) p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC hsa-let-7d-3p 8.9E−23 4.1E−09 3.8E−05 1.32 0.78 hsa-miR-197-3p 8.9E−23 2.7E−08 7.9E−05 1.27 0.77 hsa-miR-24-3p 2.8E−22 5.5E−10 6.7E−05 1.30 0.76 hsa-miR-1280 4.3E−16 3.3E−06 3.0E−04 1.41 0.74 hsa-miR-221-3p 5.4E−19 4.9E−09 6.2E−05 1.35 0.73 hsa-miR-503 1.1E−17 1.2E−07 9.7E−04 1.69 0.73 hsa-miR-130b-3p 1.2E−14 3.9E−07 1.3E−03 1.27 0.72 hsa-miR-23b-3p 1.1E−13 2.6E−06 8.9E−04 1.31 0.71 hsa-miR-21-3p 2.4E−14 8.0E−06 >0.01 1.25 0.70 hsa-miR-223-5p 4.4E−13 1.6E−06 9.2E−04 1.23 0.70 hsa-miR-423-5p 5.6E−14 4.9E−09 6.1E−04 1.27 0.70 hsa-miR-34b-3p 9.5E−14 4.6E−04 >0.01 1.84 0.69 hsa-miR-22-3p 1.6E−11 1.5E−04 >0.01 1.24 0.69 hsa-miR-148a-3p 2.0E−12 2.3E−06 1.8E−03 1.28 0.68 hsa-miR-23a-5p 6.2E−11 4.3E−04 >0.01 1.25 0.67 hsa-miR-335-5p 1.3E−10 2.5E−06 2.3E−04 1.33 0.67 hsa-miR-124-5p 3.8E−09 9.8E−04 >0.01 1.54 0.66 hsa-miR-382-5p 6.0E−10 1.7E−05 7.6E−03 1.56 0.66 hsa-miR-134 6.4E−10 2.9E−05 6.7E−03 1.57 0.66 hsa-let-7e-3p 7.6E−07 1.1E−03 >0.01 1.33 0.65 hsa-miR-598 4.9E−08 4.8E−05 >0.01 1.20 0.65 hsa-miR-627 2.8E−08 5.5E−04 >0.01 1.31 0.65 hsa-miR-199a-3p 1.3E−05 4.1E−03 >0.01 1.27 0.64 hsa-miR-27b-3p 1.6E−06 8.7E−04 3.8E−04 1.20 0.64 hsa-miR-146b-5p 6.3E−07 8.7E−04 3.4E−04 1.25 0.64 hsa-miR-146a-5p 3.1E−06 4.3E−03 9.7E−04 1.25 0.64 hsa-miR-331-5p 2.7E−07 2.7E−03 >0.01 1.13 0.64 hsa-miR-654-3p 7.4E−08 2.0E−03 >0.01 1.44 0.63 hsa-miR-375 1.1E−05 7.9E−03 >0.01 1.43 0.63 hsa-miR-132-3p 9.8E−07 7.4E−04 >0.01 1.12 0.63 hsa-miR-27a-3p 2.0E−05 2.4E−03 4.9E−03 1.16 0.63 hsa-miR-128 5.9E−06 8.6E−04 >0.01 1.11 0.63 hsa-miR-299-3p 2.9E−06 3.3E−03 >0.01 1.43 0.62 hsa-miR-424-5p 4.0E−07 1.3E−03 >0.01 1.25 0.62 hsa-miR-154-5p 5.9E−06 1.0E−03 >0.01 1.41 0.62 hsa-miR-21-5p 6.5E−07 4.0E−03 >0.01 1.16 0.61 hsa-miR-377-3p 1.3E−05 3.9E−03 >0.01 1.37 0.60 Down-regulated n = (38) p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression BNP change AUC hsa-miR-454-3p 3.3E−43 3.0E−14 5.6E−06 0.47 0.85 hsa-miR-103a-3p 1.6E−35 7.2E−12 2.4E−05 0.70 0.82 hsa-miR-30c-5p 8.9E−23 1.9E−10 3.2E−04 0.65 0.75 hsa-miR-30b-5p 1.9E−22 2.2E−09 3.0E−03 0.64 0.75 hsa-miR-17-5p 2.4E−19 1.4E−06 3.4E−04 0.73 0.74 hsa-miR-196b-5p 2.2E−15 7.8E−06 2.0E−04 0.79 0.73 hsa-miR-500a-5p 5.4E−19 1.1E−07 3.8E−04 0.68 0.73 hsa-miR-106a-5p 1.1E−16 1.3E−06 4.7E−05 0.76 0.72 hsa-miR-20a-5p 2.6E−17 1.4E−06 7.9E−05 0.74 0.72 hsa-miR-451a 5.4E−19 9.8E−08 7.9E−05 0.54 0.72 hsa-miR-29b-3p 1.5E−16 4.6E−08 6.7E−05 0.76 0.71 hsa-miR-374b-5p 2.4E−16 1.1E−07 1.8E−03 0.69 0.71 hsa-miR-20b-5p 1.5E−16 2.3E−06 8.1E−05 0.60 0.71 hsa-miR-501-5p 2.2E−14 3.3E−06 1.2E−04 0.71 0.70 hsa-miR-18b-5p 4.4E−13 3.9E−05 4.7E−05 0.78 0.69 hsa-miR-23c 3.1E−12 1.2E−06 >0.01 0.68 0.69 hsa-miR-551b-3p 3.0E−12 3.2E−05 >0.01 0.65 0.69 hsa-miR-26a-5p 4.7E−13 3.9E−05 >0.01 0.74 0.69 hsa-miR-183-5p 1.8E−12 2.8E−05 3.8E−04 0.59 0.68 hsa-miR-16-5p 4.2E−12 1.9E−05 8.4E−04 0.71 0.68 hsa-miR-191-5p 1.8E−12 9.3E−05 >0.01 0.74 0.68 hsa-miR-532-5p 1.2E−11 8.0E−06 4.9E−04 0.77 0.67 hsa-miR-363-3p 3.9E−11 1.7E−04 2.7E−03 0.70 0.67 hsa-miR-374c-5p 4.5E−10 3.7E−04 >0.01 0.71 0.67 hsa-let-7b-5p 3.5E−11 3.8E−04 >0.01 0.80 0.66 hsa-miR-15a-5p 3.8E−09 9.8E−04 4.7E−03 0.82 0.66 hsa-miR-144-3p 3.9E−11 9.4E−05 3.8E−04 0.63 0.66 hsa-miR-93-5p 1.3E−09 3.8E−04 1.3E−03 0.82 0.66 hsa-miR-181b-5p 3.1E−09 1.2E−07 >0.01 0.80 0.66 hsa-miR-19b-3p 2.3E−09 3.4E−05 8.3E−05 0.80 0.65 hsa-miR-4732-3p 2.4E−08 4.7E−04 3.5E−03 0.70 0.64 hsa-miR-484 5.9E−07 9.9E−03 >0.01 0.89 0.64 hsa-miR-25-3p 3.3E−07 4.4E−03 8.8E−03 0.79 0.63 hsa-miR-192-5p 8.9E−06 9.9E−04 >0.01 0.76 0.63 hsa-miR-205-5p 3.2E−05 2.0E−03 >0.01 0.75 0.62 hsa-miR-19a-3p 2.2E−06 1.1E−03 6.9E−04 0.84 0.61 hsa-miR-32-5p 7.5E−06 8.3E−03 >0.01 0.88 0.61 hsa-miR-150-5p 1.2E−05 2.9E−05 >0.01 0.79 0.60

TABLE 21 miRNAs differentially expressed between control and REF subjects p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC Up-regulated (n = 25) hsa-miR-423-5p 5.5E−18 1.8E−09 >0.01 1.32 0.75 hsa-let-7d-3p 5.0E−15 1.2E−06 >0.01 1.26 0.75 hsa-miR-24-3p 5.9E−15 5.1E−07 >0.01 1.27 0.74 hsa-miR-503 5.0E−15 1.9E−06 >0.01 1.74 0.74 hsa-miR-197-3p 6.6E−14 6.7E−05 >0.01 1.22 0.73 hsa-miR-1280 4.2E−11 1.9E−04 >0.01 1.34 0.72 hsa-miR-22-3p 7.3E−11 1.1E−04 >0.01 1.27 0.71 hsa-miR-130b-3p 1.6E−10 1.1E−05 >0.01 1.23 0.71 hsa-miR-221-3p 4.4E−12 1.2E−06 >0.01 1.31 0.71 hsa-miR-34b-3p 2.4E−12 7.2E−04 >0.01 1.90 0.70 hsa-miR-30a-5p 2.0E−10 1.1E−03 >0.01 1.39 0.70 hsa-miR-21-3p 1.1E−09 3.6E−04 >0.01 1.22 0.69 hsa-miR-132-3p 7.4E−09 6.8E−04 >0.01 1.16 0.68 hsa-miR-331-5p 2.7E−09 2.2E−03 >0.01 1.18 0.68 hsa-miR-124-5p 3.3E−09 5.6E−04 >0.01 1.62 0.67 hsa-miR-148a-3p 1.2E−08 2.6E−04 >0.01 1.26 0.66 hsa-miR-23b-3p 3.2E−07 2.0E−04 >0.01 1.22 0.66 hsa-miR-375 1.0E−06 3.8E−03 >0.01 1.55 0.65 hsa-miR-134 2.4E−06 4.2E−04 >0.01 1.48 0.64 hsa-miR-627 1.4E−05 2.2E−03 >0.01 1.28 0.64 hsa-miR-382-5p 6.2E−06 6.4E−04 >0.01 1.45 0.63 hsa-miR-598 6.1E−05 2.6E−04 >0.01 1.16 0.63 hsa-miR-23a-5p 1.4E−05 3.3E−03 >0.01 1.17 0.63 hsa-miR-223-5p 3.7E−04 9.3E−03 >0.01 1.12 0.62 hsa-miR-335-5p 1.6E−04 2.6E−04 >0.01 1.19 0.61 Down-regulated (n = 27) hsa-miR-454-3p 2.9E−30 2.0E−11 >0.01 0.48 0.83 hsa-miR-103a-3p 8.8E−23 3.0E−09 >0.01 0.74 0.79 hsa-miR-30b-5p 3.7E−19 3.0E−08 >0.01 0.62 0.76 hsa-miR-30c-5p 3.7E−19 1.1E−08 >0.01 0.64 0.76 hsa-miR-374b-5p 1.1E−15 5.7E−07 >0.01 0.66 0.73 hsa-miR-23c 1.3E−13 2.7E−07 >0.01 0.63 0.72 hsa-miR-551b-3p 6.9E−11 1.5E−04 >0.01 0.63 0.70 hsa-miR-17-5p 1.5E−11 2.6E−04 >0.01 0.80 0.70 hsa-miR-26a-5p 6.9E−11 6.7E−05 >0.01 0.73 0.70 hsa-miR-181b-5p 1.9E−11 1.4E−06 >0.01 0.73 0.70 hsa-miR-500a-5p 2.1E−10 6.7E−05 >0.01 0.73 0.69 hsa-miR-196b-5p 1.0E−07 1.7E−03 >0.01 0.84 0.68 hsa-miR-374c-5p 1.4E−08 6.3E−04 >0.01 0.70 0.68 hsa-miR-451a 2.1E−10 1.1E−04 >0.01 0.62 0.68 hsa-miR-29b-3p 2.8E−09 8.8E−05 >0.01 0.80 0.67 hsa-miR-20a-5p 1.7E−08 7.8E−04 >0.01 0.81 0.67 hsa-miR-191-5p 1.7E−08 4.1E−04 >0.01 0.77 0.66 hsa-miR-106a-5p 3.0E−07 4.7E−03 >0.01 0.85 0.65 hsa-miR-181a-2-3p 1.1E−04 5.9E−03 >0.01 0.84 0.65 hsa-miR-501-5p 4.3E−06 4.3E−03 >0.01 0.80 0.64 hsa-miR-20b-5p 2.0E−06 4.0E−03 >0.01 0.75 0.63 hsa-miR-183-5p 5.8E−06 1.4E−03 >0.01 0.69 0.63 hsa-miR-16-5p 1.6E−05 3.8E−03 >0.01 0.79 0.63 hsa-miR-125a-5p 7.9E−05 6.4E−04 >0.01 0.81 0.62 hsa-miR-150-5p 4.3E−05 2.0E−04 >0.01 0.78 0.61 hsa-miR-205-5p 3.3E−04 5.9E−03 >0.01 0.76 0.61 hsa-miR-532-5p 2.3E−04 9.3E−03 >0.01 0.85 0.61

TABLE 22 MiRNAs differentially expressed between control and HFPEF subjects p-value, p-value, Logistic p-value, Fold Name t-test regression ln_BNP change AUC Up-regulated (n = 33) hsa-let-7d-3p 4.40E−22  5.90E−07  4.10E−05  1.39 0.81 hsa-miR-197-3p 4.10E−24  2.10E−07  6.40E−05  1.34 0.81 hsa-miR-223-5p 6.80E−21  2.10E−07  7.80E−05  1.37 0.79 hsa-miR-24-3p 5.80E−19  2.10E−07  4.10E−05  1.33 0.78 hsa-miR-23b-3p 1.60E−16  1.40E−05  2.60E−04  1.41 0.76 hsa-miR-221-3p 5.90E−17  5.90E−07  4.10E−05  1.4 0.76 hsa-miR-1280 3.00E−14  2.20E−04  9.10E−04  1.49 0.75 hsa-miR-130b-3p 2.20E−14  9.00E−05  9.10E−04  1.32 0.74 hsa-miR-335-5p 2.40E−14  5.30E−06  4.10E−05  1.5 0.73 hsa-miR-503 1.40E−11  3.80E−05  5.80E−04  1.64 0.72 hsa-miR-23a-5p 1.90E−12  1.40E−03  3.60E−03  1.34 0.72 hsa-miR-21-3p 8.50E−13  8.20E−05  3.60E−03  1.29 0.72 hsa-miR-148a-3p 4.40E−11  1.10E−04  2.20E−03  1.3 0.7 hsa-miR-199a-3p 2.70E−07  8.40E−04  2.20E−03  1.38 0.69 hsa-miR-146a-5p 3.10E−08  2.50E−04  1.50E−04  1.37 0.69 hsa-miR-382-5p 1.00E−09  1.00E−04  1.10E−03  1.69 0.68 hsa-miR-134 3.90E−09  2.90E−04  1.60E−03  1.67 0.68 hsa-let-7e-3p 4.00E−08  1.30E−03  8.50E−03  1.43 0.68 hsa-miR-146b-5p 9.90E−08  1.60E−04  6.40E−05  1.33 0.67 hsa-miR-27b-3p 5.10E−07  6.70E−04  1.50E−04  1.26 0.67 hsa-miR-598 3.10E−08  1.20E−03  >0.01 1.25 0.67 hsa-miR-27a-3p 1.60E−06  3.40E−04  5.80E−04  1.21 0.67 hsa-miR-128 2.60E−07  2.90E−04  2.50E−03  1.15 0.67 hsa-miR-627 4.20E−07  8.70E−03  >0.01 1.36 0.66 hsa-miR-299-3p 2.30E−07  2.30E−03  >0.01 1.59 0.65 hsa-miR-21-5p 2.50E−07  1.30E−03  >0.01 1.21 0.65 hsa-miR-425-3p 1.30E−04  9.30E−04  1.60E−03  1.15 0.65 hsa-miR-154-5p 1.10E−06  9.10E−04  3.60E−03  1.55 0.64 hsa-miR-377-3p 2.40E−06  8.30E−03  >0.01 1.52 0.64 hsa-miR-424-5p 3.50E−06  3.00E−03  >0.01 1.28 0.63 hsa-miR-423-5p 2.50E−07  1.30E−03  4.10E−03  1.23 0.63 hsa-miR-99b-5p 8.30E−04  9.30E−03  4.60E−03  1.18 0.62 hsa-miR-671-3p 6.80E−04  8.60E−03  9.40E−03  1.18 0.61 Down-regulated (n = 35) hsa-miR-454-3p 8.9E−36 5.9E−07 4.1E−05 0.45 0.87 hsa-miR-103a-3p 8.9E−36 1.3E−06 4.5E−05 0.65 0.86 hsa-miR-106a-5p 3.4E−22 5.9E−07 4.1E−05 0.68 0.80 hsa-miR-17-5p 4.0E−21 2.5E−05 2.9E−04 0.67 0.80 hsa-miR-20b-5p 4.1E−24 5.0E−07 4.1E−05 0.47 0.79 hsa-miR-20a-5p 7.0E−21 2.1E−06 6.4E−05 0.66 0.79 hsa-miR-196b-5p 5.6E−18 2.8E−05 1.8E−04 0.75 0.78 hsa-miR-451a 3.3E−21 5.9E−07 7.0E−05 0.46 0.78 hsa-miR-18b-5p 3.0E−17 8.2E−05 9.2E−05 0.69 0.77 hsa-miR-500a-5p 2.1E−19 7.0E−06 1.6E−04 0.62 0.77 hsa-miR-29b-3p 1.0E−18 1.3E−06 6.2E−05 0.72 0.76 hsa-miR-501-5p 5.2E−19 2.4E−06 4.5E−05 0.62 0.76 hsa-miR-532-5p 1.3E−16 1.2E−06 7.0E−05 0.69 0.75 hsa-let-7b-5p 1.1E−16 3.8E−05 9.0E−04 0.71 0.74 hsa-miR-30c-5p 1.3E−15 1.0E−04 2.1E−03 0.67 0.74 hsa-miR-183-5p 2.9E−15 3.8E−05 3.8E−04 0.50 0.74 hsa-miR-30b-5p 3.0E−15 5.7E−04 >0.01 0.66 0.74 hsa-miR-144-3p 1.9E−16 3.6E−06 1.5E−04 0.51 0.73 hsa-miR-93-5p 4.6E−15 2.5E−05 5.0E−04 0.74 0.73 hsa-miR-16-5p 6.5E−15 4.1E−06 2.6E−04 0.62 0.73 hsa-miR-363-3p 1.5E−13 4.5E−05 1.3E−03 0.62 0.73 hsa-miR-25-3p 3.3E−12 8.2E−05 2.5E−03 0.68 0.71 hsa-miR-4732-3p 1.1E−13 1.1E−05 9.1E−04 0.57 0.71 hsa-miR-192-5p 2.2E−09 4.1E−04 >0.01 0.65 0.70 hsa-miR-19b-3p 1.5E−11 1.6E−05 1.0E−04 0.74 0.70 hsa-miR-15a-5p 3.3E−08 3.0E−03 3.6E−03 0.80 0.69 hsa-miR-486-5p 2.2E−10 3.4E−04 >0.01 0.64 0.69 hsa-miR-374b-5p 3.4E−10 5.1E−03 >0.01 0.72 0.68 hsa-miR-484 4.0E−08 9.9E−03 >0.01 0.86 0.67 hsa-miR-194-5p 1.0E−06 4.6E−03 >0.01 0.71 0.67 hsa-miR-101-3p 2.7E−08 5.1E−04 6.7E−03 0.74 0.67 hsa-miR-551b-3p 3.3E−08 8.9E−03 >0.01 0.67 0.67 hsa-miR-185-5p 1.7E−09 1.8E−03 4.6E−03 0.80 0.66 hsa-miR-19a-3p 3.3E−08 1.9E−04 9.1E−04 0.79 0.66 hsa-miR-550a-5p 3.5E−05 3.0E−03 5.7E−03 0.81 0.62

A number of miRNAs has previously been reported to be up-regulated and down-regulated in HF (Table 1). Interestingly; the miRNAs found to be differentially expressed in the present study were substantially different from these reports. The significant miRNAs in both univariate and multivariate analysis were listed in Table 20 (C vs heart failure (HF)), Table 21 (C vs HFREF) and Table 22 (C vs HFPEF) where 37, 25 and 33 miRNAs were found to be up-regulated and 38, 27 and 35 miRNAs were found to be down-regulated in the three comparisons, respectively. The number of differentially expressed miRNAs validated by qPCR (101 in univariate analysis and 86 in both univariate analysis and multivariate analysis) was substantially higher than previously reported (Table 23, in total 47). Each miRNA or combinations of from these 86 miRNAs can serve as biomarker or as a component of apanel of biomarkers (multivariate index assays) for the diagnosis of heart failure.

TABLE 23 Comparison between the current study and previously published reports Name in Name in No in Regulation Regulation miRBase V18 literature literature in literature in this study hsa-miR-210 miR-210 2 Up & Down N.A. hsa-miR-194-5p miR-194 1 Up Down hsa-miR-192-5p miR-192 1 Up Down hsa-miR-185-5p miR-185 1 Up Down hsa-miR-101-3p miR-101 1 Up Down hsa-miR-92b-3p miR-92b 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-675-5p miR-675 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-622 miR-622 2 Up N.A. hsa-miR-499a-5p miR-499 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-34a-5p miR-34a 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-320a miR-320a 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-200b-5p miR-200b* 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-18b-3p miR-18b* 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-17-3p miR-17* 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-129-5p miR-129-5p 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-1254 miR-1254 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-1228-5p miR-1228* 1 Up N.A. hsa-miR-92a-3p miR-92a 1 Up No Change hsa-miR-532-3p miR-532-3p 1 Up No Change hsa-miR-29c-3p miR-29c 1 Up No Change hsa-miR-423-5p miR-423-5p 2 Up Up hsa-miR-30a-5p miR-30a 2 Up Up hsa-miR-22-3p miR-22 1 Up Up hsa-miR-21-5p miR-21 1 Up Up hsa-miR-103a-3p miR-103 1 Down Down hsa-miR-30b-5p miR-30b 1 Down Down hsa-miR-191-5p miR-191 2 Down Down hsa-miR-150-5p miR-150 1 Down Down hsa-miR-28-5p miR-28-5p 2 Down N.A. hsa-miR-223-3p miR-223 2 Down N.A. hsa-miR-142-3p miR-142-3p 3 Down N.A. hsa-miR-126-3p miR-126 1 Down N.A. hsa-miR-342-3p miR-342-3p 1 Down N.A. hsa-miR-331-3p miR-331-3p 2 Down N.A. hsa-miR-324-5p miR-324-5p 1 Down N.A. hsa-miR-574-3p miR-574-3p 2 Down N.A. hsa-miR-151a-5p miR-151-5p 2 Down N.A. hsa-miR-744-5p miR-744 2 Down N.A. hsa-miR-23a-3p miR-23a 1 Down No Change hsa-miR-33a-5p miR-33a 2 Down No Change hsa-miR-199b-5p miR-199b-5p 2 Down No Change hsa-miR-1 miR-1 1 Down No Change hsa-miR-24-3p miR-24 2 Down Up hsa-miR-27a-3p miR-27a 2 Down Up hsa-miR-199a-3p miR-199a-3p 1 Down Up hsa-miR-27b-3p miR-27b 3 Down Up hsa-miR-335-5p miR-335 2 Down Up

In total, 47 distinct miRNAs have been reported in the literature (Table 1). Hsa-miR-210 had contradictory observations in the direction of change in the heart failure patients (Table 23). In the present study, 22 of the other 46 reported miRNAs were not measurable or fell below the detection limit (N.A. in Table 23) leaving 24 miRNAs to be used for comparison. Comparing the results (p-value after FDR <0.01 in univariate analysis) with the 24 reported miRNAs, only 4 of these previously reported miRNAs (hsa-miR-423-5p, hsa-miR-30a-5p, hsa-miR-22-3p, hsa-miR-21-5p) were found to be consistently up-regulated and four (hsa-miR-103a-3p, hsa-miR-30b-5p, hsa-miR-191-5 and hsa-miR-150-5p) were found to be consistently down-regulated in the present study (Table 23). Interestingly, in eight of the dysregulated miRNAs the direction of change was opposite to that previously reported while seven of them remained unchanged (Table 23). Thus, the majority miRNAs previously reported to be differentially regulated in heart failure could NOT be confirmed in the present study. Conversely, the current study identified more than 70 novel miRNAs which could be the potential biomarkers for HF detection not previously reported.

NT-proBNP/BNP is the best studied heart failure biomarker and has exhibited the best clinical performance to date. Thus, the present study aimed to examine whether these significantly regulated miRNAs could provide additional information to NT-proBNP. The enhancement by miRNA of detecting heart failure by NT-proBNP was tested by logistic regression with adjustment for age AF, hypertension and diabetes (p-value, ln_BNP, Table 20, Table 21, Table 22). Using the p-values after FDR correction lower than 0.01 as the criterion, 55 miRNAs (p-value, ln_BNP, Table 22) were found to have information complementary to ln_NT-proBNP for HFPEF detection but not for HFREF (p-value, ln_BNP, Table 21). NT-proBNP used alone clearly had better diagnostic performance for detection of HFREF (AUC=0.985, FIG. 3(D)) than HFPEF (AUC=0.935, FIG. 3(E)). Combining any or multiple of those 55 miRNAs together with ln_NT-proBNP, in multivariate assay, could potentially improve detection of HFPEF.

The AUC values for the most up-regulated (hsa-let-7d-3p, FIG. 8(A)) and most down-regulated (hsa-miR-454-3p, FIG. 8(B)) miRNA in heart failure (both subtypes) were 0.78 and 0.85, respectively. Both miRNAs have not previously been reported as useful for detection of heart failure. Although the diagnostic power of single miRNA may not be clinically useful, combining multiple miRNAs in a multivariate manner to may well enhance performance for heart failure diagnosis.

B] Identification of miRNAs Differentially Expressed Between HFREF and HFPEF

Univariate analysis (Student's t-test) indicated that 40 miRNAs were significantly altered between HFREF and HFPEF subjects (p-value after FDR <0.01), with 10 miRNAs having higher expression levels in HFPEF than HFREF and 30 miRNAs higher expressions in HFREF than HFPEF (Table 6).

Background clinical characteristics are expected to differ between the two heart failure subtypes (Table 18). HFPEF patients were more frequently female, had higher BMI, were older and more often had AF or hypertension compared with HFREF patients. On multivariate analysis (logistic regression) with adjustment for these characteristics, only 18 out of the 40 miRNAs remained significant (p-value after FDR <0.01) (p-value, logistic regression, Table 6). However, since the difference between the two subtypes were due to the natural occurrence and characterization of the disease rather than caused by biased sample selection for the study, all the 40 miRNAs in Table 6 (univariate analysis) could be useful for classifying heart failure subtypes.

The AUC values for discriminating heart failure from Control for the most up-regulated miRNA (hsa-miR-223-5p, FIG. 10(A)) and most down-regulated miRNA (hsa-miR-185-5p, FIG. 10(B)) in all heart failure were moderate only at 0.68 and 0.69, respectively. This is the first report of using circulating cell free miRNAs from blood (plasma/serum) for the classification of heart failure patients into two clinically relevant subtypes. Combining multiple miRNAs in a multivariate index assay provides more diagnostic power for subtype categorization.

Most of the miRNAs differentially expressed between HFREF and HFPEF (38 out of 40 in univariate analysis and 17 out of 18 in multivariate analysis) were also found to differ from Control reflecting the fact that the degree of dysregulation varied between the two heart failure subtypes (FIG. 11). To further examine the 38 overlapped miRNAs that were found to be altered in either of the HF subtypes as well as between the two subtypes in the univariate analysis (FIG. 9(A)), they were classified into 6 groups based on the relationship of their expression levels in three subject groups: control, HFREF and HFPEF (FIG. 11). If the p-value (FDR) for the comparison between the two groups was higher than 0.01, the relation was then be defined as equal (indicated as “=”) while if the p-value (after FDR correction) was lower than 0.01, the relation was then defined by the direction of the change (indicated as higher “>” or lower “<”).

A graded change from control to HFREF to HFPEF was found in most of the miRNAs where 21 miRNAs were gradually decreased (C>HFREF>HFPEF, FIG. 11) and 5 miRNAs were gradually increased (C<HFREF<HFPEF, FIG. 11). Also, 5 miRNAs were found to be only lower in HFPEF subtype (C=HFREF>HFPEF, FIG. 11) and 2 were found to be only higher in HFPEF subtype (C=HFREF<HFPEF, FIG. 11) while there was no difference between HFREF and control. Comparing to the control, only 3 miRNAs had more distinct levels in HFREF subtype than in HFPEF (C<HFPEF<HFREF or C=HFPEF>HFREF or C=HFPEF<HFREF, FIG. 11). Unlike the LVEF and NT-proBNP, HFPEF had more distinct miRNA profiles than the HFREF subtype compared to the healthy control. This suggested that the miRNAs could complement NT-proBNP to provide better discrimination of HFPEF.

Analyses of all detectable miRNAs revealed a large number to be positively correlated to one another (Pearson correlation coefficient>0.5, FIG. 12) especially between those miRNA both altered in HF patients and differing between the two heart failure subtypes (miRNAs indicated black in the x-axis, towards right hand side of the x-axis, FIG. 12). The change of miRNA levels in plasma is due to heart failure (HFREF and/or HFPEF). These observations demonstrate that many pairs of miRNAs were regulated similarly among all subjects. As a result, a panel of miRNAs could be assembled by substituting one or more specific miRNAs with another to systematically optimize diagnostic performance. All the significantly altered miRNAs were critical for the development of a multivariate index diagnostic assay for heart failure detection or heart failure subtype categorization.

IV. Plasma miRNA as Prognostic Markers

At their index admission when recruited to the SHOP cohort study, heart failure patients were sampled after treatment for 3-5 days when symptomatically improved, with resolution of bedside physical signs of HF, and considered fit for discharge. This ensured assessment of marker performance in this study is relevant to the sub-acute or “chronic” phase of HF. The present study assessed the prognostic performance of circulating miRNAs for mortality and heart failure re-hospitalization. 327 of the heart failure patients (176 HFREF and 151 HFPEF) were followed-up for a period of 2 years (Table 24) during which 49 died (15%).

TABLE 24 Clinical information of the subjects included in the prognosis study HF related hospitalization Death or last or death or last HF related Type follow-up (days) Death follow-up (days) hospitalization REF 650 Yes 650 PEF 804 804 Yes PEF 776 776 Yes REF 989 989 REF 763 763 Yes PEF 664 664 PEF 650 650 Yes REF 672 672 Yes REF 678 678 REF 42 42 REF 318 Yes 318 REF 739 739 Yes REF 722 722 Yes REF 738 738 REF 412 Yes 412 Yes REF 730 730 REF 728 728 Yes PEF 734 734 Yes REF 728 728 Yes PEF 372 372 PEF 186 186 REF 730 730 Yes REF 731 731 REF 731 731 REF 731 731 Yes REF 391 Yes 391 Yes REF 731 731 Yes REF 731 731 REF 249 Yes 249 Yes REF 673 Yes 673 Yes REF 219 Yes 219 REF 731 731 Yes REF 731 731 REF 376 Yes 376 Yes REF 731 731 REF 738 738 Yes REF 175 175 PEF 731 731 PEF 731 731 Yes PEF 365 365 Yes PEF 733 733 REF 263 263 Yes REF 411 411 Yes REF 365 365 REF 196 196 PEF 717 717 PEF 183 183 PEF 708 708 Yes PEF 706 706 PEF 13 Yes 13 PEF 712 712 PEF 736 736 Yes REF 731 731 PEF 724 724 Yes PEF 735 735 PEF 404 404 PEF 125 125 PEF 41 41 REF 46 Yes 46 Yes REF 762 762 PEF 713 713 REF 441 Yes 441 Yes REF 715 715 Yes REF 52 Yes 52 REF 773 773 PEF 725 725 Yes REF 72 Yes 72 REF 260 Yes 260 REF 693 Yes 693 Yes PEF 361 361 REF 371 371 PEF 361 361 Yes PEF 358 358 REF 731 731 PEF 742 742 Yes PEF 174 174 PEF 179 179 Yes PEF 731 731 Yes REF 434 Yes 434 Yes PEF 53 53 Yes PEF 742 742 REF 749 Yes 749 Yes PEF 733 733 PEF 379 379 Yes PEF 365 365 PEF 1 1 REF 353 353 REF 731 731 Yes REF 365 365 REF 768 768 PEF 723 723 REF 24 Yes 24 PEF 731 731 Yes REF 370 370 REF 665 665 Yes PEF 468 468 Yes REF 40 40 PEF 707 707 PEF 58 58 Yes PEF 723 723 PEF 70 Yes 70 REF 725 725 REF 372 372 PEF 391 391 PEF 734 734 PEF 353 353 Yes REF 392 392 PEF 56 Yes 56 PEF 739 739 Yes PEF 378 378 PEF 354 354 REF 733 733 REF 665 665 REF 253 253 REF 707 707 Yes REF 70 Yes 70 Yes PEF 382 382 Yes PEF 365 365 REF 2 2 PEF 183 Yes 183 REF 732 732 PEF 365 365 Yes PEF 721 721 REF 740 740 PEF 343 343 Yes REF 348 348 REF 732 732 Yes PEF 166 166 REF 365 365 PEF 200 Yes 200 Yes PEF 190 190 PEF 362 362 REF 393 393 REF 1 Yes 1 REF 811 811 REF 665 665 REF 911 Yes 911 Yes REF 734 734 PEF 750 750 PEF 593 Yes 593 PEF 362 362 Yes PEF 506 Yes 506 REF 348 348 REF 734 734 PEF 365 365 Yes PEF 68 68 PEF 370 370 PEF 78 78 REF 752 752 REF 378 378 REF 53 53 PEF 734 734 REF 353 353 Yes REF 730 730 REF 728 728 PEF 721 721 Yes PEF 394 394 Yes PEF 727 727 Yes PEF 728 728 PEF 920 920 REF 732 732 Yes REF 748 748 REF 672 672 Yes PEF 745 745 REF 747 747 PEF 358 358 REF 747 747 PEF 97 97 REF 4 4 PEF 188 188 PEF 731 731 REF 835 835 REF 729 729 PEF 729 729 REF 674 674 PEF 172 172 PEF 666 666 REF 731 731 PEF 274 Yes 274 PEF 374 374 REF 351 Yes 351 Yes REF 966 966 PEF 722 722 Yes PEF 730 730 PEF 734 734 Yes REF 686 686 REF 595 Yes 595 REF 368 368 Yes PEF 731 731 PEF 365 365 Yes REF 741 741 Yes REF 388 388 Yes PEF 49 49 REF 365 365 REF 385 385 PEF 672 672 PEF 731 731 PEF 741 741 PEF 343 343 REF 740 740 REF 672 672 PEF 364 364 PEF 743 743 Yes REF 398 398 PEF 668 668 REF 720 720 PEF 731 731 Yes PEF 193 Yes 193 REF 365 365 PEF 726 726 PEF 365 365 REF 448 Yes 448 Yes PEF 123 Yes 123 PEF 752 752 Yes PEF 399 399 Yes PEF 657 657 PEF 770 770 PEF 357 357 REF 761 761 PEF 372 372 REF 366 366 Yes REF 730 730 REF 766 766 REF 658 Yes 658 Yes REF 736 736 REF 372 372 Yes PEF 334 334 REF 49 49 REF 730 730 Yes REF 730 730 Yes PEF 360 360 REF 672 672 REF 338 338 REF 196 196 PEF 322 322 Yes PEF 731 731 REF 730 730 Yes REF 701 701 REF 364 364 PEF 742 742 PEF 365 365 REF 336 336 REF 715 715 Yes REF 747 747 REF 29 Yes 29 REF 738 738 REF 739 739 Yes REF 365 365 REF 742 742 PEF 208 Yes 208 Yes REF 440 Yes 440 PEF 731 731 Yes REF 636 Yes 636 REF 741 741 PEF 723 723 Yes PEF 367 367 Yes PEF 735 735 REF 730 730 Yes REF 366 366 PEF 728 728 REF 730 730 Yes REF 731 731 Yes REF 731 731 Yes REF 730 730 REF 165 165 Yes PEF 728 728 PEF 939 939 REF 674 674 REF 379 379 Yes PEF 41 41 REF 92 92 REF 125 Yes 125 Yes REF 367 367 PEF 862 862 Yes REF 765 765 PEF 732 732 Yes REF 393 393 REF 731 731 REF 753 753 PEF 723 723 REF 739 739 PEF 744 744 REF 13 Yes 13 REF 730 730 PEF 379 379 Yes REF 715 715 Yes PEF 377 377 REF 365 365 PEF 239 Yes 239 REF 183 183 PEF 25 Yes 25 REF 714 714 Yes REF 729 729 Yes PEF 357 357 REF 723 723 Yes PEF 725 725 PEF 335 335 PEF 457 Yes 457 PEF 390 390 PEF 726 726 REF 404 404 Yes PEF 171 171 REF 270 Yes 270 Yes REF 357 357 REF 99 Yes 99 REF 732 732 Yes REF 365 365 REF 739 739 Yes PEF 730 730 Yes REF 168 168 PEF 367 367 PEF 334 334 PEF 377 377 Yes PEF 361 Yes 361 Yes PEF 771 771 REF 484 Yes 484 Yes REF 190 190 REF 672 672 Yes PEF 766 766 REF 365 365 REF 389 389 Yes REF 381 381 Yes PEF 357 357 PEF 711 711 Yes PEF 743 743 Yes REF 7 Yes 7 PEF 34 Yes 34

Among all the study cases, 115 were re-hospitalized because of heart failure during the follow-up (Table 24) and 49 died. MiRNAs were assessed as potential markers (ie predictors) of both observed (all-cause survival) OS and event free survival (EFS) the composite of all-cause death and/or recurrent admission for decompensated heart failure.

Anti-heart failure pharmacotherapy prescribed to study participants is summarized in Table 25. Comparing the treatments for HFREF and HFPEF, the frequency of prescription of half the drugs concerned were found to differ (FIG. 13). Notably those classes of drugs proven to improve prognosis in HFREF (ACEI's/ARB's, beta blockers and mineralocorticoid antagonists) were more commonly prescribed to HFPEF than HFPEF patients. Treatments were according to current clinical practice and were included among clinical variables for the analysis of prognostic markers.

TABLE 25 Treatment of subjects included in the prognosis study Me 1 Me 2 Me 3 Me 4 Me 5 Me 6 Me 7 Me 8 Me 9 Me 10 Me 11 Me 12 Me 13 Me 14 Me 15 1 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 2 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 3 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 4 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 5 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 6 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 7 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 8 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 9 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 10 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 11 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 12 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 13 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 14 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 15 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 16 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 17 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 18 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 19 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 20 Yes Yes Yes 21 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 22 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 23 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 24 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 25 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 26 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 27 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 28 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 29 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 30 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 31 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 32 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 33 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 34 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 35 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 36 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 37 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 38 Yes Yes Yes Yes 39 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 40 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 41 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 42 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 43 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 44 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 45 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 46 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 47 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 48 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 49 Yes Yes 50 Yes Yes Yes 51 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 52 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 53 Yes Yes Yes Yes 54 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 55 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 56 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 57 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 58 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 59 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 60 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 61 Yes Yes Yes Yes 62 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 63 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 64 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 65 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 66 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 67 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 68 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 69 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 70 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 71 Yes Yes Yes Yes 72 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 73 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 74 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 75 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 76 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 77 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 78 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 79 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 80 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 81 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 82 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 83 Yes Yes Yes Yes 84 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 85 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 86 Yes Yes Yes Yes 87 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 88 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 89 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 90 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 91 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 92 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 93 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 94 Yes Yes Yes Yes 95 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 96 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 97 Yes Yes Yes Yes 98 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 99 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 100 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 101 Yes Yes Yes Yes 102 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 103 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 104 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 105 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 106 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 107 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 108 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 109 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 110 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 111 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 112 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 113 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 114 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 115 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 116 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 117 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 118 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 119 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 120 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 121 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 122 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 123 Yes Yes Yes Yes 124 Yes Yes Yes Yes 125 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 126 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 127 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 128 Yes Yes Yes Yes 129 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 130 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 131 Yes Yes Yes Yes 132 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 133 Yes Yes Yes Yes 134 135 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 136 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 137 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 138 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 139 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 140 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 141 Yes Yes Yes 142 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 143 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 144 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 145 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 146 Yes Yes Yes 147 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 148 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 149 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 150 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 151 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 152 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 153 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 154 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 155 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 156 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 157 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 158 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 159 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 160 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 161 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 162 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 163 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 164 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 165 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 166 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 167 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 168 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 169 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 170 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 171 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 172 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 173 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 174 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 175 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 176 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 177 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 178 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 179 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 180 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 181 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 182 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 183 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 184 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 185 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 186 Yes Yes Yes Yes 187 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 188 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 189 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 190 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 191 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 192 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 193 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 194 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 195 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 196 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 197 Yes Yes Yes 198 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 199 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 200 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 201 Yes Yes Yes Yes 202 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 203 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 204 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 205 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 206 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 207 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 208 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 209 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 210 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 211 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 212 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 213 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 214 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 215 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 216 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 217 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 218 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 219 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 220 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 221 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 222 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 223 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 224 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 225 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 226 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 227 Yes Yes Yes Yes 228 Yes Yes Yes Yes 229 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 230 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 231 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 232 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 233 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 234 Yes Yes Yes 235 Yes Yes Yes Yes 236 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 237 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 238 Yes Yes Yes Yes 239 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 240 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 241 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 242 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 243 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 244 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 245 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 246 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 247 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 248 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 249 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 250 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 251 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 252 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 253 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 254 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 255 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 256 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 257 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 258 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 259 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 260 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 261 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 262 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 263 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 264 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 265 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 266 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 267 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 268 Yes Yes 269 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 270 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 271 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 272 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 273 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 274 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 275 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 276 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 277 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 278 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 279 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 280 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 281 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 282 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 283 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 284 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 285 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 286 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 287 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 288 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 289 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 290 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 291 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 292 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 293 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 294 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 295 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 296 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 297 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 298 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 299 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 300 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 301 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 302 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 303 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 304 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 305 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 306 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 307 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 308 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 309 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 310 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 311 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 312 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 313 Yes Yes Yes 314 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 315 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 316 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 317 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 318 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 319 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 320 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 321 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 322 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 323 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 324 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 325 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 326 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 327 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH) modeling was used for survival analysis and the explanatory variables were individually (univariate analysis) or simultaneously analyzed in the same model (multivariate analysis). In order to have a better comparison between various hazard ratios (HR), all normally distributed variables including the miRNA expression levels (log 2 scale), the clinical variables such as BMI, ln_NT-proBNP, LVEF, age as well as the multivariate scores generated by combining multiple variables were scaled to one standard deviation. The hazard ratio (HR) was then used as the indicator for the prognostic power for those variables. A p-value <0.05 was considered as statistically significant. Patients were classified as high risk and low risk according to presence or absence of categorical variables and by supra or infra-median levels of normally distributed continuous variables. Kaplan-Meier plots (KM plot) were used to illustrate various risk groups' survival over time with inter-curve comparisons tested by log-rank test. Inter-group survival at 750 days (OS750) and/or EFS at 750 days (EFS750) were also compared.

All the clinical variables were initially assessed for prediction of overall survival (OS). In univariate analyses, five variables (age, hypertension, ln_NT-proBNP, nitrates and hydralazine) were found to be positively associated with risk of death and two variables (BMI and Beta Blockers) were found to be negatively associated with the risk of death (Table 26). Interestingly, overall survival did not differ between HFREF and HFPEF patients. The KM plots of the subject groups defined by those significant parameters are shown in FIG. 14A and the OS750 were shown in FIG. 14B. All the parameters were able to define high and low risk groups with ln_NT-proBNP the most significant (p-value=7.2E-07, HR=2.36 (95% CI: 1.69-3.30)). Based on the level of ln_NT-proBNP, the low risk group had OS750 of 92.4% while the value for the high risk group was only 66.0%. In the multivariate analysis with all clinical variables included, 6 variables (gender, hypertension, BMI, ln_NT-proBNP, BetaBlockers and Warfarin) were found to be significant. These 6 variables were later combined with each of the 137 miRNAs in the CoxPH model for the identification of prognostic miRNA markers for overall survival.

TABLE 26 Analysis of clinical variables of observed survival Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis SE of SE of Variables: ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value Type (REF/PEF) −0.50 0.30 0.10 0.03 0.98 0.98 Gender 0.01 0.29 0.97 1.03 0.50 0.040 Atrial Fibrillation/Flutter 0.39 0.31 0.20 0.84 0.46 0.07 Hypertension 0.81 0.41 0.048 1.24 0.49 0.0119 Diabetes 0.28 0.30 0.36 1.01 0.53 0.06 Smoking History −0.08 0.29 0.79 0.16 0.46 0.73 Alcohol History −0.08 0.32 0.81 −0.70 0.48 0.15 Age 0.55 0.16 0.00039 0.21 0.24 0.38 Body Mass Index −0.50 0.13 0.00019 −0.55 0.25 0.026 LVEF −0.17 0.15 0.24 −0.09 0.51 0.87 ln_NT-proBNP 0.86 0.17 7.2E−07 0.67 0.25 0.0078 ACE Inhibitors −0.01 0.29 0.96 0.07 0.39 0.86 Angiontensin Receptor Blockers −0.37 0.32 0.25 −0.04 0.43 0.92 Loop/thiazide Diuretics 0.01 0.52 0.99 0.71 0.79 0.37 BetaBlockers −0.90 0.39 0.021 −1.72 0.57 0.0025 Aspirin or Plavix 0.32 0.36 0.37 −0.27 0.47 0.56 Statins 0.17 0.52 0.75 −0.41 0.59 0.49 Digoxin −0.25 0.33 0.45 −0.36 0.42 0.38 Warfarin −0.83 0.52 0.11 −1.33 0.67 0.05 Nitrates 0.60 0.29 0.039 0.09 0.41 0.82 Calcium Channel Blockers −0.03 0.31 0.92 −0.47 0.41 0.25 Spironolactone −0.21 0.29 0.48 0.20 0.44 0.65 Fibrate 0.52 0.44 0.23 0.55 0.57 0.34 Antidiabetic −0.10 0.29 0.73 −0.78 0.52 0.13 Hydralazine 0.78 0.37 0.036 0.11 0.52 0.83 Iron supplements 0.43 0.30 0.15 −0.07 0.39 0.85

Similar analyses were performed for event free survival (EFS) and seven variables (AF, hypertension, diabetes, age, ln_NT-proBNP, nitrates and hydralazine) were found to be positively correlated with the risk of recurrent admission for decompensated heart failure (Table 27) in univariate analyses. The KM plots of the subject groups defined by those significant parameters were shown in FIG. 15A and the EFS750 were shown in FIG. 15B. Again, there was no difference between HFREF and HFPEF in event free survival and ln_NT-proBNP was the most significant predictor of event free survival (p-value=1.5E-09, HR=1.79 (95% CI: 1.47-2.17)). Infra-median ln_NT-proBNP was associated with EFS750 of 65.1% and supra-median levels an EFS750 of only 34.1%. By multivariate analysis, only two variables: diabetes and ln_NT-proBNP were found to be significant. These variables were subsequently combined with each of the 137 miRNAs for the identification of prognostic miRNA markers for event free survival.

TABLE 27 Analysis of clinical variables for event free survival (EFS) Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis SE of SE of ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value ln(HR) ln(HR) p-value Type (REF/PEF) −0.12 0.17 0.48 −0.49 0.50 0.33 Gender 0.04 0.17 0.83 0.27 0.23 0.25 Atrial Fibrillation/Flutter 0.38 0.18 0.035 0.08 0.25 0.75 Hypertension 0.60 0.22 0.0064 0.44 0.25 0.09 Diabetes 0.62 0.18 0.00061 1.04 0.32 0.0011 Smoking History −0.10 0.22 0.65 0.09 0.32 0.78 Alcohol History −0.03 0.25 0.89 0.09 0.33 0.78 Age 0.26 0.09 0.0026 0.10 0.13 0.41 Body Mass Index −0.13 0.09 0.14 0.05 0.12 0.66 LVEF −0.02 0.08 0.85 0.38 0.27 0.17 ln_NT-proBNP 0.58 0.10 1.5E−09 0.66 0.13 9.0E−07 ACE Inhibitors −0.17 0.17 0.32 −0.25 0.22 0.24 Angiontensin Receptor Blockers −0.11 0.18 0.53 −0.18 0.23 0.43 Loop/thiazide Diuretics 0.43 0.34 0.21 0.38 0.43 0.38 BetaBlockers −0.11 0.29 0.71 −0.49 0.35 0.17 Aspirin or Plavix 0.32 0.21 0.12 −0.03 0.25 0.90 Statins 0.62 0.34 0.07 0.30 0.38 0.43 Digoxin 0.12 0.18 0.51 0.15 0.23 0.50 Warfarin 0.29 0.22 0.18 −0.03 0.30 0.91 Nitrates 0.47 0.17 0.0049 0.28 0.21 0.18 Calcium Channel Blockers 0.23 0.17 0.176 −0.03 0.23 0.91 Spironolactone 0.07 0.17 0.69 0.27 0.24 0.24 Fibrate 0.23 0.30 0.45 0.12 0.34 0.72 Antidiabetic 0.29 0.17 0.09 −0.53 0.29 0.07 Hydralazine 0.49 0.25 0.048 −0.03 0.29 0.93 Iron supplements 0.30 0.18 0.09 −0.04 0.22 0.87

To identify miRNA biomarkers for the prediction of overall survival, each of the 137 miRNAs were tested by the univariate CoxPH model as well as in multivariate CoxPH models including 6 additional predictive clinical variables. In total, 40 miRNAs had p-values less than 0.05. Thirty seven (37) were significant in univariate analyses and 29 were significant in multivariate analyses (Table 7). 11 miRNAs found to be significant in the univariate analysis were not able to improve the prediction performance of clinical parameters (multivariate analysis) and 3 miRNAs were only significant when combined with clinical variables (FIG. 16(A)). Except for hsa-miR-374b-5p (p-value=0.25), the 2 miRNAs had p-values less than 0.1 in univariate analysis (Table 7).

The miRNA with the highest hazard ratio (HR) for mortality in both univariate (HR=1.90 (95% CI: 1.36-2.65, p-value=0.00014)) and multivariate analysis (HR=1.79 (95% CI: 1.23-2.59, p-value=0.0028)) was hsa-miR-503. Hsa-miR-150-5p had the lowest HR (ie the expression level was negatively correlated with the risk) for both univariate analysis (HR=0.52 (95% CI: 0.40-0.67, p-value=1.3E-7)) and multivariate analysis (HR=0.59 (95% CI: 0.45-0.78, p-value=0.00032)) (Table 7). The KM plots for the two miRNAs are shown in FIG. 18A. Good separation between the two risk groups can be observed. Based on a single miRNA, the high risk and low risk group had about 21.3% (hsa-miR-503) or 17.8% (has-miR-150-5p) difference in terms of OS750 (FIG. 18B). With the addition of 6 clinical variables, the combined scores provide better risk predictions where the differences were 25.3% for hsa-miR-503+6 clinical variables and 22.4% for has-miR-150-5p+6 clinical variables (FIG. 18B). Any one or numbers of the 40 miRNAs (Table 7) could be used as the prognostic marker/panel for risk of death for the chronic HF patients.

For the prediction of event free survival, 13 miRNAs were found significant in the univariate analysis (p-value <0.05) where 4 were positively correlated and 9 were negative correlated with the risk of recurrent admission for decompensated heart failure after treatment (Table 8). None of the miRNAs were found to be significant for EFS prediction in the multivariate analysis where 2 additional clinical variables were included in the CoxPH model. However, the top positively correlated miRNA (hsa-miR-331-5p, HR=1.27 (95% CI: 1.09-1.49, p-value=0.0025)) and the top negatively correlated miRNA (hsa-miR-30e-3p, HR=0.80 (95% CI: 0.69-0.94, p-value=0.0070)) with EFS in the univariate analysis also had certain levels of significance in the multivariate analysis where the p-values were 0.15 and 0.14 respectively (Table 8). The KM plots of the high and low risk groups for EFS defined by either of the miRNAs with and without additional clinical variables were shown in FIG. 19A and their EFS750 were shown in FIG. 19B. Based on a single miRNA (either hsa-miR-331-5p or hsa-miR-30e-3p), the high risk group had EFS750 at about 40% and the low risk group had EFS750 at about 60% while the numbers were 33% and 66% with the addition of 2 clinical variables (FIG. 19B). Any one or numbers of the 13 miRNAs (Table 8) could be used as the prognostic marker/panel for risk of recurrent admission for decompensated HF for the chronic HF patients.

Fewer miRNA were identified as predictive of event free survival (n=13) than for overall survival (n=43) and only 3 of them overlapped (FIG. 16(B)). The results suggest differing mechanisms for death and recurrent decompensated heart failure. One important issue to note is that the definition of event free survival in this study involved a less well defined clinical variable—ie hospitalization which could be biased by the patients or the clinicians from case to case. None the less, all the 53 miRNAs could be valuable prognostic markers for chronic heart failure patients.

The 53 prognostic markers were then compared to the 101 markers for HF detection (FIG. 17(A)) or the 40 markers for heart failure subtype categorization (FIG. 17(B)). Some overlaps were observed but still a large portion of the prognostic markers were not found in the other two lists indicating that a separate set of miRNAs should be used or combined to form the multivariate index assay for the prognosis.

V. Multivariate Biomarker Panels for HF Detection

As discussed above, panels consisting of combinations of multiple miRNAs might serve to provide better diagnostic power than the use of a single miRNA.

An important criterion to assemble such multivariate panel was to include at least one miRNA from the specific list for each subtype of heart failure to ensure all heart failure subgroups were covered. However, the miRNAs defining the two subtypes of heart failure overlapped (FIG. 7). At the same time, large numbers of heart failure related or non-related miRNAs were found to be positively correlated (FIG. 12) which makes the choice of the best miRNA combinations for heart failure diagnosis challenging.

In view of the complexity of the task, the inventors of the present study decided to identify panels of miRNA with the highest AUC using sequence forward floating search algorithm [53]. The state-of-the art linear support vector machine, a well utilized and recognized modeling tool for the construction of panels of variables, was also used to aid in the selection of the combinations of miRNAs [54]. The model yields a score based on a linear formula accounting for the expression level of each member and their weightages. These linear models could be readily applied in the clinical practice.

A critical requirement for the success of such process is the availability of high quality data. The quantitative data of all the detected miRNAs in a large number of well-defined clinical samples not only improves the accuracy as well as precision of the result but also ensures the consistency of the identified biomarker panels for further clinical application using qPCR.

To ensure the veracity of the result, multiple (>80) times of hold-out validation (two fold cross validation) were carried out to test the performance of the identified biomarker panel based on the discovery set (half of the samples at each fold) in an independent set of validation samples (the remaining half of the samples at each fold). With the large number of clinical samples (546) the issue of over-fitting of data in modeling was minimized as there were only 137 candidate features to be selected from while at each fold 273 samples was used as the discovery set and the sample to feature ratio is more than two. During the cross validation process, the samples were matched for subtype, gender and race. And the process was carried out to optimize the biomarker panel with 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 or 10 miRNAs separately.

The boxplots representative of the results (the AUC of the biomarker panel in both discovery phase and validation phase) were shown in FIG. 20A. The AUC values were quite close in the various discovery sets (box size <0.01) and they approached unity (AUC=1.0) with increasing number of miRNAs in the panel. With 4 or more miRNAs, the size of the box in the validation phase, indicative of a spread of values, was quite small (≤0.01 AUC values) as well. As predicted, there was a decrease in AUC values with the validation set for each search (0.02-0.05 AUC).

A more quantitative representation of the results was shown in FIG. 20B. Although there was always a gradual increase of the AUC in the discovery phase when increasing the number of miRNA in the biomarker panel, there were no further significant improvements in the AUC values in the validation phase when the numbers of the miRNAs were greater than 8. Although the difference between 6 miRNA and 8 miRNA biomarker panels was statistically significant, the improvement was less than 0.01 in AUC values. Thus, a biomarker panel with 6 or more miRNAs giving AUC value around 0.93 should be useful for heart failure detection.

To examine the composition of multivariate biomarker panels, the present study counted the occurrence of miRNAs in all the panels containing 6-10 miRNAs, where the panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC were excluded. This was carried out to avoid counting of falsely discovered biomarkers due to fitting of inaccurate data from subpopulations generated by the randomization process in cross-validation analysis. Excluding these miRNAs chosen in less than 2% of the panels, a total of 51 miRNA were selected in the discovery process (Table 9) where the expression of 42 of these were also found to be significantly altered in HF (Table 20, Table 21, Table 22). The inclusion of 9 others, although not altered in heart failure, were found to significantly improve the AUC values as 39% of the panels included at least one of these miRNA from the list and the most frequently selected miRNA (hsa-miR-10b-5p) presented in 35% of the panels. Without a direct and quantitative measurement of all miRNA targets, these miRNAs would never have been selected in high-through put screening studies (microarray, sequencing) and would have been excluded for further qPCR validation.

When comparing the identities of the chosen miRNAs for multivariate panels and single miRNA as diagnostic markers, they were not necessarily the same. For example, the top up—regulated (hsa-let-7d-3p) miRNA was not present in the list while the top down-regulated (hsa-miR-454-3p) was only used in 24.2% of the panels. Hence, it was not possible merely to combine the best single miRNA identified to form the optimal biomarker panel but rather a panel of miRNAs providing complementary information gave the best result.

All those miRNAs were not randomly selected as 7 of them presented in more than 30% of the panels but it was also difficult to find miRNAs to be critical for a good biomarkers panel as the two most frequently selected miRNAs hsa-miR-551b-3p and hsa-miR-24-3p were only found in 59.7% and 57.3% of the panels respectively. As discussed, a lot of those miRNAs were correlated (FIG. 11) which could serve as replacement or substitutes for each other in the biomarker panels. In conclusion, a biomarker panel with at least 6 miRNAs from the frequently selected list (Table 9) should be used for the detection of heart failure.

To compare the miRNA biomarkers and NT-proBNP, one of the six miRNA biomarker panel was selected to calculate the combined miRNA scores for all subjects, which were plotted against the NT-proBNP levels from the same subjects (FIG. 21(A)). In general, the inventors of the present study observed a positive correlation where the Pearson correlation coefficient between the miRNA score and ln_NT-proBNP was 0.61 (p-value=8.2E-56). Applying the suggested cut-off for NT-proBNP (125 pg/mL, dashed line), 35 of the healthy subjects were falsely classified as heart failure patient (false positive, FP, NT-proBNP>125) and 23 heart failure patients had NT-proBNP levels lower than the cut-off (false negative, FN). Predictably, most of the false negative (FN) were HFPEF subjects (n=20). Those false positive (FP) and false negative (FN) subjects with respect to NT-proBNP were selected and results plotted against the miRNA score (FIG. 21(B)). Based on the separate plot, most of the false positive (FP) and false negative (FN) subjects could be correctly re-classified by the miRNA score with zero as the cut-off (dashed line). The results validated the hypothesis that the miRNA biomarkers carry different information than NT-proBNP. The next step was to explore a multivariate biomarker panel including both miRNA and NT-proBNP.

The same biomarker identification process (multiple times of two fold cross validation) was performed where NT-proBNP was pre-fixed as one of the predictive variables and the level of ln_NT-proBNP together with the miRNA expression levels (log 2 scale) were used to build the classifier using the support-vector-machine. Since there was no significant increase of AUC when more than 8 miRNAs were used to predict heart failure (FIG. 20), the process was carried out to optimize the biomarker panel with 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 or 8 miRNAs (together with NT-proBNP).

The classifier built in the discovery phase approached perfect separation (AUC=1.00) with increasing numbers of miRNAs. Performance decreased somewhat in the validation phase (FIG. 22(A)). Nevertheless, the AUC of the panels containing NT-proBNP in the validation phase (mean AUC >0.96) were always higher than those biomarker panels including only miRNA (mean AUC <0.94). The quantitative results (FIG. 22(B)) showed that there were no further significant improvements in the AUC values in the validation phase when the numbers of the miRNAs were greater than 4 and there was only a tiny increase (0.001 AUC) between 4 and 5 miRNA biomarker panels. Thus, when combining with NT-proBNP, a biomarker panel with 4 or more miRNAs giving AUC value around 0.98 can be used for heart failure detection. By combining miRNA and NT-proBNP, the classification efficiency was significantly improved over NT-proBNP (AUC=0.962, FIG. 22(B)).

Excluding the panels with the top 10% and bottom 10% AUC, the composition of multivariate biomarker panels containing 3-8 miRNAs was examined (Table 11). A total number of 49 miRNA were selected in the discovery process with 14 of them having prevalence higher than 10% (Table 11). Forty two (42) of them also carried information additional to NT-proBNP (p-value after FDR lower than 0.01 in the logistic regression). Again, 46% of the panels included at least one of the 13 miRNAs found to be insignificant in addition to NT-proBNP.

Although more than half of the significant miRNAs (Table 11, significant list) were also frequently selected when searching for miRNA only biomarker panels (Table 9, significant list) (FIG. 23(A)), the ranking of the prevalence was different. Some of the highly selected miRNA in conjunction with NT-proBNP (hsa-miR-17-5p (11.6%) and hsa-miR-25-3p (11.0%)) were even not chosen when searching for miRNA based biomarker panels (without NT-proBNP). Also there were only two miRNAs overlapped between the insignificant lists (Table 9 and Table 11, insignificant list) (FIG. 23(B)). Together, the evidences suggested that a different list of miRNAs should be used together with NT-proBNP compared to the list used for the construction of miRNA only biomarker panels.

VI. Multivariate Biomarker Panels for HF Subtype Categorization

The next attempt was made to identify multivariate biomarker panels for distinguishing between HFREF and HFPEF. Again, all the quantitative data for 137 miRNAs on the 338 heart failure patients were used. Due to the constraints of sample size, multiple (>50) times of four fold cross validation were carried out where all the subjects were randomly divided into four even groups and three of the groups were used (discovery group) to build the classifier to predict the last group (validation group) in turn. In this way, 253-254 subjects will be used in the discovery phase ensuring the same size in each subgroup (HFREF or HFPEF) similar to the number of candidate features (137) to be selected to minimize the over-fitting. Again the process was performed to optimize 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 or 10 miRNA biomarker panels and 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 or 8 miRNA plus NT-proBNP biomarker panels separately.

The quantitative results showed that there were no improvements in AUC values when the miRNA-only biomarker panel contained more than 5 miRNAs (FIG. 24(A)). About 0.76 AUC could be achieved with miRNA biomarker panels which is better than NT-proBNP (AUC=0.706). Counting all the 6-10 miRNA panels (excluding the top 10% and bottom 10% in terms of AUC), 46 miRNAs were frequently selected (in >2% of the panel) where 22 were found to be significant in the t-test comparing HFREF and HFPEF while 24 were not (Table 12). The panels for heart failure subtype categorization were less diversified than those for heart failure detection as two of the miRNAs presented in more than 80% of the panels (hsa-miR-30a-5p (94.6%) and hsa-miR-181a-2-3p (83.7%), Table 12).

For the biomarker panels consisting both miRNA and NT-proBNP, fewer miRNAs were needed when compared to the miRNA-only panels as there were no improvements on the AUC values beyond inclusion of 4 miRNAs (FIG. 24(B)). Even clearer classification could be achieved (AUC-0.82) when compared to miRNA-only panels. Again, miRNAs and NT-proBNP may carry complementary information for heart failure subtype categorization. Examining the composition of the 5-8 miRNA plus NT-proBNP panels, 31 miRNAs were frequently selected (in >2% of the panels) where 14 were found to be significant in the logistic regressions together with ln_NT-proBNP while 17 were not (Table 13). Two different miRNAs were found in more than 80% of the panels: hsa-miR-199b-5p (91.5%) and hsa-miR-191-5p (74.9%). Although, the most frequently selected insignificant miRNA for both the miRNA only and miRNA plus NT-proBNP panel were the same (hsa-miR-199b-5p), remarkable differences could be found between the rest of the significant and insignificant lists in terms of identities and rankings.

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1-46. (canceled)
 47. A method of determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, or is at risk of developing heart failure, the method comprising the steps of (a) measuring the level of at least hsa-miR-454-3p in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject, and (b) determining whether it is different as compared to a control, wherein a decreased level of hsa-miR-454-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at risk of developing heart failure.
 48. The method according to claim 47 further comprising measuring the levels of at least hsa-miR-24-3p, and hsa-miR-551b-3p in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject wherein an increased level of miR-24-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure, and wherein a decreased level of 551b-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.
 49. The method according to claim 48, wherein a decreased level of hsa-miR-454-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure, wherein an increased level of miR-24-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure, and wherein a decreased level of 551b-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.
 50. The method according to claim 47, wherein step (a) further comprises measuring the levels of at least one further miRNA in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject, wherein at least one further miRNA is selected from the group consisting of hsa-miR-551b-3p, hsa-miR-24-3p, hsa-miR-576-5p, hsa-miR-375, hsa-miR-451a, hsa-miR-503, hsa-miR-374b-5p, hsa-miR-423-5p, hsa-miR-181b-5p, hsa-miR-454-3p, hsa-miR-484, hsa-miR-191-5p, hsa-miR-1280, hsa-miR-205-5p, hsa-miR-424-5p, hsa-miR-106a-5p, hsa-miR-532-5p, hsa-miR-197-3p, hsa-miR-598, hsa-miR-34b-3p, hsa-miR-103a-3p, hsa-miR-30b-5p, hsa-miR-199a-3p, hsa-let-7b-3p, hsa-miR-374c-5p, hsa-miR-148a-3p, hsa-miR-23c, hsa-miR-132-3p, hsa-miR-200b-3p, hsa-miR-21-5p, hsa-miR-130b-3p, hsa-miR-221-3p, hsa-miR-223-5p, hsa-miR-627, hsa-miR-550a-5p, hsa-miR-382-5p, hsa-miR-19b-3p, hsa-miR-20a-5p, hsa-miR-23b-3p, hsa-miR-30a-5p, hsa-miR-363-3p, hsa-miR-30c-5p, hsa-miR-10b-5p, hsa-miR-29c-3p, hsa-miR-660-5p, hsa-miR-133a, hsa-miR-379-5p, hsa-miR-10a-5p, hsa-miR-92a-3p, hsa-miR-222-3p, hsa-miR-200c-3p, hsa-miR-551b-3p, hsa-miR-24-3p, hsa-miR-576-5p, hsa-miR-375, hsa-miR-451a, hsa-miR-503, hsa-miR-374b-5p, hsa-miR-181b-5p, hsa-miR-454-3p, hsa-miR-484, hsa-miR-205-5p, hsa-miR-424-5p, hsa-miR-106a-5p, hsa-miR-532-5p, hsa-miR-197-3p, hsa-miR-598, hsa-miR-34b-3p, hsa-miR-199a-3p, hsa-let-7b-3p, hsa-miR-374c-5p, hsa-miR-148a-3p, hsa-miR-23c, hsa-miR-132-3p, hsa-miR-200b-3p, hsa-miR-130b-3p, hsa-miR-221-3p, hsa-miR-223-5p, hsa-miR-627, hsa-miR-550a-5p, hsa-miR-382-5p, hsa-miR-19b-3p, hsa-miR-20a-5p, hsa-miR-23b-3p, hsa-miR-363-3p, hsa-miR-30c-5p, hsa-miR-10b-5p, hsa-miR-660-5p, hsa-miR-133a, hsa-miR-379-5p, hsa-miR-10a-5p, hsa-miR-222-3p, and hsa-miR-200c-3p.
 51. The method of claim 47, wherein the control is a sample obtained from a non-heart failure subject.
 52. The method of claim 47, wherein the subject is of Asian ethnicity.
 53. The method of claim 47, wherein the subject diagnosed of having heart failure or having the likelihood of developing heart failure is treated with at least one therapeutic agent for treating heart failure.
 54. A kit for use according to a method of determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, or is at risk of developing heart failure, the method comprising the steps of (a) measuring the level of at least hsa-miR-454-3p in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject, and (b) determining whether it is different as compared to a control, wherein a decreased level of hsa-miR-454-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure, the kit comprising reagents for determining or measuring the expression level of the miRNA.
 55. A method of determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, or is at risk of developing heart failure, the method comprising the steps of (a) measuring the levels of at least hsa-miR-454-3p, hsa-miR-24-3p, and hsa-miR-551b-3p in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject; and (b) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure.
 56. The method according to claim 55, wherein a decreased level of hsa-miR-454-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure, wherein an increased level of miR-24-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure, and wherein a decreased level of 551b-3p indicates that the subject has heart failure or is at a risk of developing heart failure.
 57. The method according to claim 55, wherein step (a) further comprises measuring the levels of at least one further miRNA in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject, wherein the at least one further miRNA is selected from the group consisting of hsa-miR-551b-3p, hsa-miR-24-3p, hsa-miR-576-5p, hsa-miR-375, hsa-miR-451a, hsa-miR-503, hsa-miR-374b-5p, hsa-miR-423-5p, hsa-miR-181b-5p, hsa-miR-454-3p, hsa-miR-484, hsa-miR-191-5p, hsa-miR-1280, hsa-miR-205-5p, hsa-miR-424-5p, hsa-miR-106a-5p, hsa-miR-532-5p, hsa-miR-197-3p, hsa-miR-598, hsa-miR-34b-3p, hsa-miR-103a-3p, hsa-miR-30b-5p, hsa-miR-199a-3p, hsa-let-7b-3p, hsa-miR-374c-5p, hsa-miR-148a-3p, hsa-miR-23c, hsa-miR-132-3p, hsa-miR-200b-3p, hsa-miR-21-5p, hsa-miR-130b-3p, hsa-miR-221-3p, hsa-miR-223-5p, hsa-miR-627, hsa-miR-550a-5p, hsa-miR-382-5p, hsa-miR-19b-3p, hsa-miR-20a-5p, hsa-miR-23b-3p, hsa-miR-30a-5p, hsa-miR-363-3p, hsa-miR-30c-5p, hsa-miR-10b-5p, hsa-miR-29c-3p, hsa-miR-660-5p, hsa-miR-133a, hsa-miR-379-5p, hsa-miR-10a-5p, hsa-miR-92a-3p, hsa-miR-222-3p, hsa-miR-200c-3p, hsa-miR-551b-3p, hsa-miR-24-3p, hsa-miR-576-5p, hsa-miR-375, hsa-miR-451a, hsa-miR-503, hsa-miR-374b-5p, hsa-miR-181b-5p, hsa-miR-454-3p, hsa-miR-484, hsa-miR-205-5p, hsa-miR-424-5p, hsa-miR-106a-5p, hsa-miR-532-5p, hsa-miR-197-3p, hsa-miR-598, hsa-miR-34b-3p, hsa-miR-199a-3p, hsa-let-7b-3p, hsa-miR-374c-5p, hsa-miR-148a-3p, hsa-miR-23c, hsa-miR-132-3p, hsa-miR-200b-3p, hsa-miR-130b-3p, hsa-miR-221-3p, hsa-miR-223-5p, hsa-miR-627, hsa-miR-550a-5p, hsa-miR-382-5p, hsa-miR-19b-3p, hsa-miR-20a-5p, hsa-miR-23b-3p, hsa-miR-363-3p, hsa-miR-30c-5p, hsa-miR-10b-5p, hsa-miR-660-5p, hsa-miR-133a, hsa-miR-379-5p, hsa-miR-10a-5p, hsa-miR-222-3p, and hsa-miR-200c-3p.
 58. The method of claim 47, wherein the subject diagnosed of having heart failure or having the likelihood of developing heart failure is treated with at least one therapeutic agent for treating heart failure.
 59. The method of claim 55, wherein the control is a sample obtained from a non-heart failure subject.
 60. The method of claim 55, wherein the subject is of Asian ethnicity.
 61. A kit for use according to a method of determining whether a subject suffers from heart failure, or is at risk of developing heart failure, the method comprising the steps of (a) measuring the levels of at least hsa-miR-454-3p, hsa-miR-24-3p, and hsa-miR-551b-3p in a bodily fluid sample obtained from the subject; and (b) using a score based on the levels of the miRNAs measured in step (a) to predict the likelihood of the subject to develop or to have heart failure, the kit comprising reagents for determining or measuring the expression level of the miRNA. 